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All Journal Jurnal Manajemen dan Agribisnis Proceedings of Annual International Conference Syiah Kuala University - Social Sciences Chapter Habitat Mimbar Agribisnis: Jurnal Pemikiran Masyarakat Ilmiah Berwawasan Agribisnis JASc (Journal of Agribusiness Sciences) Jurnal Agribest International Journal of Supply Chain Management JURNAL AGRICA Ihsan: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Jurnal Ilmiah Pertanian ( JIPERTA) Budapest International Research and Critics Institute-Journal (BIRCI-Journal): Humanities and Social Sciences Jurnal Ilmiah Agribios Agrimansion: Agribusiness Management & Extension Jurnal Akuntansi dan Keuangan JIA (Jurnal Ilmiah Agribisnis) : Jurnal Agribisnis dan Ilmu Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Economic: Journal Economic and Business International Journal of Economics, Business and Innovation Research Jurnal Agrisep
Faiz Ahmad Sibuea
Universitas Medan Area
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Social Sciences Transportation Veterinary Other

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Economic Factors Affecting Rice Price Fluctuation in North Sumatera Mariana Eva Yanti; Octasella Ainani As’ad; Faiz Ahmad Sibuea
Budapest International Research and Critics Institute (BIRCI-Journal): Humanities and Social Sciences Vol 4, No 2 (2021): Budapest International Research and Critics Institute May
Publisher : Budapest International Research and Critics University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33258/birci.v4i2.1925

Abstract

The research approach method is a qualitative approach. The method of data collection is secondary data, secondary data needed is obtained from relevant agencies, namely from the Central Bureau of Statistics and the Department of Agriculture as well as other literature related to research. The analytical method used is descriptive analysis and analysis of Vector Auto Regression (VAR). The results showed that: 1) The dominant factors affecting rice prices in North Sumatra are 2, the first is 60% production because the higher the production of rice, the price of rice will decline and the lower the production, the price of rice will increase and the second factor is 38% inflation because if the price of rice continues to increase there will be inflation, but it is different from the fact that rice prices fluctuate due to the stability of rice prices. 2) Factors that affect rice prices in North Sumatra in the short term are significant, namely inflation and in the long term there are five significant factors, namely production (prod), harvest area (field), income (inc), consumption (cons) ) and inflation (inf). 3) From Impulse Response Function Analysis, it can be seen that the factors that influence rice prices in North Sumatra can be seen as stability, namely the production variable (Prod) reaches stability in the 25th period, the penen variable (Field) reaches stability in the period 28, the consumption variable (Cons) reaches stability in the 25th period, the income (Inc) variable reaches stability in the 20th period, the inflation variable reaches stability in the 27th period. namely inflation and in the long term there are five significant factors, namely production (prod), harvest area (field), income (inc), consumption (cons) and inflation (inf).
Co-Authors Abdul Rahman Agustian Harianto Agustian Hartanto Amzul Rifin Apip Gunaldi Dalimunthe Ardiansyah, Kevin Azwana Azwana Fadhil Pahlevi Hidayat Fitriani Fitriani Gustami Harahap Harefa, Devini Hernosa, Siswa Panjang Irwan Tambunan Mariana Eva Yanti Mhd Asaad Mhd.Buhari Sibuea Muhammad Buchari Sibuea Mukhlis Mukhlis Octasella Ainani As’ad Putra, Angga Dwi Kelana Rahayu Widya Ningsih Rika Fitri Ilvira Rita Nurmalina Saragih, Febry Pebryani Sibuea, Siti Rahmah Siti Rahmah Sibuea Sri Ariani Safitri Suhendra, Boby Sulastri Sulastri Tri Martial Zandroto, Febri Damai Hasrat Zulheri Noer