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SIREGAR, BUDI GAUTAMA
Universitas Islam Negeri Syekh Ali Hasan Ahmad Addary Padangsidimpuan
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Journal : islamic circle

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The Impact of Inflation, Poverty Rates and Unemployment on Indonesia’s Economic Growth, with the Human Development Index as an Intervening Variable winda sari siregar; Rukiah; Budi Gautama Siregar
Islamic Circle Vol. 7 No. 1 (2026): Islamic Circle
Publisher : Prodi Hukum Ekonomi Syari'ah STAIN Mandailing Natal

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Abstract

Indonesia's economic growth conditions according to data presented by BPS in the 2018-2024 period, namely the period before and after the Covid-19 event tended to stagnate at around 5 percent per year. There are several macroeconomic problems that cause low Indonesian economic growth, including inflation, poverty rates, and unemployment, as well as the Human Development Index (HDI). This type of research is a quantitative causality approach with time series data. The research period is 2028-2024 in Indonesia. The population in this study is Indonesian economic growth data reflected in GDP, inflation, poverty rates, unemployment, and HDI from 2018-2024 in the form of monthly data. So the population in this study is 84. The sampling technique used is saturated sampling, namely all 84 populations are used as samples. Data analysis techniques used are normality tests, multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation, coefficient of determination tests, partial tests, simultaneous tests, and Sobel tests. The findings in this study are that inflation and unemployment do not affect the HDI, poverty affects the HDI, there is an influence of the HDI, inflation, and poverty on economic growth, and the HDI cannot mediate the relationship between inflation, unemployment and economic growth, and there is an influence of poverty on economic growth mediated by the HDI
Co-Authors Aam Slamet Rusydiana, Aam Slamet Abd Ghafar bin Don Afifah Khairani Hasibuan Agbert Zega Ajijah Harahap Akmal Chairun Anwar Hasugian Ali Amran Ali Hardana Arbanur Rasyid Ardiansyah Siregar Aswadi Lubis Aswadi Lubis Aswadi Lubis Aswadi Aumil Wahyudi Azwar Hamid Dalimunthe, Siti Sarah Damri Batubara Devi Imelda Sahfitri Hasibuan Diah Mala Sari Dian Sahpitri Difla Ulil Ilvi Khasanah Dina Chairunnisa Eka Lestari Erni Wahyuni Gultom Fikri, Sholeh Hadamean, Barkah Hamni Fadlilah Nasution Hasibuan, Ali Amran Hidayat, Randi Friscilla IZZAH, NURUL Juli Anda Mora Rangkuti Kuras Purba Lubis, Aswadi Manurung, Syafitri I Mara Husin Lubis Maskota Harahap Matondang, Desy Mayasari Mita Medina Muhammad Arif Muhammad Isa Muhammad Isa Muhammad Salman Muhammad Salman Nasirin, Wanda Khairun Nora Angraini Novita Sari Nur Amanah Bunda Pane, Mujahidun Hapisni Putri Bungsu Siregar Putri Hasanah Pulungan Rangkuti , Mhd. Royhan Rindah Febriani Harahap Ritonga, Budi Yanti Robiatul Adawiyah Rodame Monitorir Napitupulu Romando Yusrat Romando Yusrat Rukiah Rukiah Rukiah Safika Zebua Sallim Asrobi Harahap Santi Wahyuni Sarmiana Batubara Simanjuntak, Windi Wahyuni Siregar, Deni Afnita Siregar, Fatahuddin Aziz Siregar, Winda Sari Siti Aisyah Siti Aminah Sri Yanti Aisyah Lubis Syafri Rizka Martabe Nasution Syahbudin Dalimunthe, Razi Azwar Winda Sari Siregar Windari, Windari Yanti Aisyah Lubis, Sri Yulia Safitri Harahap Zaki Zaini Zaki Zaini Zulaika Matondang