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All Journal Al Basirah JEBD Jurnal Nakula: Pusat Ilmu Pendidikan, Bahasa Dan Ilmu Sosial Santri : Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan Islam Jurnal Pajak dan Analisis Ekonomi Syariah Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen Dan Bisnis (JEMB) El-Madaniyah: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Jurnal Cakrawala Pendidikan dan Biologi (jucapenbi)
Imrona Hayati
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Religion Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering Environmental Science Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Mathematics Social Sciences Other

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Konteks dan Asumsi dalam Perumusan Model Ekonometrika Kebijakan Ekonomi Muhamad Dafian Abidin; Muhammad Zaini; Imrona Hayati
Jurnal Pajak dan Analisis Ekonomi Syariah Vol. 3 No. 1 (2026): Januari: Jurnal Pajak dan Analisis Ekonomi Syariah
Publisher : Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61132/jpaes.v3i1.2050

Abstract

This article examines the role of context and underlying assumptions in the formulation of econometric models for economic policy analysis. While econometric models are widely employed to support policy decisions, their construction is often treated as a purely technical process, overlooking the contextual factors that shape variable selection, model specification, and interpretation of results. This study explores how institutional settings, policy objectives, and behavioral considerations influence the assumptions embedded in econometric modeling. By drawing on policy documents, academic literature, and illustrative cases from applied economic research, the article highlights how implicit assumptions may affect the validity and relevance of econometric outcomes. The analysis emphasizes that econometric models are not value-neutral tools but are shaped by theoretical choices and contextual judgments made during their formulation. Understanding these dimensions is crucial to avoid misinterpretation of empirical findings and to enhance the usefulness of econometric analysis in policymaking. The study contributes to the methodological discussion in applied econometrics by encouraging greater transparency and reflexivity in model construction, particularly in the context of economic policy evaluation.      
Co-Authors A. Almauizah Abdul Basir, Muchammad Achmad Fahruddin Ajis Supangat Edya Putri, Salsa Eko Nursalim Fakhrurrazi Firdaus Fitriyani Hartono Hartono Imron Ghozali Muhamad Dafian Abidin Muhammad Muhammad Rahul Sidik Muhammad Zainal Abidin Muhammad Zaini Mulhama Tahir Nor Khafizah Nur Muhabibudin Putri Istiqomah Raniati Tepu Retno Septiani Totok Adhi Prasetyo Ulfa Jamilatul Farida Yunani Zulkifli Zulkifli