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All Journal JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Jurnal Manajemen dan Agribisnis Signifikan : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Indonesian Journal of Business and Entrepreneurship (IJBE) Agro Ekonomi Jurnal Resolusi Konflik, CSR dan Pemberdayaan (Jurnal CARE) Jurnal Ekonomi Indonesia
Ahmad, Fahmi Salam
Departement Of Economics, Faculty Of Economics And Management, IPB University
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education

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El Nino And Determinants of The Output of Micro and Small Industry in Java Hermanto Siregar; Fahmi Salam Ahmad; Heni Hasanah; Syamsul Hidayat Pasaribu
Indonesian Journal of Business and Entrepreneurship (IJBE) Vol. 6 No. 1 (2020): IJBE, Vol. 6 No. 1, January 2020
Publisher : School of Business, IPB University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17358/ijbe.6.1.97

Abstract

Micro and small industry sector plays an important role in the economy of a country including Indonesia, due to its large contribution to gross domestic product and its large labor absorption. The output of the sector is influenced by economic variables and non-economic factors such as the El Nino climate phenomenon. The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of these economic factors and the climate phenomenon on the output of micro and small industries in Java by using panel data, which are combination of cross section and time series, i.e. 6 provinces of Java from 2011 to 2017. The results showed that these economic factors have positive effect on the output while El Nino has negative effect. In accordance with these results, the government needs to actively facilitate micro and small industries in the fulfillment of economic factors and assist the business actors in anticipating and mitigating the impact of El Nino. Keywords: Economic factors, El Nino, micro and small industry, panel data method
The Impact of El Nino on Inflation in Regional Indonesia: Spatial Panel Approach Fahmi Salam Ahmad; Hermanto Siregar; Syamsul Hidayat Pasaribu
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 8, No 1 (2019)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University of Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1474.118 KB) | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v8i1.7130

Abstract

The study about the relationship between climate and economy is essential because it’s understanding is the key to formulate the effective economic policy. El Nino is one of the climate phenomena's that directly impact Indonesia, so it is necessary to analyze its effect on the macroeconomic condition such as inflation. This study aims to analyze the impact of El Nino as an external factor and the impact of another relevant economic factor on the macroeconomic condition such as inflation at the regional level (province) in Indonesia. The method used is a spatial panel method to capture the effect of inter-regional spatial interactions. The results show that El Nino has a positive effect on inflation in the southern Indonesian provinces that are affected by El Nino, but no effect in northern Indonesia. The other significant determinants of regional inflation are minimum wage, local revenue, local government spending, and infrastructure. There is significant spatial dependence on regional inflation in Indonesia, indicating that the inflations of its neighboring provinces influence the inflation of a province.
Dampak Pembangunan Jalan Tol Trans Jawa terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Jawa Tengah: Institut Pertanian Bogor Fahmi salam Ahmad
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 11 No 1 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.11.1.2022.1-18

Abstract

Road infrastructure as an element in transportation services is an important element in supporting mobility in the economic, social and cultural fields. One of the road infrastructures, namely toll roads, are built with the aim of increasing the efficiency of distribution services in order to support economic growth in order to realize the equitable development and the stability in regional development. This study analyzes the impact of the construction of Trans Java toll road on the economic growth of districts/cities in Central Java, one of the provinces crossed by this toll road. The analytical tool used is panel data regression. The results of the analysis show that the existence of toll roads increases economic growth in the districts/cities they pass through. Therefore, the agenda for expanding the coverage of districts/cities covered by toll roads in Central Java needs to be continued in order to support the stable and equitable development. Meanwhile, other factors such as human resources and the contribution of the agricultural sector also affect economic growth.
Socio-Economic Impact of Financing Facility on Low-income Communities and Developers in Indonesia Widyastutik Widyastutik; Sri Retno Wahyu Nugraheni; Fahmi Salam Ahmad; Kurniawan Khristianto; Yenni Nur 'Aini
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 11, No 2 (2022)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University of Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v11i2.26589

Abstract

Housing financing is one of the essential solutions to make it easier for people to access the need for livable houses. One of the subsidy schemes from the government is the Housing Financing Liquidity Facility (FLPP) by BLU PPDPP. This study focuses on the socio-economic impact of FLPP at the micro level for low-income communities (MBR) and developers. Two econometric approaches are used to analyze: one-way t-tests and linear regression analyses. The analysis results show the impact of FLPP on the micro level for MBR and developers provides a better improvement in welfare. The developer company that distributes FLPP has an increase in welfare from various aspects such as demand for housing units, company image, and company assets. For MBR, there are improvements in terms of income, education, health, work, and other supporting infrastructure.How to Cite:Widyastutik., Nugraheni, S. R. W., Ahmad, F. S., Khristianto, K., & Aini, Y. N. (2022). Socio-Economic Impact of Financing Facility on Low-Income Communities and Developers in Indonesia. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 11(2), 219-238. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v11i2.26589.
Covid-19 Pandemic and Volatility of Sugar Price at Regional Level in Indonesia for The Period August 2018-August 2021 Meliany, Birka Septy; Sahara; Probokawuryan, Mutiara; Ahmad, Fahmi Salam
Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis Vol. 19 No. 2 (2022): JMA Vol. 19 No. 2, July 2022
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17358/jma.19.2.229

Abstract

It is expected that the COVID-19 pandemic provides a significant impact on food price volatility in many products including sugar. The paper aims to analyze the price dynamic of sugar before covid (1st August – 2nd March 2020) and during the covid outbreak (3rd March – 31th August 2021) in all provinces in Indonesia by using the t-test and ARCH GARCH model. Based on Augmented Dickey-Fuller analysis before and during covid, the prices of sugar in Indonesia were stationary at the “first difference”. The results reveal that the prices of sugar in all provinces in Indonesia before covid was lower compared to during the COVID-19 pandemic. According to ARCH GARCH results, sugar prices were much more volatile in Riau, Jambi, West Java, East Nusa Tenggara, West Kalimantan, South Sulawesi, Central Sulawesi, and West Papua. As such, the government should focus to reduce the price volatility of sugar in these provinces. Keywords: ARCH GARCH, COVID-19, sugar prices, stationarity, volatility
Assessing The Impacts of Food and Mouth Disease Outbreak on The Indonesian Economy and Its Regional Growth Sahara, Sahara; Sugema, Iman; Amaliah, Syarifah; Probokawuryan, Mutiara; Ahmad, Fahmi Salam
Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis Vol. 20 No. 3 (2023): JMA Vol. 20 No. 3, November 2023
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17358/jma.20.3.513

Abstract

Foot and mouth disease (FMD) is typically endemic and commonly found as a recurring issue in many developing countries, including Indonesia. In 2022, FMD has massively spread to 62 districts and cities so that it was declared an outbreak which caused significant economic losses. In this paper, we attempt to assess the impacts of FMD on the Indonesian economy by using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) approach. The results show that the FMD outbreak caused negative pressure on national economic growth, reducing the real wage and consumption, as well as exacerbating trade deficit. The outbreak also induced higher prices of beef and dairy sectors as well as their related sectors. Based on the regional perspective, the main production regions of beef and dairy are expected to suffer higher economic loss than that of other regions. Meanwhile, at the household level, the outbreak caused considerable effect in lowering income and consumption, particularly for rural farm households. Some necessary policies to overcome the outbreak, consisting of establishing a FMD handling post, promoting vaccination, extending financial supports, and maintaining communication and transparency with other countries regarding the outbreak status. Keywords: Computable General Equilibrium (CGE), Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD), livestock, macroeconomy, regional
Dampak Akses-Infrastruktur, Penggunaan, Dan Keahlian Teknologi Informasi Dan Komunikasi Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Hutagaol, Manuntun Parulian; Sibarani , David Richardo; Ahmad, Fahmi Salam; Asmara, Alla; Alexandi, Muhammad Findi
Jurnal Resolusi Konflik, CSR dan Pemberdayaan (CARE) Vol. 8 No. 2 (2023): Inovasi Sosial dan Pemberdayaan Masyarakat
Publisher : Center for Alternative Dispute Resolution and Empowerment (CARE) IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Pembangunan Teknologi Informasi dan Komunikasi (TIK) semakin pesat dan pemerintah akan memanfaatkannya sebagai sumber pertumbuhan ekonomi utama di masa depan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengukur dampak pembangunan TIK terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia secara keseluruhan dan membandingkannya antara Indonesia bagian barat dan Indonesia bagian timur. Variabel independen utama yang digunakan, yaitu subindeks akses-infrastruktur TIK, subindeks penggunaan TIK, serta subindeks keahlian TIK. PDRB digunakan sebagai variabel dependen. Data terdiri dari 33 provinsi sepanjang tahun 2012 – 2021. REM menjadi pilihan terbaik untuk ketiga model. Berdasarakan hasil model pertama sisi akses-infrastruktur dan penggunaan TIK secara signifikan berdampak positif terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Sementara itu, hasil model kedua dan ketiga menunjukkan bahwa Indonesia bagian timur merasakan dampak lebih besar untuk sisi akses-infrastruktur. Sedangkan, pada sisi penggunaan hanya Indonesia bagian barat saja yang secara signifikan berdampak positif. Kata Kunci: Akses-Infrastruktur, Keahlian, Penggunaan, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, TIK
Defisit Neraca Perdagangan: J-Curve, Perang Dagang dan Model Salter Corden Firdaus, Muhammad; Satriani, Rini; Amaliah, Syarifah; Salam, Fahmi Ahmad; Fazri, Muhammad
Jurnal Ikatan Sarjana Ekonomi Indonesia Vol 8 No 2 (2019): December
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52813/jei.v8i2.34

Abstract

Exchange rate fluctuations and external shocks such as the trade war are predicted to put pressure on Indonesia’s trade balance. Based on VECM analysis, the exchange rate and Indonesia’s aggregate trade balance followed the J-Curve. Additionally, the trade war had impact on Rupiah depreciation and trade balance. The study also confirms eight export-oriented industries that are resilient to shocks and classified into four behaviors: (i) industries following the J-Curve; (ii) industries following the J-Curve in the long run; (iii) industriy which are not fully confirmed J-Curve, and (iv) Rest sector. The implication of this study emphasize the development of export-oriented and labor-intensive industries (Salter-Corden model). Keywords: J Curve; exchange rate; trade war; Salter Coden Model; VECM ------------------------------------------- Pergerakan nilai tukar Rupiah dan guncangan eksternal seperti perang dagang diprediksi akan memberikan tekanan terhadap neraca perdagangan. Berdasarkan analisis VECM, nilai tukar rupiah dan neraca perdagangan Indonesia secara agregat mengikuti fenomena J-Curve. Perang dagang terbukti memengaruhi depresiasi nilai tukar Rupiah dan neraca perdagangan Indonesia. Terdapat delapan industri berorientasi ekspor yang memiliki resiliensi terhadap guncangan dan diklasifikasikan menjadi empat, yakni: (i) Kelompok industri yang mengikuti fenomena J-Curve sepenuhnya; (ii) Kelompok industri dengan fenomena J-Curve pada jangka panjang; (iii) Kelompok industri yang tidak sepenuhnya mengikuti fenomena J-Curve, dan (iv) Industri lainnya. Implikasi studi ini menekankan pengembangan industri yang berorientasi ekspor dan intensif tenaga kerja (Salter-Corden model).
Are Official Statistics Underexploited by Researchers and Policymakers? The Case of Agriculture Sector in Indonesia Priyarsono, Dominicus Savio; Ahmad, Fahmi Salam
Agro Ekonomi Vol 36, No 1 (2025): JUNE 2025
Publisher : Department of Agricultural Socio-Economics Faculty of Agriculture Universitas Gadjah Mada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22146/ae.92071

Abstract

This study is intended to evaluate the utilization of official statistics for academic research as well as for policymaking in agriculture sector in Indonesia.  To achieve the goal a conceptual framework of the relationship among official statistics, academic research, and policymaking was constructed.  The intensity of official statistics use for academic research was examined by analyzing the content of 7814 articles published in all 47 scientific journals officially affiliated with the Indonesian Society of Agricultural Economics (PERHEPI), 1978-2023.  It is found that the majority of the articles (62.6%) did not use BPS data. Furthermore, in the last two decades the utilization of secondary data for academic research papers tends to decrease, from 55.7% of the total articles published in 2004-2013 to 42.4% in 2014-2023. These results of calculation and other quantitative analyses were shown to 80 prominent resource persons for evaluation.  The majority of the respondents assessed that the level of utilization of BPS data was low or very low.  The factors that determine the level of utilization are relevance, accessibility, preference, and quality of the data.  The respondents also identified the needs to solve the problems of communication, collaboration, and coordination among the stakeholders of the ecosystem (official statistics agency, academia, and policymakers) to improve the functioning of the ecosystem of data utilization.  These findings are potentially beneficial for providing points of consideration in public discourses including those for revising the statistics law (UU Statistik) that has been undertaken by lawmakers in the Indonesian parliament (DPR) since 2023.
Co-Authors Alexandi, Muhammad Findi Alla Asmara Dominicus Savio Priyarsono Fazri, Muhammad Heni Hasanah Hermanto Siregar Hutagaol, Manuntun Paruliah Kurniawan Khristianto Meliany, Birka Septy Muhammad Firdaus Probokawuryan, Mutiara Sahara Sahara Sahara Satriani, Rini Sibarani , David Richardo Sri Retno Wahyu Nugraheni Sugema, Iman Syamsul Hidayat Pasaribu Syarifah Amaliah Widyastutik Yenni Nur 'Aini