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All Journal International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) MANAJEMEN HUTAN TROPIKA Journal of Tropical Forest Management Jurnal Silvikultur Tropika (JST) Jurnal Pustakawan Indonesia BIOTROPIA - The Southeast Asian Journal of Tropical Biology Jurnal Simetris Bulletin of Electrical Engineering and Informatics Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Agri-Informatika Journal of Degraded and Mining Lands Management Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer Jurnal Pengelolaan Sumberdaya Alam dan Lingkungan (Journal of Natural Resources and Environmental Management) Jurnal Aplikasi Bisnis dan Manajemen (JABM) E-Journal Scientific Journal of Informatics Edulib JOIN (Jurnal Online Informatika) Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Komputer Kinetik: Game Technology, Information System, Computer Network, Computing, Electronics, and Control BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Bina Hukum Lingkungan ILKOM Jurnal Ilmiah EDUMATIC: Jurnal Pendidikan Informatika Journal of Information Systems and Informatics Computer Science and Information Technologies Nusantara Science and Technology Proceedings International Journal of Electronics and Communications Systems Jurnal Pustakawan Indonesia Jurnal Informatika dan Teknologi Informasi Bina Hukum Lingkungan Policy Brief Pertanian, Kelautan, dan Biosains Tropika Scientific Journal of Informatics BACA: Jurnal Dokumentasi dan Informasi
Imas Sukaesih Sitanggang
Department Of Computer Science, Faculty Of Mathematics And Natural Sciences, IPB University, Jl. Meranti Wing 20 Level V, IPB Dramaga Campus Bogor, 16680, Indonesia
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Science Immunology & microbiology Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Medicine & Pharmacology Physics Social Sciences Transportation Veterinary

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Journal : Journal of Information Systems and Informatics

 1 
Logistic Regression Modeling of Peatland Fire Hotspots in Bengkalis District Using Integrated Environmental and Anthropogenic Drivers Hayati, Nur; Sitanggang, Imas Sukaesih; Prasetyo, Lilik Budi; Syaufina, Lailan
Journal of Information System and Informatics Vol 8 No 2 (2026): April
Publisher : Asosiasi Doktor Sistem Informasi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63158/journalisi.v8i2.1560

Abstract

Peatland fires occur almost annually in Bengkalis District, Riau Province, Indonesia, where peatlands cover about 65% of the area and contribute significantly to carbon emissions and regional haze, highlighting the need for improved fire risk prediction. This research aims to apply a probabilistic logistic regression approach to predict peatland fire hotspot occurrence and identify its key drivers. Hotspot data from 2015–2023 were derived from VIIRS satellite observations and classified into low (l), nominal (n), and high (h) confidence levels. Then hotspot confidence levels are classified into two scenarios: (1) the nh scenario (l = 0; n–h = 1) and (2) the h scenario (l–n = 0; h = 1), representing different fire thresholds. The predictor variable was modeled using anthropogenic and environmental, with multicollinearity testing to ensure model stability. The results show that the nh scenario performs better, with Nagelkerke R² = 0.0681, Hosmer–Lemeshow χ² = 5.7663, AUC = 0.69, and accuracy = 95.19%, indicating acceptable fit and moderate discrimination. Significant predictors include plantation land use, peat characteristics, and precipitation. These findings suggest that the approach can support peatland fire risk assessment, although further refinement is required.
Co-Authors -, Rachmawati Abdul Rahman Saleh Abdul Wakhid Aditia Yudhistira Afina, Fakhri Sukma Agus Buono Agus Mulyana Agus Purwito Ahmad Khusaeri Albar, Israr Alusyanti Primawati Anak Agung Istri Sri Wiadnyani Andi Nurkholis Andita Wahyuningtyas Anna Qahhariana Annisa Annisa Annisa Annisa Annisa Awal, Elsa Elvira Aziz Kustiyo Baba Barus Badollahi Mustafa Boedi Tjahjono Bramdito, Vandam Caesariadi Despry Nur Annisa Ahmad, Despry Nur Annisa DEWI APRI ASTUTI Dhani Sulistiyo Wibowo Dini Hayati Dwi Purwantoro Sasongko Eddy Prasetyo Nugroho Efendi, Zuliar Erliza Hambali Febriyanti Bifakhlina Firman Ardiansyah Hardhienata, Medria Kusuma Dewi Hari Agung Adrianto Hasibuan, Lailan Sahrina Hefni Effendi Hendra Rahmawan Hendra Rahmawan Herawan, Yoga Heru Sukoco Hidayat, Assad HUSNUL KHOTIMAH I Nengah Surati Jaya Ikhsan kurniawan Irman Hermadi Istiqomah, Nalar Ivan Maulana Putra Khairani Krisnanto, Ferdian Kurnianto, Andi Lailan Syaufina LILIK BUDIPRASETYO Lilis Syarifah Luki Abdullah Lukman, Yasmin Marlina, Dwi Medria Kusuma Dewi Hardhienata Miftah Farid Mohammad, Farid mufti, abdul Muhammad Abrar Istiadi Muhammad Asyhar Agmalaro Muhammad Murtadha Ramadhan Nia Kurniati Nur Hayati Peggy Antonette Soplantila Prasetyo Nugroho, Eddy Pudji Muljono Purwanti , Endang Yuni Purwanti, Endang Yuni Putra, Fiqhri Mulianda Raden Fityan Hakim Raharja, Aditya Cipta Ramadhan, Jeri Rd. Zainal Frihadian Ridwan Raafi'udin Rina Trisminingsih Risa Intan Komaraasih Rizki, Yoze Safrudin, Muhammad Safrul Sakti, Harry Hardian Satyawan, Verda Emmelinda Setyanegara, Aditya Kusuma Shelvie Nidya Neyman Sobir Sobir Sonita Veronica Br Barus Sonita Veronica Br Barus Sony Hartono Wijaya Suci Indrawati Irwan Sulistyo Basuki Suradiradja, Kahfi Heryandi Suria Darma Tarigan Surjono Hadi Sutjahjo Syarifah Aini Taihuttu, Helda Yunita Taufik Djatna Taufik Hidayat Tenda, Edwin Tiurma Lumban Gaol Toto Haryanto Trisminingsih, Rina Unik, Mitra Wa Ode Rahma Agus Udaya Manarfa Wattimena, Emanuella M C Wisnu Ananta Kusuma Wulandari WULANDARI Yenni Puspitasari Yoanda, Sely