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All Journal Media Statistika Statistika BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) J Statistika: Jurnal Ilmiah Teori dan Aplikasi Statistika Jurnal Varian Jurnal Teknologi Informasi : Jurnal Keilmuan dan Aplikasi Bidang Teknik Informatika Jurnal Abdi Insani ESTIMASI: Journal of Statistics and Its Application International Journal Of Science, Technology & Management (IJSTM) JAMBURA JOURNAL OF PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS Jurnal Siger Matematika Journal of Research Applications in Community Services Eksponensial STATISTIKA Journal of Education Technology and Information System
Sifriyani, Sifriyani
Statistics Study Program, Department Of Mathematics, Faculty Of Mathematics And Natural Sciences, Mulawarman University, Samarinda
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Journal : Media Statistika

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SUSCEPTIBLE INFECTED RECOVERED (SIR) MODEL FOR ESTIMATING COVID-19 REPRODUCTION NUMBER IN EAST KALIMANTAN AND SAMARINDA Sifriyani, Sifriyani; Rosadi, Dedi
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 13, No 2 (2020): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.13.2.170-181

Abstract

Modeling and analysis of Covid-19 data, especially on the modeling the spread and the prediction of the total number of cases for Indonesian data, has been conducted by several researchers. However, to the best of our knowledge, it has not been studied specifically for East Kalimantan Province data. The study of the data on the level of provincial and District/City level could help the government in making policies. In this study, we estimate the Covid-19 reproduction number, calculate the rate of recovery, the rate of infection, and the rate of death of East Kalimantan Province and Samarinda City. We also provide a prediction of the peak of the infection cases and forecast the total incidence of Covid-19 cases until the end of 2020. The model used in this research is the Susceptible Infected Recovered (SIR) model and the data used in the study was obtained from the East Kalimantan Public Health Office.
Co-Authors A'yun, Qonita Qurrota Abda Abda Adhitya Ronnie Effendie, Adhitya Ronnie Afif Nurdiansyah, Mochamad Afriani, Nur Alam, Muhammad Zainul Andrea Tri Rian Dani Angeline Seru, Indra Anggraeni, Sitti Anisar, Anggi Putri Asnita, Asnita Astafira, Ilyas Atarezcha Pangruruk, Thesya Aufi, Tresna Restu Aulia, Nabila Bahriah, Ayu Chairunnisa, Nurul Rizky Christian, Diego Clemensius Arles Damayanti, Elok Dani, Andrea Dani, Andrea Tri Rian Darnah Andi Nohe Darnah, Darnah Dedi Rosadi Deni Sunaryo Eka Nur Amaliah Erlyne Nadhilah Widyaningrum Etty Puji Lestari Fadlirhohim, Rizki Dwi Fatia Fatimah Fauziyah, Meirinda Febriana Rinda Sihotang Febriyani, Eka Riche Fidia Deny Tisna Amijaya Gerald Claudio Messakh Gunardi Gunardi Hardina Sandariria Hidayanty, Nurul Ilma Hillidatul Ilmi I Nyoman Budiantara Ika Purnamasari Ilmi, Hillidatul indarsih, Indarsih Kesuma, Ahmad Rizky Khoiruddin, Ahmad Zulfikar Khotimah, Ariska Khusnul Koirudin, Hadi Kosasih, Raditya Arya Lestari, Tri Septi Ayu M. Fariz Fadillah Mardianto Mahmuda, Siti Mar'ah, Zakiyah Mar’ah, Zakiyah Memi Nor Hayati Memi Nor Hayati Messakh, Gerald Claudio Mohammad Nurul Huda Muhammad Hunaipi Pratama Mulyadi, Taqriri Kamal Mumtaz, Ghina Fadhilla Nabilla, Maghrisa Ayu Nadia Serena NARITA YURI ADRIANINGSIH Nariza Wanti Wulan Sari Nasywa, Syarifah Novalia, Viona Nugraha, Pratama Yuly Nur, Yumi Handayani Nuraini, Ulfa Siti Nurmayanti, Wiwit Pura Nurul Istiqomah Padatuan, Aprianti Boma Pangruruk , Thesya Atarezcha Pangruruk Paradilla, Yunda Sasha Pasarella, Muhammad Danil Purnaraga, Tirta Putra, Fachrian Bimantoro Putri, Asyifa Charmadya Rabiatul Adawiyah Rahman, Athaya Azahra Rahmania Rahmania Raihani, Risti Rian Dani, Andrea Tri Rinanda, Farikah Ayu Rito Goejantoro, Rito Salsabila, Adellia Saputri, Marisa Nanda Sari, Ar Ruum Mia Saska, Indria Shalihatunnisa, Shalihatunnisa SITI MAHMUDAH Sitohang, Frans Karta Sayoga Solikhah, Arifatus Solikhatun, Solikhatun Sri Wahyuni Sri Wahyuningsih Surya Prangga Suyitno Suyitno Syaripuddin Syaripuddin Tamba, Felicia Joy Rotua Tandi Kala, Ezra Alfrianto Tutik Handayani Tutik Handayani, Tutik Uha Isnaini Vita Ratnasari Wahyujati, Mohamad Fahruli Wasono, Wasono Wianita Noviani Wiyli Yustanti Yuniarti, Desi Zarkasi, Rifka Nurfaiza Zen, Muhammad Aldani