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Wiyono, Slamet
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Journal : Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Informasi

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Predicting Earthquake Magnitudes in Indonesia: Exploring the Potential of the Prophet Algorithm Nurindahsari, Susi; Wiyono, Slamet; Dairoh
Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Informasi Vol. 17 No. 1 (2024): Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Informasi (Journal of Computer Science and Informatio
Publisher : Faculty of Computer Science - Universitas Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21609/jiki.v17i1.1203

Abstract

Research on earthquakes has been extensively conducted by previous studies using various methods and specific discussions. Similarly, research to predict the magnitude of earthquakes that will occur in the future has also been conducted. This study employs the Prophet algorithm to test its capability in predicting a case study's magnitude using data with numerous missing values and outliers. The study is conducted without transformation and with Box-Cox and log-transformations. Transformations are applied to handle outliers. The results indicate that across the three experiments, the difference between the predicted and actual data ranges from 0.1 to 0.5 or even more. Performance metrics reveal that the log-transform is superior to the other two experiments, with a smaller MAE of 0.27 and a MAPE of 5.96%. Nevertheless, the use of the Prophet algorithm in this case study needs further investigation with different treatments to achieve more accurate results.
Co-Authors . SUNARDI Aditya Rahman Af'idah, Dwi Intan Agus Pramono AMANDA, Febyanti Dwi Andree Saylendra, Andree Ani Susilawati Anwar, Moch. Syaiful Arsjah, Regina J. Arwam, Bryan. A. Ayu Aulia Oktaviani Bachtiar, M. Yusuf Daeli, Florus Dairoh Dairoh Dairoh, Dairoh Danny Dega Surono Wibowo, Dega Surono Erwin Erwin Fahira, Hilza Firdaus, Musnadil Firdaus, Rizki Amsyarul Hanock, Edward E. Hanock, Edward. E. Herviana, Ditta Ahmad Hidayatullah, M. Fikri Iqbal Maulana Ismawati, Iis Jarinah, Jarinah Kazhadiva, Rivialdo Laoli, Arosokhi Mabruri, Efendi Miftakhul Huda Muhammad Fikri Hidayattullah, Muhammad Fikri Mulyaningsih, Asih Netsen Nugroho, Hady Zhakwan Nurhakiki, M. Nurindahsari, Susi Nurul Anriani Oman Somantri Pangestu, Mohammad Prayoga Pitriani, Sinta Putri, Widiya Rais Rais Ratono, Ratono Sartika, Nenden Suciyati Simamora, Adam Yonas Syarif Abdullah Tarso Rudiana, Tarso Taufiq Abidin, Taufiq Titik Aryati Tuti Rostianti Maulani Ucu Wandi Somantri Uli, Jesisca Yundari, Yundari Yustia Hapsari, Yustia