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Analisa Perbandingan Metode Trend Moment dan Regresi Linear dalam Prediksi Kurs Mata Uang Rupiah terhadap Mata Uang Riyal Ananda, Rahmadan Alam Ardan; Nazir, Alwis; Oktavia, Lola; Haerani, Elin; Insani, Fitri
Journal of Computer System and Informatics (JoSYC) Vol 6 No 3 (2025): May 2025
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi (FKPT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/josyc.v6i3.7400

Abstract

Currency exchange rates play an important role in the economic stability of a country, especially in the context of international trade and global financial mobility. In Indonesia, fluctuations in the Rupiah exchange rate against the Saudi Arabian Riyal (SAR) have become a strategic issue, especially ahead of the Hajj season. This study aims to predict the exchange rate of Rupiah against Riyal in that period by using two forecasting approaches, namely Linear Regression and Trend Moment. The performance evaluation of both methods is conducted based on historical data using Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) indicators. The results show that Linear Regression provides a better level of accuracy with an MAE of 330.36 and a MAPE of 17.32%, compared to Trend Moment which has an MAE of 412.41 and a MAPE of 18.88%. This finding shows that Linear Regression is more effective in capturing the pattern of exchange rate changes that tend to be linear. The prediction results also show an increasing trend in the exchange rate ahead of the Hajj month, which correlates with the increasing demand for foreign exchange. The implications of these results can be utilized by prospective pilgrims, business actors, and the government in formulating more appropriate and adaptive financial strategies
SMS Phishing Detection Model with Hyperparameter Optimization in Machine Learning Abdillah, Rahmad; Insani, Fitri
Jurnal CoreIT: Jurnal Hasil Penelitian Ilmu Komputer dan Teknologi Informasi Vol 11, No 1 (2025): June 2025
Publisher : Fakultas Sains dan Teknologi, Universitas Islam Negeri Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24014/coreit.v11i1.35547

Abstract

Phishing is one of the growing cybersecurity threats, including through SMS, known as smishing. This research aims to build a model for SMS phishing detection using a machine learning approach optimized through hyperparameter tuning techniques. The data used is obtained from personal SMS messages collected through questionnaires, which are then labeled by information security experts. The SMS text is cleaned using Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques and represented using the TF-IDF method. Ten classification algorithms are tested in this study: K-NN, Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Decision Tree, Random Forest, AdaBoost, Bagging, ExtraTree, Gradient Boosting, and XGBoost. Hyperparameter optimization is performed using Grid Search and Optuna, and performance is evaluated using accuracy, F1-score, and ROC-AUC metrics. The results show that the SVM and Logistic Regression models performed the best, achieving accuracy up to 98.5%. Hyperparameter optimization techniques have proven effective in improving the performance of SMS phishing classification models. This research is expected to contribute to the development of accurate and efficient SMS phishing detection systems.
Penggunaan Convolutional Neural Network NASNetLarge Dalam Klasifikasi Citra Daging Babi dan Sapi Aqilah, M Alfandri; Jasril; Sanjaya, Suwanto; Insani, Fitri
Bulletin of Computer Science Research Vol. 5 No. 4 (2025): June 2025
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi (FKPT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/bulletincsr.v5i4.666

Abstract

The adulteration of beef with pork is a serious issue in Indonesia, particularly for Muslim consumers who are required to consume halal products. According to a Kompas (2020) report, a case of meat adulteration involving 100 kilograms of mixed meat sold as beef was discovered in Tangerang City. This practice not only violates religious laws but also poses threats to public health and consumer trust. To address this challenge, this study adopts a deep learning approach using NASNetLarge for the classification of pork, beef, and mixed meat images. Unlike previous research that utilized EfficientNet-B2 and achieved an accuracy of 98.23%, this study’s NASNetLarge approach produced a comparably competitive accuracy of 98.03%. The dataset used consists of 1,932 images sourced from the Kaggle platform, which were processed through preprocessing and augmentation stages. The data were then split into two distribution scenarios: the entire dataset and a balanced class dataset with 90:10 and 80:20 ratios. Evaluation results show that the best parameter combination was achieved in the first scenario with a 90:10 ratio using augmented images, a learning rate of 0.001, 128 dense units, and the Adam optimizer. The model achieved the highest accuracy of 98.03%, with a precision of 98.63%, recall of 98.40%, and an F1-score of 98.50%. These results indicate that NASNetLarge is effective in accurately and consistently classifying meat images. Image augmentation significantly improved model performance, and the 90:10 data ratio yielded more optimal results compared to 80:20. These findings have the potential to support food surveillance efforts by enabling rapid and accurate detection of meat adulteration.
Application of ARIMA and ARIMAX Methods to Predict the Number of Visitors to Hotel XYZ Pekanbaru Vernando, Julio; Insani, Fitri; Okfalisa, Okfalisa; Kurnia, Fitra
INOVTEK Polbeng - Seri Informatika Vol. 10 No. 2 (2025): Juli
Publisher : P3M Politeknik Negeri Bengkalis

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35314/enrfna19

Abstract

Predicting the number of visitors to Hotel XYZ is one of the steps that can be taken by the hotel to find out how many visitors will increase in each upcoming holiday season. The purpose of this study is to forecast the number of visitors to Hotel XYZ from June 2023 to July 2024 using the ARIMA and ARIMAX comparison methods. The research methodology encompasses problem identification, data collection, data processing, and ARIMA and ARIMAX analysis, which involves testing the parameters (p, d, q) selected based on the ACF and PACF using the AIC Model. Based on the test results, ARIMAX (5, 0, 3) has the lowest AIC, which is 3495.2, followed by ARIMAX (3, 0, 5), which has a slightly higher AIC. The results showed that the ARIMAX (5, 0, 3) model is the most accurate model for predicting data (eg the number of hotel guests, room demand, or income), with an RMSE value of 15.80% and a MAPE of 18.90%. Therefore, research that applies the ARIMAX model can provide real benefits in supporting operational efficiency, resource management, and hotel business strategy, ultimately increasing the competitiveness and profitability of the hotel.
PENGELOMPOKAN DATA KONDISI MESIN SCREW PRESS MENGGUNAKAN ALGORITMA FUZZY C-MEANS Jasril, Jasril; Al Fiqri, M. Faiz; Sanjaya, Suwanto; Handayani, Lestari; Insani, Fitri
Information System Journal Vol. 8 No. 01 (2025): Information System Journal (INFOS)
Publisher : Universitas Amikom Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24076/infosjournal.2025v8i01.2133

Abstract

Kinerja mesin screw press sangat memengaruhi efisiensi dan kualitas produksi minyak kelapa sawit. Salah satu komponen penting dalam sistem ini adalah Back Pressure Vessel (BPV) yang menyalurkan uap ke berbagai stasiun proses. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengelompokkan kondisi mesin berdasarkan temperatur dan tekanan menggunakan algoritma Fuzzy C-Means (FCM). Data yang dianalisis berasal dari mesin BPV PT. XYZ periode April–Mei 2024 sebanyak 23.002 entri. Tahapan penelitian meliputi seleksi data, pra-pemrosesan, normalisasi Min-Max Scaler, klasterisasi FCM, dan evaluasi menggunakan metode Elbow dan Davies-Bouldin Index (DBI). Hasil awal menunjukkan tiga klaster dengan distribusi kondisi mesin dari stabil hingga memerlukan perawatan. Metode Elbow menunjukkan jumlah klaster optimal sebanyak empat, sedangkan DBI menunjukkan dua klaster dengan nilai terbaik 0,389. Hasil ini menunjukkan bahwa FCM mampu mengelompokkan kondisi mesin secara efektif dan dapat digunakan sebagai dasar dalam pengambilan keputusan perawatan. Penelitian ini disarankan untuk dikembangkan dengan atribut tambahan.
Penerapan Algoritma K-Means Clustering pada Kinerja Mesin Screw press Kurnia Rahman, Fikri; Jasril; Sanjaya, Suwanto; Handayani, Lestari; Insani, Fitri
Bulletin of Information Technology (BIT) Vol 6 No 2: Juni 2025
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi (FKPT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/bit.v6i2.2002

Abstract

The screw press is one of the machines used in the process of separating oil from tanks containing Fresh Fruit Bunches (FFB). The machine consists of a twin-screw system that functions to extract oil from the pressing unit, with back pressure applied by a hydraulic double cone. The mixed fruit residue is compreWCSSd, causing the oil contained within the residue to be released due to the pressure exerted by the press machine. Maintenance and repair of machinery are eWCSSntial activities to support productive operations in any sector. Therefore, it is necessary to conduct analysis to identify patterns in machine conditions within the factory. One effective approach to discovering machine condition patterns is through clustering techniques. Clustering is a method of grouping data based on certain parameters to form clusters of objects that share similar characteristics. In this study, data were collected from PT. XYZ for the period of April 2024 to May 2024, with a total of 23,002 records. The analysis was conducted using the K-Means Clustering algorithm, with testing carried out on 3 to 15 clusters. Based on the evaluation using the Davies-Bouldin Index (DBI), the most optimal clustering result was obtained with 3 clusters, achieving the lowest DBI value of 0.386. Meanwhile, using the Elbow Method, the optimal number of clusters was determined to be 4, as indicated by the Elbow point on the WCSS graph, with a Sum of Square Error (WCSS) value of 270. Therefore, it can be concluded that the clustering results using the K-Means Clustering algorithm are relevant for identifying machine condition patterns and are expected to assist in monitoring and managing the condition of the screw press machine.
Turbofan Engine Remaining Useful Life Prediction Using 1-Dimentional Convolutional Neural Network Fauzan, Ahmad; Handayani, Lestari; Insani, Fitri; Jasril; Sanjaya, Suwanto
Computer Engineering and Applications Journal (ComEngApp) Vol. 13 No. 3 (2024)
Publisher : Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Turbofan engines have been the dominant type of engine in aircraft for the last forty years. Ensuring the quality of these engines is crucial for flight safety, particularly for long-distance flights. However, their performance degrades over time, impacting flight safety. To address this issue, it is essential to predict potential engine failures by estimating the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of the engines Deep learning, especially Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), has demonstrated exceptional proficiency in handling intricate, non-linear data, leading to improved RUL predictionsdue to their ability to process complex and non-linear data. In this project, a 1-D CNN is used to predict RUL using the NASA C-MAPSS FD001 dataset, which consists of 3 settings and 21 sensors, though sensors with stagnant readings are excluded. The dataset is normalized using min-max and z-score methods, and then segmented into sequences for input into the 1-D CNN model. Various training scenarios were evaluated, with the best RMSE of 3.26 achieved using 10 epochs, a learning rate of 0.0001, and z-score normalization. The results indicate that feature selection can produce a lower RMSE compared to scenarios without feature selection.
Comparative Analysis: Accuracy of Certainty Factor and Dempster Shafer Methods in Expert Systems for Tropical Disease Diagnosis Yanti, Novi; Insani, Fitri; Okfalisa, Okfalisa; Zain, Ruri Hartika; Setiawan, Adil
Scientific Journal of Informatics Vol. 12 No. 3: August 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/sji.v12i3.28047

Abstract

Purpose: This study aims to diagnose Neglected Tropical Diseases early by applying the concept of an expert system as a tool that works by mimicking the thought patterns of an expert (doctor). The methods applied in this expert system are Certainty Factor and Dempster Shafer. Both methods work by combining a number of pieces of evidence (symptoms) to produce a confidence value for a disease. Methods: The study began with discussions and interviews with experts to collect information and data about Neglected Tropical Diseases. Conducting a literature review study to enrich knowledge about Neglected Tropical Diseases. Two main inference methods are used to detect diseases based on patient symptoms. The Certainty Factor method uses expert value weighting parameters and patient input value weighting as a basis for knowledge. The Dempster Shafer method only uses expert value weighting in analyzing the probability of symptoms to produce a level of diagnostic accuracy. Result: The Certainty Factor method works by integrating patient and expert weight values into its calculations. Meanwhile, the Dempster Shafer method considers expert weight values without involving patient weight values. Expert system searches using the Forward Chaining inference engine show that the Certainty Factor method has an accuracy probability value of up to 90%. Meanwhile, the Dempster Shafer method has an accuracy value of 70%. Novelty: The results of the study show that expert systems can be applied in the health sector, especially in diagnosing Neglected Tropical Diseases. Of the two methods used, the Certainty Factor method shows a high accuracy value, so it can help detect Neglected Tropical Diseases early and provide treatment solutions to improve health.