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All Journal MABIS: Manajemen dan Bisnis Jeinsa : Jurnal Ekonomi Ichsan Sidenreng Rappang Journal of Halal Industry Studies SMART: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat
Farida Islamiah
Universitas Negeri Makassar
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Physics Social Sciences Other

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ARIMA AS A TOOL FOR EARLY WARNING OF INFLATION IN INDONESIA: SHORT-TERM FORECASTING AND THE CONTEXT OF ECONOMIC STABILITY Farida Islamiah; Via Amalia; Muh. Qardawi Hamzah
Jurnal Ekonomi Ichsan Sidenreng Rappang Vol 5 No 1 (2026): hal
Publisher : Universitas Ichsan Sidenreng Rappang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61912/jeinsa.v5i1.417

Abstract

Inflation is a key macroeconomic indicator affecting purchasing power, investment decisions, and overall economic stability; therefore, reliable forecasts are essential for proactive policy responses. This study aims to develop a monthly inflation forecasting model for Indonesia while interpreting its implications for economic stability. The data consist of Indonesia’s monthly inflation from January 2003 to April 2026 (280 observations) sourced from Bank Indonesia. The analysis applies the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) approach using standard steps: stationarity testing, model identification, parameter estimation, diagnostic checking, and forecasting. The results indicate that the series requires first differencing to achieve stationarity, and the most appropriate model based on statistically significant parameters, the lowest Akaike Information Criterion value among valid candidates, and white-noise residual diagnostics is ARIMA (0,1,2). Forecasts for May to December 2026 suggest inflation will fluctuate within a moderate range of 2.12% to 4.50%, peaking in August 2026 at 4.50% and reaching the lowest level in October 2026 at 2.12%. Overall, the projected pattern implies relatively controlled inflation dynamics, providing an early signal that can support price-stabilization policy planning and improve certainty for real-sector production and investment activities.
Pemberdayaan Ekonomi Lokal Melalui Budidaya Lebah Trigona di Desa Lantawonua Bombana Isma Muthahharah; Zakiyah Mar’ah; Hardianti Hafid; Sitti Masyitah Meliyana; Farida Islamiah
SMART: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol 6, No 1 (2026): April
Publisher : Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas Negeri Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35580/smart.v6i1.83144

Abstract

Rendahnya pemanfaatan potensi vegetasi lokal di Desa Lantawonua, Kabupaten Bombana, menjadi isu utama yang melatarbelakangi perlunya diversifikasi ekonomi melalui sektor kreatif. Fokus pengabdian ini adalah pemberdayaan ekonomi keluarga melalui budidaya lebah tanpa sengat (Trigona) dengan memanfaatkan lahan pekarangan dan kebun produktif. Tujuan pengabdian ini adalah untuk meningkatkan keterampilan teknis masyarakat dalam budidaya lebah serta membentuk kemandirian ekonomi melalui kelompok usaha yang terorganisir. Metode pelaksanaan menggunakan pendekatan partisipatif dengan strategi riset aksi yang meliputi sosialisasi pemetaan wilayah vegetasi berbasis visual, pendampingan pembentukan kelompok UPPKA "Measa Laro", pelatihan teknis lapangan, serta sistem monitoring dan evaluasi berkala. Hasil pengabdian menunjukkan adanya peningkatan signifikan pada kapasitas masyarakat dalam mengelola potensi alam secara lestari, dengan tingkat keberhasilan adaptasi koloni lebah mencapai 90%. Kegiatan ini menegaskan bahwa integrasi antara edukasi teknis dan penguatan kelembagaan lokal mampu menciptakan ketahanan ekonomi desa yang berbasis pada kelestarian ekosistem.
Integrasi halal beauty dan ekospiritualitas dalam membentuk perilaku konsumsi islami: Pendekatan mediasi etika konsumsi Nur Isra’ Ahmad; Farida Islamiah
Journal of Halal Industry Studies Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026): Journal of Halal Industry Studies
Publisher : Nur Science Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.53088/jhis.v5i1.3095

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of perceptions of halal beauty and ecospirituality on consumption behaviour, with Islamic consumption ethics as a mediating variable. The approach used is quantitative, using the Structural Equation Modelling method based on Partial Least Squares (PLS-SEM), with data from 101 Muslim female Generation Z respondents with experience or knowledge of halal beauty products. The results show that perceptions of halal beauty and ecospirituality have a positive and significant effect on Islamic consumption ethics, with ecospirituality as the dominant factor, but neither directly affects consumption behaviour. Through Islamic consumption ethics, which have been proven to be significant in mediating the relationship, it is possible to bridge ecospirituality with consumption behaviour, and fully and weakly link halal beauty perception with consumption behaviour. The implications of this study emphasize the importance of strengthening the ethical value of Islamic consumption in education, counselling, and marketing strategies for halal products, so that consumers are not only oriented towards halal labels but also towards spiritual awareness and environmental concerns.
FAKTOR PENENTU ADOPSI MEDIA SOSIAL DAN DAMPAKNYA TERHADAP KINERJA PENJUALAN USAHA SEKTOR INFORMAL DI INDONESIA Syahril Syahril; Fadil Muhammad; Muh. Qardawi Hamzah; Selly Kudrati Ningsih; Farida Islamiah
Jurnal Ekonomi Ichsan Sidenreng Rappang Vol 5 No 1 (2026): hal
Publisher : Universitas Ichsan Sidenreng Rappang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61912/jeinsa.v5i1.340

Abstract

The informal sector plays a crucial role in the Indonesian economy, accounting for a significant share of labor absorption. However, it is also closely linked to poverty, low productivity, wage inequality, and limited tax revenue and financial deepening. Social media adoption is seen as a business development strategy, yet the majority of informal businesses have not yet adopted it. This study analyzed the influence of social media on sales and the determinants of adoption using linear regression and probit logistic regression. The results indicate that education, owner age, smartphone ownership, and electricity access influence social media adoption, whereas experience does not. Social media also had no significant impact on the sales of informal sector businesses. Keywords: Informal Sector, Social Media, Sales, Business Actors
Building small medium enterprise competitive advantage through situational leadership, digital marketing capabilities and innovation Muhammad Taufik; Valentino Aris; Rizal Bakri; Farida Islamiah; Husni Mubarak
Manajemen dan Bisnis Vol 25, No 3 (2026): November 2026 (Online First)
Publisher : Department of Management - Faculty of Business and Economics. Universitas Surabaya.

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24123/mabis.v25i3.1159

Abstract

Small and medium enterprises increasingly need adaptive leadership and digital marketing capabilities to sustain competitiveness in dynamic digital markets. This study examines the influence of situational leadership and digital marketing capability on sustainable competitive advantage among SMEs in Makassar, with digital marketing innovation positioned as a mediating variable. Data were collected from 304 SME owners through a structured questionnaire and analyzed using Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM). The findings reveal that situational leadership and digital marketing capability significantly enhance digital marketing innovation, with situational leadership emerging as the stronger determinant. Digital marketing innovation and situational leadership were found to exert significant positive effects on sustainable competitive advantage, while digital marketing capability showed no significant direct effect on competitive outcomes. Mediation analysis confirmed that digital marketing innovation significantly mediates both the relationship between digital marketing capability and situational leadership to sustainable competitive advantage. These results suggest that digital marketing capability functions as a strategic prerequisite rather than a direct driver of competitive advantage, and that its value is only realized when actively transformed into innovative marketing practices. The study contributes to the dynamic capabilities literature and extends situational leadership theory by demonstrating that adaptive leadership and digital capabilities must be channeled through innovation to generate sustainable competitive value in resource-constrained SME environments.
Co-Authors Fadil Muhammad Hardianti Hafid Husni Mubarak Isma Muthahharah Muh. Qardawi Hamzah Muhammad Taufik Nur Isra' Ahmad Rizal Bakri Selly Kudrati Ningsih Sitti Masyitah Meliyana R. Syahril Syahril Valentino Aris Via Amalia Zakiyah Mar’ah