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Analisis Respon Kredit Perbankan terhadap Kebijakan Quantitative Easing di Masa Pandemi Covid-19 di Indonesia: Institut Pertanian Bogor Fikri, Reza Jamilah; Iman Sugema; Syamsul Hidayat Pasaribu
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan Vol. 12 No. 2 (2023): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.12.2.2023.185-204

Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengidentifikasi respon kredit/pembiayaan perbankan dan menganalisis variabel karakteristik bank apa saja yang menyebabkan dan berpotensi membedakan respon kredit/pembiayaan perbankan setelah penerapan kebijakan Quantitative Easing selama pandemi Covid-19 di Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan Tipologi Klaassen, Analisis Diskriminan, dan metode Multinomial Logistic. Dengan data kuantitatif dari 30 bank yang masuk dalam buku 2 dan 3, diperoleh hasil bahwa Pada Quantitative Easing 1 masing-masing terdapat 15 bank yang memiliki pertumbuhan kredit/pembiayaan positif, sedangkan pada pelonggaran kuantitatif 2 terdapat 14 bank yang memiliki pertumbuhan kredit/pembiayaan positif dan 16 bank dengan pertumbuhan kredit/pembiayaan stagnan atau negatif dengan variabel yang dapat membedakan respon kredit bank adalah pertumbuhan deposit. Studi ini juga menyimpulkan bahwa dengan metode Multinomial Logistic menunjukkan bahwa variabel positif yang signifikan di semua kuadran adalah rasio aset sekuritas terhadap total aset

Dampak Program Bantuan Sosial Tunai terhadap Kemiskinan Rumah Tangga di Kabupaten Bogor: Badan Informasi Geospasial , Institut Pertanian Bogor Juanda, Bambang; Sugema, Iman; Nurhasanah, Siti
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan Vol. 13 No. 1 (2024): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.13.1.2024.30-43

Pandemi Covid-19 menyebabkan jumlah penduduk miskin bertambah lebih dari 26 juta orang pada Maret 2020. Jumlah tersebut merupakan yang tertinggi sejak tahun 2017. Untuk menyelamatkan hidup keluarga miskin yang terdampak pandemi, Pemerintah melalui Kementerian Sosial berupaya untuk memaksimalkan program Bantuan Sosial Tunai (BST). Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengkaji dampak program BST terhadap kemiskinan rumah tangga penerima program BST di Kabupaten Bogor. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode quasi eksperimental dengan membagi rumah tangga menjadi kelompok treatment dan kelompok control. Kelompok treatment dalam penelitian ini adalah rumah tangga penerima program BST. Sedangkan kelompok control adalah rumah tangga yang tidak menerima program BST. Penelitian ini menggunakan data primer dari 80 rumah tangga di Desa Karihkil, Kecamatan Ciseeng, Kabupaten Bogor. Untuk mendapatkan kelompok control yang serupa dengan kelompok treatment, penelitian menggunakan metode propensity score matching (PSM) dengan model probit. Metode analisis kuantitatif yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah metode difference in difference (DID). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa program BST tidak memberikan dampak signifikan terhadap kemiskinan rumah tangga di Kabupaten Bogor.

Assessing The Impacts of Food and Mouth Disease Outbreak on The Indonesian Economy and Its Regional Growth Sahara, Sahara; Sugema, Iman; Amaliah, Syarifah; Probokawuryan, Mutiara; Ahmad, Fahmi Salam
Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis Vol. 20 No. 3 (2023): JMA Vol. 20 No. 3, November 2023
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17358/jma.20.3.513

Foot and mouth disease (FMD) is typically endemic and commonly found as a recurring issue in many developing countries, including Indonesia. In 2022, FMD has massively spread to 62 districts and cities so that it was declared an outbreak which caused significant economic losses. In this paper, we attempt to assess the impacts of FMD on the Indonesian economy by using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) approach. The results show that the FMD outbreak caused negative pressure on national economic growth, reducing the real wage and consumption, as well as exacerbating trade deficit. The outbreak also induced higher prices of beef and dairy sectors as well as their related sectors. Based on the regional perspective, the main production regions of beef and dairy are expected to suffer higher economic loss than that of other regions. Meanwhile, at the household level, the outbreak caused considerable effect in lowering income and consumption, particularly for rural farm households. Some necessary policies to overcome the outbreak, consisting of establishing a FMD handling post, promoting vaccination, extending financial supports, and maintaining communication and transparency with other countries regarding the outbreak status. Keywords: Computable General Equilibrium (CGE), Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD), livestock, macroeconomy, regional

Impacts of Covid-19 Pandemics and Wealth on Household Consumption in Java Island Murti, Prima Puspita Indra; Siregar, Hermanto; Sugema, Iman
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 12, No 2 (2023)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University of Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v12i2.32336

Household consumption, which has changed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, can survive by using their wealth to restore consumption levels. The current research analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the role of wealth in household consumption in Java, which has the largest share of the economy. Using panel data from 119 regencies/cities in Java Island during the 2017-2021 period due to data availability shows that there have been changes in household consumption patterns during the pandemic. The results of the panel data analysis show that the COVID-19 pandemic has a negative effect on household consumption. In contrast, wealth positively affects household consumption in almost all provinces on the island of Java. These results suggest increasing asset ownership for households to maximize wealth, positively affecting household consumption, mainly when shocks occur.JEL Classification: D19, E21, H31How to Cite:Murti, P. P. I., Siregar, H., & Sugema, I. (2023). Impacts of Covid-19 Pandemic and Wealth on Household Consumption in Java Island. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(2), 371-382. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie. v12i2.32336.

Quantitative Easing and Economic Stability: Adaptive Strategies in Indonesia’s New Trinity Framework Akbar, Dudi Duta; Siregar, Hermanto; Sugema, Iman; Anggraeni, Lukytawati
International Journal of Economics Development Research (IJEDR) Vol. 6 No. 5 (2025): International Journal of Economics Development Research (IJEDR)
Publisher : Yayasan Riset dan Pengembangan Intelektual

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37385/ijedr.v6i5.8086

This study investigates how Quantitative Easing (QE), as an unconventional monetary policy, affects Indonesia's macroeconomic stability amidst increasing global volatility. While QE is intended to stimulate liquidity and economic recovery, its implementation in emerging economies like Indonesia faces structural constraints involving inflation control, exchange rate management, and monetary policy independence. Using 64 quarterly observations from 2007 to 2023, this quantitative research applies nonlinear econometric models including Threshold Vector Autoregression (TVAR), Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR), and Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression (TVP-VAR) to capture regime-dependent and time-varying policy dynamics. The analysis focuses on Indonesia’s macro-financial variables, including policy interest rate, inflation, GDP growth, REER, stock market index (IHSG), and government bonds (SUN). The study adopts the “new monetary trinity” framework, integrating financial stability alongside exchange rate and monetary autonomy. The main findings highlight nonlinear and time-varying relationships among variables: in low-volatility regimes, QE supports inflation control and bond stability, while in high-volatility regimes, it intensifies pressure on GDP and erodes monetary independence. The burden-sharing mechanism between the central bank and the government proves critical in sustaining liquidity and investor confidence. These insights underscore the need for adaptive, well-coordinated fiscal-monetary strategies to enhance resilience in Indonesia and other emerging markets.

Impacts of Covid-19 Pandemics and Wealth on Household Consumption in Java Island Murti, Prima Puspita Indra; Siregar, Hermanto; Sugema, Iman
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 2 (2023)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v12i2.32336

Household consumption, which has changed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, can survive by using their wealth to restore consumption levels. The current research analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the role of wealth in household consumption in Java, which has the largest share of the economy. Using panel data from 119 regencies/cities in Java Island during the 2017-2021 period due to data availability shows that there have been changes in household consumption patterns during the pandemic. The results of the panel data analysis show that the COVID-19 pandemic has a negative effect on household consumption. In contrast, wealth positively affects household consumption in almost all provinces on the island of Java. These results suggest increasing asset ownership for households to maximize wealth, positively affecting household consumption, mainly when shocks occur.JEL Classification: D19, E21, H31How to Cite:Murti, P. P. I., Siregar, H., & Sugema, I. (2023). Impacts of Covid-19 Pandemic and Wealth on Household Consumption in Java Island. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(2), 371-382. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie. v12i2.32336.

Mapping the Knowledge Structure and Research Trends in Rice Market Networks: A Bibliometric Analysis: IPB University Azzahra, Latifah Fajrin; Sugema, Iman; Sahara, Sahara
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 14 No 2 (2025): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.14.2.2025.151-173

Beras merupakan bahan pangan pokok bagi lebih dari setengah populasi dunia. Meningkatnya permintaan global dan volatilitas harga menuntut pemahaman yang lebih mendalam mengenai dinamika jaringan pasar beras. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memetakan struktur pengetahuan dan menguji validasi empiris riset bertema rice market networks melalui pendekatan bibliometrik dan analisis spillover. Sebanyak 51 dokumen dari basis data Scopus (1990–2024) dianalisis menggunakan Biblioshiny dan VOSviewer untuk mengidentifikasi tren publikasi, kolaborasi ilmiah, serta tema dominan dalam literatur. Hasil analisis menunjukkan peningkatan signifikan dalam jumlah publikasi bertema “network of rice market”, dengan Food Security dan Plos One sebagai jurnal utama, serta dominasi kontribusi penelitian dari kawasan Asia, terutama Tiongkok dan Indonesia. Secara empiris, analisis tambahan terhadap data harga beras di Pulau Jawa (2017–2024) menunjukkan keterhubungan pasar yang moderat dengan Total Spillover index sebesar 17,6 persen, mencerminkan integrasi regional yang berkembang namun masih dipengaruhi faktor lokal. Temuan ini mengonfirmasi relevansi antara lanskap riset global dan dinamika pasar domestik. Studi ini membuka peluang penelitian lanjutan mengenai integrasi pasar pangan, transmisi harga, serta efektivitas kebijakan stabilisasi harga di tingkat regional Indonesia.

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