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Ketahanan Nasional Sektor Ekonomi Perdagangan: Pendekatan Gravity Model Approach M. Fikri Himmawan; Ahmad Rizki Sridadi; Rossanto Dwi Handoyo
Jurnal Lemhannas RI Vol 9 No 1 (2021)
Publisher : Lembaga Ketahanan Nasional Republik Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55960/jlri.v9i1.378

Abstract

Problematika yang dihadapi negara Indonesia adalah dimana tren pertumbuhan impor Indonesia lebih besar daripada ekspor Indonesia. Hal ini terbukti bahwa hingga tahun 2018, jumlah nilai ekpor mencakup Migas-NonMigas mencapai $180.012,7 sedangkan nilai Impor Migas-NonMigas lebih tinggi sebesar $188.711,2 terdapat selisih sebesar $8.699 dalam satuan Juta US$, dalam kondisi tersebut, dikhawatirkan akan terjadi defisit neraca perdagangan. studi ini mencoba menganalisis ketahanan dari sektor ekonomi perdagangan secara internasional dengan model gravitasi. Metode penelitian pada studi ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan regresi panel menggunakan teknik pengambilan sample purposive sampling dengan kriteria khusus pada negara mitra dagang Indonesia yang tergabung dalam ASEAN+3 yaitu negara Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore, dan Philippines selama tahun 2010 - 2018. Dengan variabel dependennya adalah total impor alat transportasi ringan dan besar, kemudian variabel independennya adalah gross domestic product harga konstan negara Indonesia, gross domestic product harga konstan negara mitra dagang, jarak, dan investasi asing langsung. Hasil dari penelitian ini variabel independen berdampak signifikan secara simultan dengan variabel dependen, dan secara parsial variabel jarak tidak berdampak secara signifikan. Salah satu alternatif ketahanan nasional sektor ekonomi perdagangan adalah dengan menciptakan ekosistem arus penanaman modal asing yang ramah secara kebijakan sehingga dapat mengurangi ketergantungan impor di negara Indonesia dengan negara mitra dagang.
Analysis of Symmetric and Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Inflation-Targeting Countries Syamad; Handoyo, Rossanto Dwi
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Terapan Vol. 8 No. 2 (2023)
Publisher : Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jiet.v8i2.45150

Abstract

The main purpose of this study is to analyze the effects of symmetry and asymmetry of the exchange rate pass-through in Middle-Income and High-Income countries that implement inflation-targeting policies. This study uses a sample of Middle-Income Countries (South Africa, Brazil, India, Indonesia, and Mexico) and High-Income Countries (Australia, Japan, Canada, Norway, and Sweden) in the form of time-series 2000:Q1- 2021:Q4 with the method of Autoregressive Distribution Lag (ARDL) and Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL). The results showed that five countries have a significant positive effect on the real exchange rate on inflation in the short-run in the ARDL method. In addition, in the NARDL method, five countries significantly positively affect the depreciation of the real exchange rate on inflation in the short-run. Then, only one country has a significant negative effect between the appreciation of the real exchange rate on inflation in the short-run and eight countries in the long-run. Based on the estimation results, it can be concluded that the average quantity of real exchange rate effect on inflation (exchange rate pass-through) in Middle-Income Countries is greater than in High-Income Countries. Therefore, inflation-targeting policies are more flexible to be applied in high-income countries. In addition to the exchange rate, other variables such as oil prices, money supply, and real GDP also greatly affect inflation and have different effects in each country.
The Effect of Innovation, Logistic Performance, and Human Capital on Export Diversification of Manufacturing Industry Madonna, Melia; Handoyo, Rossanto Dwi
KINERJA Vol. 27 No. 1 (2023): KINERJA
Publisher : Faculty of Business and Economics Universitas Atma Jaya Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24002/kinerja.v27i1.6459

Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the effect of innovation, logistics performance, and human capital on export diversification of the manufacturing industry based on technology intensity in Indonesia. This study uses the method of moments approach with estimation using the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). The research was conducted using dynamic data panels belonging to Indonesia and 30 main export destination countries as research objects. The results show the average Global Innovation Index (GII) of Indonesia and export countries, the average Logistics Performance Index (LPI) of Indonesia and export destination countries, the labor force with intermediate education, labor force with basic education. Indonesia's GDP has a positive and significant effect on the diversification of manufacturing industry commodity exports in Indonesia across all technological intensities. Still, the importers' GDP and exchange rates positively influence the spread of diversification exports of manufactured industrial commodities in Indonesia, but some models show no significant relationship.
Determinan Penetrasi Pasar Produk UKM Fashion Melalui Variabel Output Produk di Kota Surabaya Rynasari, Nadhia; Handoyo, Rossanto Dwi
Paradoks : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 8 No. 3 (2025): May - July
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Muslim Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.57178/paradoks.v8i3.1616

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh intervensi pemerintah dan teknologi pemasaran terhadap penetrasi pasar UKM fashion di Kota Surabaya dengan output produk sebagai variabel intervening. Pendekatan penelitian yang digunakan adalah kuantitatif dengan desain eksplanatori. Sampel sebanyak 143 pelaku UKM fashion diperoleh melalui teknik simple random sampling, dan data dianalisis menggunakan metode Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) berbasis Partial Least Square (PLS) melalui aplikasi SmartPLS 4. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa intervensi pemerintah dan teknologi pemasaran memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap output produk. Intervensi pemerintah juga berpengaruh signifikan terhadap penetrasi pasar, sedangkan teknologi pemasaran tidak berpengaruh signifikan secara langsung terhadap penetrasi pasar. Selain itu, output produk berperan sebagai variabel mediasi yang signifikan dalam hubungan antara intervensi pemerintah dan penetrasi pasar, namun tidak signifikan dalam memediasi hubungan antara teknologi pemasaran dan penetrasi pasar. Temuan ini mengindikasikan bahwa meskipun teknologi pemasaran dapat meningkatkan output produk, hal tersebut belum cukup untuk memperluas penetrasi pasar tanpa didukung oleh peningkatan kualitas dan inovasi produk yang relevan. Oleh karena itu, strategi peningkatan kapasitas produksi dan kualitas produk perlu dijalankan secara paralel dengan pemanfaatan teknologi pemasaran untuk mencapai penetrasi pasar yang optimal.
The Effect of Trade Facilitation on Trade Margin of 8 ASEAN-China Free Trade Area Countries (ACFTA): A Gravity Model Approach susetyo, ferdyan; Handoyo, Rossanto Dwi
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 1 No. 2 (2016)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (354.169 KB) | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v1i2.3297

Abstract

Trade facilitation is an effort of simplification and harmonization of international trade procedures. Trade facilitation that manifested in the form of policy packages that aim to reduce trade costs and improve export growth. Export growth can be sourced from the level of diversity of exported goods (extensive margin) and the volume of exported goods (intensive margin). This study aims to analyze the effect of trade facilitation on the extensive and intensive margin of trade eight member countries of ACFTA during the years 2006-2014. Trade facilitation indicators used in this study consisted of exporters and importers port efficiency. This study uses gravity model and estimation techniques Random Effect Model. The results showed that exporter port efficiency have a positive and significant effect on the extensive margin while importer port efficiency has a positive and significant effect on the intensive margin. Keywords: Trade Facilitation, Extensive Margin, Intensive Margin, ACFTA (ASEAN-China Free Trade Area), Gravity Model.JEL: F13
Non-Tariff Measures Impact on Indonesian Fishery Export Permata, Sonia Puspa; Handoyo, Rossanto Dwi
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 4 No. 1 (2019)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (230.019 KB) | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v4i1.12686

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the impact of Non tariff measures using sanitary and phytosanitary policy (SPS) and technical trade barriers (TBTs) on fishery exports of Indonesia and its trading partner countries such as China, South Korea, Vietnam, Canada, Russia and the European Union in period of 2007 to 2016. SPS and TBT are measured using inventory approach in the form of coverage ratio. In addition, this study uses a gravity model and panel data regression method. The results of this study indicate that the variables GDP of exporting country and GDP of importing country have a positive and significant effect on Indonesian fishery exports. Distance and SPS have a negative and significant effect on Indonesian fishery exports, while TBT has no effect on Indonesian fishery exports.   Keywords: Export, SPS and TBT, Fishery Export, Coverage Ratio JEL Classification: F10, F130
Impact of Trade Creation and Trade Diversion in Asean-Japan Comprehensive Economic Partnership (AJCEP) Aprilia, Gayatri Talita; Handoyo, Rossanto Dwi
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 4 No. 2 (2019)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v4i2.12688

Abstract

This study uses a gravity model to analyze the impact of the ASEAN-JAPAN COMPREHENSIVE ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP (AJCEP) agreement on total Indonesian exports and to analyze the occurrence of trade creation or trade diversion. The data used in this study is panel data, the time used in this study from 2000 to 2015 consisting of 16 countries. This result finds the coefficient value of the FTA dummy of 0.207. This positive relationship indicates that there is a trade creation in AJCEP member countries and non AJCEP members. So it indicates that the welfare of member states and non AJCEP members. Total GDP, real exchange rate is positively correlated and GDP per capita difference and distance are negatively related to total Indonesian exports. Keywords: ASEAN-Japan Comprehensive Economic Partnership, Gravity Model,Trade Creation and Trade Diversion.JEL Classification: G230, G400, O330
Editorial: Impact of Covid 19 on Trade, FDI, Real Exchange Rate and Era of Digitalization: Brief Review Global Economy During Pandemic Handoyo, Rossanto Dwi
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 5 No. 2 (2020)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v5i2.23641

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has not only triggered an unprecedented global health crisis but also a global economic, trade and investment crisis. Global Trade in merchandise fall from 12% to 32% in 2020. FDI flows are projected to fall further by 30% to 40% in 2020-202. The decline in trade is a reflection, instead of a cause, of the economic contraction that occurred, caused by rising trade costs - from disruptions in transportation, logistics and supply chains, as well as trade restrictions. At the same time, the COVID-19 pandemic is driving an overall digital transition in society and industry. Since June 2020, there has been increasing trend in social media and other apps, it rose by 38 percent while streaming video increased to 35 percent. A significant increase was in the use of conference tools during the COVID-19 pandemic and it will have an impact on improving technology infrastructure. Keywords: Pandemic COVID-19, Trade in Merchandise, FDI, Exchange Rate and Digitalization
Official Development Assistance Effect on Infant Mortality and Human Development Index: Asia Evidence Herdika, Rizky; Handoyo, Rossanto Dwi; Hudang, Adrianus Kabubu; Haryanto, Tri
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 7 No. 1 (2022)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v7i1.33198

Abstract

Official Development Assistance (ODA) is a program formed by the Development Assistance Committee (DAC) which aims to improve country development and eradicate poverty in developing countries. Many Asian countries are ODA recipients. The purpose of this study is  to determine the effect of ODA on infant mortality and the Human Development Index. The method used is panel data regression. Estimation results show that ODA has a significant effect on HDI, but not significantly on infant mortality.JEL Classification Codes : F10; F35; I15
The Impact of Korean Wave on South Korea's Export of Consumer Goods to ASEAN-5 Country Tandy, Alyssa Chiara Handini; Handoyo, Rossanto Dwi
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 9 No. 1 (2024)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v9i1.53284

Abstract

This study aims to assess the impact of the Korean Wave on the export of consumer goods from South Korea to the ASEAN-5 countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Singapore, and the Philippines) from 2010 to 2020. This study took into account various factors to analyze the export dynamics, such as gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, interest rates, Google search trends, and the geographical distance between countries. Cultural goods exported from South Korea were used as a measure of the Korean Wave, employing the gravity model and the fixed effects model (FEM) for analysis. The results of this study indicated a positive impact of the Korean Wave variable on the export of South Korean consumer goods. Additionally, the findings revealed that variables such as South Korea's GDP per capita, distance, and exchange rates had a negative impact on the export of such goods. Furthermore, this study highlights the positive impacts of the ASEAN-5 countries' GDP per capita and Google search trends on the export of South Korean consumer goods.