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ANTARA HUTAN, INVESTASI, DAN KEMISKINAN: DINAMIKA EMISI KARBON DI INDONESIA Sari, Cut Putri Mellita; Trisniarti, Noviami; Nailufar, Fanny
Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian Unimal Vol. 7 No. 1 (2024): JURNAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN UNIMAL
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Malikussaleh - Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jepu.v7i1.17708

Abstract

The study assessed the impact of the proportion of forests, Inland Capital Growth (INC), and the number of poor people on carbon emissions in Indonesia. As a country with extensive tropical forests, Indonesia faces the challenge ofining forest sustainability amid the pressure of economic development. Industrial and infrastructure investments often lead to deforestation, increasing carbon emissions, while poor communities that rely on forests carry out environmentally damaging practices. This research filled the gaps in previous studies by exploring how variations in forest proportions, the impact of GDP in various sectors, and the relationship of poverty with land use affect carbon emissions. The study also examines the interactions between the three variables. The results are expected to provide a comprehensive insight into Indonesia's policy strategy for reducing carbon emissions. The double linear regression analysis method tests the influence between these variables. Data obtained from Indonesian Statistics for the period 2000-2022. The analysis results show that the proportion of forests has a negative and significant influence on carbon emissions, which means that increasing forest size can effectively reduce carbon emissions. Moreover, the PMDN has also been found to have a negative, significant impact on carbon emissions, suggesting that domestic investment plays a role in reducing emissions. On the contrary, the number of poor populations has no significant influence on carbon emissions. These findings indicate that policies to increase the proportion of forests and boost the MDGs can be effective strategies to reduce carbon emissions while reducing the number of poor populations does not directly affect carbon emissions.
THE EFFECT OF POPULATION SIZE, EDUCATION LEVEL, AND ECONOMIC GROWTH ON POVERTY IN DISTRICT/CITIES IN ACEH PROVINCE Hawadayanti, Nur; Ratna, Ratna; Nailufar, Fanny; Juanda, Reza
Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics Vol. 8 No. 1 (2025): JOURNAL OF MALIKUSSALEH PUBLIC ECONOMICS
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Malikussaleh

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jompe.v8i1.22164

Abstract

This study aims to examine the influence of population size, education level, and economic growth on poverty in regencies/municipalities within the Aceh Province. The research employs a combination of cross-sectional and time series data from 23 regencies/municipalities in Aceh Province during the period 2019–2023. Data analysis was conducted using panel data regression with the assistance of Eviews software. Based on the analysis, the selected model is the Random Effects Model (REM), which indicates that, partially, both population size and education level have a negative and significant effect on poverty in the regencies/municipalities of Aceh Province. In contrast, economic growth has a positive but statistically insignificant effect. Simultaneously, population size, education level, and economic growth are found to have a positive and significant effect on poverty in the regencies/municipalities of Aceh Province.
THE ROLE OF EXPORT POLICIES AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATION IN POVERTY REDUCTION IN INDONESIA WITHIN THE FRAMEWORK OF THE SDGS Sari, Cut Putri Mellita; Nailufar, Fanny; Trisniarti, Noviami; Yunita, Nur Afni
Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics Vol. 8 No. 1 (2025): JOURNAL OF MALIKUSSALEH PUBLIC ECONOMICS
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Malikussaleh

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jompe.v8i1.22322

Abstract

This study analyzes the role of export policies and environmental conservation in poverty reduction in Indonesia within the framework of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The main focus is directed towards palm oil exports as a proxy for export policy and the area of reforestation as a proxy for environmental conservation efforts, with the number of poor people as the dependent variable. This study uses time series data from 2000–2023 and a linear-log regression approach. The research finds that an increase in palm oil export volume significantly reduces the number of poor people, affirming the role of the strategic export sector in supporting overall economic growth. On the contrary, reforestation shows a positive relationship with the number of poor people, indicating that conservation policies have not yet fully responded to the social and community welfare dimensions. The R² test result of 82.12% indicates that the model has a strong explanatory power. This research recommends a synergy between economic and environmental policies in an integrated manner so that poverty alleviation efforts align with ecosystem protection and local community empowerment.
THE EFFECT OF GOVERNMENT SPENDING IN THE HEALTH, EDUCATION AND SOCIAL PROTECTION SECTORS ON INCOME INEQUALITY IN INDONESIA Amanda Mahviza Harahap; Fanny Nailufar; Ichsan; Zata Hasyyati
Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026): JOURNAL OF MALIKUSSALEH PUBLIC ECONOMICS
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Malikussaleh

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jompe.v9i1.26126

Abstract

This study aims to examine the effect of government spending in the health, education, and social protection sectors on income inequality in Indonesia. The data used in this study are secondary data in the form of a time series from 2005 to 2024 obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics. The data analysis method uses multiple linear regression. The results show that government spending in the health sector has a negative and significant effect on income inequality in Indonesia. Government spending in the education sector has a positive and significant effect on income inequality in Indonesia. Government spending in the social protection sector does not have a significant effect on income inequality in Indonesia. Simultaneously, government spending in the health, education, and social protection sectors has a positive and significant effect on income inequality in Indonesia.
THE EFFECT OF ECONOMIC GROWTH, POPULATION GROWTH AND UNEMPLOYMENT ON POVERTY LEVELS IN INDONESIA Yuli Annisa; Ratna; Fanny Nailufar; Noviami Trisniarti
Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026): JOURNAL OF MALIKUSSALEH PUBLIC ECONOMICS
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Malikussaleh

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jompe.v9i1.27158

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of economic growth, population growth, and unemployment on poverty levels in Indonesia in both the short and long run. The data used are time series data for the period 1991–2024, sourced from the Central Bureau of Statistics and the World Bank. The analytical method employed is the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to examine both short-term and long-term relationships among variables. The results show that in the short run, economic growth has a negative effect on poverty levels in Indonesia, while population growth and unemployment have positive effects on poverty levels. In the long run, economic growth also has a negative effect on poverty levels, whereas population growth and unemployment continue to have positive effects on poverty levels. This implies that an increase in economic growth can reduce poverty levels. Conversely, population growth and unemployment contribute to an increase in poverty levels.
Analisis Dampak Sosial-Ekonomi Banjir terhadap Rumah Tangga di Kecamatan Tanah Jambo Aye Kabupaten Aceh Utara Khairisma Khairisma; Fanny Nailufar; Noviami Trisniarti; Yoesrizal Muhammad Yoesoef
Aksi Kita: Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Vol. 2 No. 1 (2026): JANUARI-FEBRUARI
Publisher : Indo Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63822/mzwmx289

Abstract

Bencana banjir merupakan ancaman hidrometeorologi yang sering terjadi di Indonesia dan berdampak signifikan terhadap kondisi sosial ekonomi rumah tangga. Pada akhir tahun 2025, banjir besar melanda Kabupaten Aceh Utara, termasuk Kecamatan Tanah Jambo Aye yang memiliki karakteristik wilayah semi-perkotaan dengan aktivitas ekonomi relatif tinggi. Kegiatan pengabdian masyarakat ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis dampak sosial ekonomi banjir terhadap rumah tangga dan infrastruktur desa di Desa Kota Panton Labu, Desa Meunasah Panton, dan Desa Samakurok. Kegiatan dilaksanakan melalui pendekatan deskriptif–partisipatif berbasis survei lapangan pada tanggal 9–12 Januari 2025. Pengumpulan data dilakukan menggunakan kuesioner terstruktur, observasi langsung, dan wawancara dengan rumah tangga terdampak serta aparatur desa. Fokus kajian meliputi tingkat kerusakan rumah, kehilangan aset rumah tangga, dampak terhadap mata pencaharian, serta kerusakan infrastruktur dasar desa. Hasil kegiatan menunjukkan bahwa banjir menyebabkan kerusakan rumah dari kategori ringan hingga berat, termasuk rumah yang tidak layak huni, disertai kehilangan aset penting, terhentinya usaha kecil, serta kerugian pada sektor pertanian dan peternakan. Kerusakan infrastruktur, khususnya drainase dan jalan desa, meningkatkan risiko banjir susulan dan memperlambat pemulihan. Dampak sosial yang muncul meliputi trauma psikologis, pengungsian, dan keterbatasan akses air bersih. Temuan ini menegaskan bahwa dampak banjir di wilayah semi-perkotaan bersifat kompleks dan multidimensional, sehingga diperlukan kebijakan pemulihan dan mitigasi banjir yang responsif, berbasis kebutuhan masyarakat, dan berkelanjutan.
ANALISIS PENGARUH LUAS KAWASAN HUTAN, KONSUMSI ENERGI FOSIL, DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI TERHADAP EMISI CO₂ DI INDONESIA Fanny Nailufar; Mahyul Fattah
Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian Unimal Vol. 8 No. 2 (2025): JURNAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN UNIMAL
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Malikussaleh - Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jepu.v8i2.24212

Abstract

This study examines the influence of forest area, fossil fuel consumption, and economic growth on CO₂ emissions in Indonesia in the short- and long-term. Using secondary data from 1992 to 2023 obtained from the World Bank and Our World in Data, the analysis applies a dynamic Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model with EViews. The results indicate that, in the short term, forest area positively and significantly affects CO₂ emissions, while fossil fuel consumption and economic growth negatively and significantly affect CO₂ emissions. In the long term, forest area has an insignificant negative effect, whereas fossil fuel consumption and economic growth show significant positive effects
FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI EKSPOR CRUDE PALM OIL (CPO) INDONESIA PERIODE 1992-2025 umaruddin usman; Fanny Nailufar
Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian Unimal Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026): JURNAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN UNIMAL
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Malikussaleh - Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jepu.v9i1.28636

Abstract

The aim of this research is to examine how much of an impact land area and CPO production make onIndonesia’s CPO exports between 1992 and 2025. There has been an ongoing trend of an increasing amount ofCPO exports by Indonesia as a result of high international demand coming from such countries as India, China,and Pakistan. Nevertheless, the quantity of the exports is affected by numerous internal factors among whichone can name the CPO production and the land area. The stability of the CPO production as a key non-oil andgas export commodity should be preserved, and it is necessary to determine the factors that have a strong effecton Indonesia’s CPO exports. This study will consider the internal factors of oil palm land area and CPOproduction as one model within the period of 1991-2025 (34 years). This research adopts a time series data setof a longer duration compared to previous researchers; hence, it enables a more stable and comprehensiveanalysis of the dynamic of CPO exports of Indonesia. The model employed in this research is the ordinary leastsquares (OLS) method for identifying the direction and intensity of impact of each variable both concurrentlyand partially on CPO exports. The findings of this research show that the plantation area of oil palms and theproduction of CPO have a positive and significant impact on CPO exports of Indonesia. Higher production ofCPO and optimal utilization of productive land areas are among the major elements that enhance CPO exportsof Indonesia in the period between 1992 and 2025. However, export performance is further shaped by externalfactors, such as fluctuations in global CPO prices, movements in the rupiah exchange rate, international tradepolicies, and sustainability regulations imposed by destination countries.
DETERMINAN MAKROEKONOMI EMISI KARBON SEKTOR PERTANIAN DI INDONESIA: BUKTI EMPIRIS DARI MODEL ARDL Cut Putri Mellita Sari; Noviami Trisniarti; Fanny Nailufar
Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian Unimal Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026): JURNAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN UNIMAL
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Malikussaleh - Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jepu.v9i1.29081

Abstract

The agricultural sector plays an important role in Indonesia’s economy; however, its production activities also contribute to carbon emissions through the use of energy, synthetic fertilizers, and natural resource-based inputs. This study aims to analyze the effects of economic growth, inflation, and exchange rates on agricultural carbon emissions in Indonesia and to examine whether economic growth has achieved decoupling from environmental pressure. The novelty of this study lies in its focus on analyzing the macroeconomic determinants of agricultural carbon emissions in Indonesia using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach, which remains limited in previous literature. Using annual data for the period 1990–2024, the results indicate the existence of a long-run relationship among the variables. Economic growth and exchange rates have a positive and significant effect on carbon emissions, while inflation is statistically insignificant. These findings suggest that Indonesia’s economic growth still follows a resource-intensive development pattern, highlighting the need for low-carbon agricultural transformation through green technologies and improved efficiency in production inputs. Keywords: agricultural carbon emissions; economic growth; inflation; exchange rate; ARDL