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Journal : Jurnal Informatika dan Teknologi Informasi

Model Prediksi Perubahan Tutupan Lahan Pada Area Kebakaran Lahan Gambut Menggunakan Model Cellular Automata Markov Awal, Elsa Elvira; Sukaesih Sitanggang, Imas; Syaufina, Lailan
Jurnal Informatika dan Teknologi Informasi Vol. 1 No. 3: Januari 2023
Publisher : PT. Bangun Harapan Bangsa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56854/jt.v1i3.141

Abstract

During 2016 Riau Province experienced 10,676 hectares of forest and land fires on fire, where Rokan Hilir District was the largest area of forest fires that reach 3,416 hectares. The area of peatlands in Indonesia is currently experiencing degradation because of peatland fires that, result land-use, land-use changes, and forestry. The purpose of this study was to create a prediction model of land cover change in land fire areas using the Cellular Automata Markov model. The Markov Cellular Automata model is used to predict changes in land cover because this model is very suitable to be applied in high-detail spatial phenomena. The results of this study indicate that in the 2000-2003 period is used to predict land cover changes in 2006 due to forest the land fire in March 2002. The results show that plantations has the most significant change, namely 25.36% with a Kappa value of 95.74%. The prediction model of the period 2006-2009 is used to predict land cover changes in 2012 due to forest the land fire in July 2007. The results show that swamp shrub experienced a change of 74.94% with a Kappa value of 93.22%. The prediction model of the period 2014-2016 is used to predict land cover changes in 2018 due to forest the land fire in June 2015. The results show that swamp bushland cover class experienced the most significant reform of 55.07% with a Kappa value of 68.59%. The prediction results from the three periods show good and acceptable results, however the area of land cover as the result of prediction model has quite large difference with the actual land cover. Keywords: cellular automata markov, land fires, peatlands, land-use land-use changes and forestry
Co-Authors Agus Buono Agus Siswono Agus Siswono Ahmad Ainuddin Nuruddin Aisyah Anggraini Albar, Israr Andi Gunawan Andini Tribuana Tunggadewi, Andini Tribuana Anggie Yohanna Mandalahi Anissa Rezainy Anita Zaitunah Annisa Puspa Kirana Arzyana Sunkar Asri Buliyansih Atfi Indriany Putri Atfi Indriany Putri Ati Dwi Nurhayati Awal, Elsa Elvira Bahruni . Bambang Hero Saharjo Boedi Tjahjono Chandrasa E Sjamsudin Denni Prasetia Diah Zuhriana Didik Suharjito Dinda Aisyah Fadhillah Hafni Drucella Benala Dyahati Eduardo Fernando Martins de Carvalho Eka Intan Kumala Putri Eko Heriyanto Entin Kartini Erfan Noor Yulian Erianto Indra Putra Fakhri Sukma Afina Firman Ardiansyah Fransisxo GS Tambunan Gatot Setiawan Gatot Setiawana Gusti Zainal Anshari Hariyadi Hendra Rahmawan Hendra Rahmawan I Nengah Surati Jaya Iin Ichwandi Imam Suyodono Imas Sukaesih Sitanggang Indah Prasasti Indah Prasasti Irdika Mansur Istomo . Jamaluddin Basharuddin James Thomas Erbaugh Jumani Jumani Khaira, Ulfa Khairia Nafia Khulfi M Khalwani Komarsa Gandasasmita Krisnanto, Ferdian Kurniawati Purwaka Putri Lai Food See LILIK BUDIPRASETYO M. Syamsul Maarif M. Taufan Tirkaamiana M. Taufan Tirkaamiana Meti Ekayani Mirzha Hanifah Mochamad Asep Maksum Mohid Rashid Mohd Yusof Muhammad Ardiansyah Muhammad Hawari Azka Muhammad Hudzaifah Rihuljihad Muhammad Ikhsan Muhammad Imam Nugraha Muhammad Nur Aidi Nadhifah, Putri Addini Arsya Nalar Istiqomah Nining Puspaningsih Noor Farikhah Haneda Nova Puspitasari Nuniek Sutanti Nurheni Wijayanto Prima Trie Wijaya Purwanti , Endang Yuni Purwanti, Endang Yuni Putri Thariqa Rinenggo Siwi Rizaldi Boer Rizki, Yoze Samsuri Samsuri, Samsuri Sandhi Imam Maulana Satyawan, Verda Emmelinda Sigit Purwanto Sitanggang, Imas S. Siti Badriyah Rushayati Sobri Effendy Sofia Fitriana Sri Mulatsih Sugiarto, Dwi Putro Supriyadi, Andi Supriyanto Supriyanto Suryawan Ramadhan Syaiful Anwar Taihuttu, Helda Yunita Titik Ernawati Tri Tiana Ahmadi Putri Trisminingsih, Rina Unik, Mitra Vera Linda Purba Wahida Annisa Wardana Wardana Widiatmaka Wiwin Ambarwulan WULANDARI Yenni Vetrita Yuli Sunarti Zuliar Efendi