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All Journal SITEKIN: Jurnal Sains, Teknologi dan Industri JURNAL PASTI (PENELITIAN DAN APLIKASI SISTEM DAN TEKNIK INDUSTRI) OPERATION EXCELLENCE: Journal of Applied Industrial Engineering Journal of Development Research Jurnal Teknik Industri : Jurnal Hasil Penelitian dan Karya Ilmiah dalam Bidang Teknik Industri INTECOMS: Journal of Information Technology and Computer Science BIOEDUSAINS: Jurnal Pendidikan Biologi dan Sains Jurnal Serambi Engineering RADIAL: JuRnal PerADaban SaIns RekAyasan dan TeknoLogi Jurnal Optimalisasi Matrik : Jurnal Manajemen dan Teknik Industri Produksi JATI EMAS (Jurnal Aplikasi Teknik dan Pengabdian Masyarakat) Jurnal Teknik Industri Terintegrasi (JUTIN) Jurnal Surya Teknika Advance Sustainable Science, Engineering and Technology (ASSET) DedikasiMU: Journal of Community Service JUSTI (Jurnal Sistem dan Teknik Industri) Jurnal Teknologi dan Manajemen Industri Terapan Journal Industrial Engineering and Management (JUST-ME) JGEN : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat JUKEMAS : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat RADIAL: Jurnal Peradaban Sains, Rekayasa dan Teknologi
Yanuar Pandu Negoro
Universitas Muhammadiyah Gresik
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Journal : OPERATION EXCELLENCE: Journal of Applied Industrial Engineering

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Forecasting demand for frozen whole blocks of swanggi fish at PT. Hatni using a comparison of winter and decomposition methods Muslimah, Tsaqofi Bintang; Hidayat, Hidayat; Negoro, Yanuar Pandu
Operations Excellence: Journal of Applied Industrial Engineering Vol. 16, No. 3 (2024): OE November 2024
Publisher : Universitas Mercu Buana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22441/oe.2024.v16.i3.121

Abstract

PT. HATNI specializes in the export of frozen fish, particularly Swanggi (Priacanthus tayenus) and Kuniran fish. This study focuses on Swanggi fish due to its higher demand in the export market. Swanggi fish, a species of ray-finned marine fish, is characterized by blackish spots, large eyes, and a pink coloration, belonging to the family Priacanthidae. The objective of this research is to identify an effective forecasting method for estimating future export demand for frozen whole Swanggi fish, enabling the company to optimize its production and supply chain planning. Using 2023 data with evident seasonal patterns, trends, and seasonality, the study compares the Winter Multiplicative method and the Decomposition method. Through trial and error, the Winter Multiplicative method was identified as the most accurate, with parameters of α = 0.9, β = 0.1, and γ = 0.9. This method yielded the lowest error values: MAD of 1,602, MSD of 9,161,073, and MAPE of 3%. These results provide PT. HATNI with a reliable forecasting tool to meet future market demand effectively.
Co-Authors Abdulla Gimnastiyar Achmad Dani Syahfudin Achmad Firdaus FIrmansyah Adi Lesmana, Nurma Yogi Ahmad Azharuddin Akhmad Ghozali Fitrah Ikhsan Akhmad Wasiur Risqi Akhmad Wasiur Rizqi Alfath, Ramadhan Muhammad Alwan, Mohammad Rizki I’zaz Amrozi, Syaiful Ananda, Chika Fena Andi Rahmad Rahim Arman Maulana Akbar Arnanda Ahmad Ar Ridlo Aulia, Nanda Wahyu Dahda, Said Salim Deny Andesta Dzakiyah Widyaningrum Efta Dhartikasari Priyana Elly Ismiyah Ernawati Ernawati Evie Talia Nurrohmah Farid Zulianto Fernandi, Muhammad Ramadhan Fikri, M. Afdholul Firmansyah, Muhammad Machfud Fitrah Fitria Dama Yanti Fladisha Aminatus Sholikah Gimnastiyar, Abdulla Hajar Farodisah Hardiyanti, Mega Rahayu Hekmah, Lailatul Hidayat Hidayat Hidayat Hidayat Hidayat Hidayat, Mohammad Wahyu Hisyam Aziz Aditya Imam Wahyu Ramadhan M.Ridhwan Nuruddi Caesareno Aironic Manzilatul Firdaus Miskiyah, Roihatus Moch. Nuruddin Mochamad Mauludin Rizki Moh. Jufriyanto Mohammad Dian Kurniawan Mohammad Syihabuddin Alja’far Muhammad Echang Komarudin Muhammad Fahmi Adityah Muhammad Firman Afandi Muhammad Ramadhan Fernandi Muhammad Taufiqurrahman, Muhammad Muhammad Zahidil Mukhtar Mursyid, Agil Thoriq Muslimah, Tsaqofi Bintang Nina Aini Mahbubah Nurmawati, Lilik Octavia Vanessa Wiyose Parianti Parianti Pratama, Muhammad Rengga Arya Pratama, Muhammad Rizky Yoga Purwanto Purwanto Putri, Zachwa Sabitha Rizky Arifin Riris Dia Mariati Risqi, Akhmad Wasiur Rizqy Cahya Putra Fil Akbar Said Salim Dahdah Sakti, Salas Maulidan Rahma Salwatul Aisy Sari, Jihan Faustina Sukaris Suwanto, M Syachputra, Arizal Rizki Tajri, Tajri Wahyudi, Avif Mas Yadani, Dhidu Usrin Zulkarnain, Muhammad Zulfikar