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Journal : Infotekmesin

Penerapan Data Mining dalam Analisis Prediksi Kanker Paru Menggunakan Algoritma Random Forest Laura Sari; Annisa Romadloni; Rostika Listyaningrum
Infotekmesin Vol 14 No 1 (2023): Infotekmesin: Januari, 2023
Publisher : P3M Politeknik Negeri Cilacap

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35970/infotekmesin.v14i1.1751

Abstract

Cancer is the second highest cause of death in the world. In Indonesia, it is a disease with a high mortality rate. Most patients do not realize that they have lung cancer thus the treatment is sometimes too late. A prediction method with a high degree of accuracy is needed to detect lung cancer earlier. Previous research used data mining calcification methods with the Naïve Bayes algorithm to predict lung cancer. This research resulted in high recall values for the positive class (Yes class) but low for the negative class (No class). This research was made using the Random Forest algorithm which is known to have good performance. The modeling is optimized by applying the K-fold Cross Validation technique. The Random Forest algorithm produces a higher Accuracy value than the Naïve Bayes algorithm, which is 98.4%. This algorithm produces 100% Recall for the positive class, 80% for the negative class and provides a 100% correct prediction as can be seen from the AUC value of 1. Although a statistical test with a significance level of 5% shows the results of the two algorithms are not significantly different.
Metode Fuzzy Time Series Markov Chain Untuk Peramalan Curah Hujan Harian Laura Sari; Annisa Romadloni; Rostika Listyaningrum; Fadhilla Hazrina; Nur Wahyu Rahadi
Infotekmesin Vol 15 No 1 (2024): Infotekmesin: Januari, 2024
Publisher : P3M Politeknik Negeri Cilacap

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35970/infotekmesin.v15i1.2182

Abstract

Cilacap Regency has diverse topography and geographical conditions which cause this region to have rainfall that varies spatially and temporally; therefore, a forecasting method to overcome these uncertainties and fluctuations is needed. Fuzzy Time Series Markov Chain utilizes Fuzzy logic which provides flexibility in handling uncertain and unstructured data. Moreover, the addition of Markov chain elements that utilize Fuzzy logic concepts provides flexibility in handling data allowing the model to capture inter-time relationships and changes in system state that depend on previous states. Therefore, the research aims to see the suitability of the Fuzzy Time Series Markov Chain for predicting daily rainfall in Cilacap Regency. The method is suitable for predicting rainfall data for Cilacap Regency. The accuracy value in this study can be seen from the RMSE and SMAPE values ​​on the training data (in-sample), respectively, which are 58.76469 and 0.7227493. Meanwhile, the testing data (out sample) was 56.01818 and 0.7055117.
Penerapan Data Mining dalam Analisis Prediksi Kanker Paru Menggunakan Algoritma Random Forest Sari, Laura; Romadloni, Annisa; Listyaningrum, Rostika
Infotekmesin Vol 14 No 1 (2023): Infotekmesin: Januari, 2023
Publisher : P3M Politeknik Negeri Cilacap

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35970/infotekmesin.v14i1.1751

Abstract

Cancer is the second highest cause of death in the world. In Indonesia, it is a disease with a high mortality rate. Most patients do not realize that they have lung cancer thus the treatment is sometimes too late. A prediction method with a high degree of accuracy is needed to detect lung cancer earlier. Previous research used data mining calcification methods with the Naïve Bayes algorithm to predict lung cancer. This research resulted in high recall values for the positive class (Yes class) but low for the negative class (No class). This research was made using the Random Forest algorithm which is known to have good performance. The modeling is optimized by applying the K-fold Cross Validation technique. The Random Forest algorithm produces a higher Accuracy value than the Naïve Bayes algorithm, which is 98.4%. This algorithm produces 100% Recall for the positive class, 80% for the negative class and provides a 100% correct prediction as can be seen from the AUC value of 1. Although a statistical test with a significance level of 5% shows the results of the two algorithms are not significantly different.
Metode Fuzzy Time Series Markov Chain Untuk Peramalan Curah Hujan Harian Sari, Laura; Romadloni, Annisa; Listyaningrum, Rostika; Hazrina, Fadhilla; Rahadi, Nur Wahyu
Infotekmesin Vol 15 No 1 (2024): Infotekmesin: Januari, 2024
Publisher : P3M Politeknik Negeri Cilacap

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35970/infotekmesin.v15i1.2182

Abstract

Cilacap Regency has diverse topography and geographical conditions which cause this region to have rainfall that varies spatially and temporally; therefore, a forecasting method to overcome these uncertainties and fluctuations is needed. Fuzzy Time Series Markov Chain utilizes Fuzzy logic which provides flexibility in handling uncertain and unstructured data. Moreover, the addition of Markov chain elements that utilize Fuzzy logic concepts provides flexibility in handling data allowing the model to capture inter-time relationships and changes in system state that depend on previous states. Therefore, the research aims to see the suitability of the Fuzzy Time Series Markov Chain for predicting daily rainfall in Cilacap Regency. The method is suitable for predicting rainfall data for Cilacap Regency. The accuracy value in this study can be seen from the RMSE and SMAPE values ​​on the training data (in-sample), respectively, which are 58.76469 and 0.7227493. Meanwhile, the testing data (out sample) was 56.01818 and 0.7055117.