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All Journal JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Journal of Applied Data Sciences Media Publikasi Promosi Kesehatan Indonesia (MPPKI) Journal of Computing Theories and Applications Heca Journal of Applied Sciences Leuser Journal of Environmental Studies Ekonomikalia Journal of Economics Journal of Educational Management and Learning Infolitika Journal of Data Science Grimsa Journal of Science Engineering and Technology
Sasmita, Novi Reandy
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Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Energy Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Mathematics Medicine & Pharmacology Physics Public Health Other

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Journal : Journal of Applied Data Sciences

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Spatial Estimation for Tuberculosis Relative Risk in Aceh Province, Indonesia: A Bayesian Conditional Autoregressive Approach with the Besag-York-Mollie (BYM) Model Sasmita, Novi Reandy; Arifin, Mauzatul; Kesuma, Zurnila Marli; Rahayu, Latifah; Mardalena, Selvi; Kruba, Rumaisa
Journal of Applied Data Sciences Vol 5, No 2: MAY 2024
Publisher : Bright Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47738/jads.v5i2.185

Abstract

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a significant public health challenge globally, with Indonesia being the second-highest country in TB cases worldwide. Aceh Province has one of the highest TB incidence rates in Indonesia. This study aims to estimate and map the spatial distribution patterns of TB relative risk across districts in Aceh Province, Indonesia, to reveal significant variations. The study employed an ecological time-series study design, utilizing the Bayesian Conditional Autoregressive (CAR) approach with the Besag-York-Mollie (BYM) model for spatial estimation and mapping of TB relative risk. TB case data and population data for 23 districts/cities in Aceh Province from 2016 to 2022 were analyzed. Spatial analysis was used to estimate and map TB's relative risk, aiding in identifying areas with higher transmission risks. The results showed that the relative risk of TB varied across districts/cities in Aceh Province over the study period. However, Lhokseumawe and Banda Aceh consistently exhibited high to very high relative risks over the years. In 2022, Lhokseumawe City and Banda Aceh City had the highest relative risks by 2.26 and 2.17, respectively, while Sabang City and Bener Meriah District had the lowest by 0.43 and 0.32, respectively. This study provides valuable insights into the heterogeneous landscape of TB risk in Aceh Province, which can inform targeted interventions and planning strategies for effective TB control. Using the Bayesian CAR BYM model proved effective in estimating and mapping TB's relative risk, highlighting areas requiring prioritized attention in TB prevention and control efforts.
Spatial Estimation of Relative Risk for Dengue Fever in Aceh Province using Conditional Autoregressive Method Rahayu, Latifah; Sasmita, Novi Reandy; Adila, Wulan Farisa; Kesuma, Zurnila Marli; Kruba, Rumaisa
Journal of Applied Data Sciences Vol 4, No 4: DECEMBER 2023
Publisher : Bright Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47738/jads.v4i4.141

Abstract

Dengue Fever (DHF) is a dangerous infectious disease that can cause death in an infected person. DHF is a disease transmitted by the Aedes Aegypti mosquito. Dengue cases have been reported in 449 districts/cities spread across 34 provinces with deaths spread across 162 districts/cities in 31 provinces, one of which is in Aceh Province. However, there are districts and cities in Aceh Province with a large number of cases and population at risk, and there are also districts and cities with fewer cases and population at risk. As a result, the number of cases and population at risk of DHF varies. Therefore, it is important to do planning to see which districts and cities have a high chance of DHF. In this study, the type of data used is secondary data sourced from the Aceh Provincial Health Profile from 2016 to 2022. The approach used is the Bayesian Conditional Autoregressive (CAR) prior model Besag-York-Mollie (BYM). The results of this study showed that mortality in dengue cases in Aceh Province from 2016 to 2022 had the highest mortality values in 2016 and 2022. The results of estimating the relative risk of DHF cases using the Bayesian Conditional Autoregressive (CAR) approach of the Besag-York-Mollie (BYM) Model in Aceh Province fulfill all categories with their relative risk values. Some districts/cities have relative risk values. Some districts/cities have high relative risk values of DHF cases and low relative risk values of DHF cases. Sabang city had the highest relative risk value of 3.54 and Bener Meriah district had the lowest relative risk of 0.2.
Co-Authors Adha, Zuhra Adila, Wulan Farisa Ahmad Watsiq Maula Aklya, Zatul Apriliansyah, Feby Arif Saputra, Arif Arifin, Mauzatul Asep Rusyana Asshiddiqi, M. Ischaq Nabil Aziza, Zahra Ifma Chongsuvivatwong, Virasakdi Dahlawy, Arriz Dimas Chaerul Ekty Saputra Earlia, Nanda Fikri, Mumtaz Kemal Ghazi Mauer Idroes Hardi, Irsan Hilal, Iin Shabrina Hizir Sofyan Husdayanti, Noviana Idroes, Ghalieb Mutig Iffaty, Athiya Irvanizam, Irvanizam Kamal, Saiful Kemala, Pati Khairul, Mhd Khairul, Moh Khairun Nisa Kruba, Rumaisa Kusumo, Fitranto La Ode Reskiaddin Malfirah, Malfirah Mardalena, Selvi Maria Paristiowati Maulana, Aga Maulydia, Nur Balqis Muhammad Farid Muhammad Subianto Muhammad Yusuf Muliadi Muslem Muslem, Muslem Nazila, Syifa Niode, Nurdjannah Jane Nuzullah, Teuku Muhammad Faiz Putri, Ulayya Rafiqhi, Adis Aufa Rahayu, Latifa RAHAYU, LATIFAH Ramadeska, Siti Raudhatul Jannah Razief Perucha Fauzie Afidh Rinaldi Idroes Salsabila, Adinda Saragih, Novita Sari Satrio, Justinus Sofyan, Rahmi Suhendra, Rivansyah Suryadi Suryadi Syakir, Fakhrus Syarafina, Risky Haezah Teuku Rizky Noviandy TRINA EKAWATI TALLEI Ulfa, Elvitra Mutia Ulhaq , Muhammad Zia Ulhaq, Muhammad Zia Utami, Reksi Yandri, Erkata Yarmaliza Zahriah, Zahriah Zurnila Marli Kesuma