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Redaksi BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu matematika dan terapan, Ex. UT Building, 2nd Floor, Mathematic Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, University of Pattimura Jln. Ir. M. Putuhena, Kampus Unpatti, Poka - Ambon 97233, Provinsi Maluku, Indonesia Website: https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/ Contact us : +62 85243358669 (Yopi) e-mail: barekeng.math@yahoo.com
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BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Published by Universitas Pattimura
ISSN : 19787227     EISSN : 26153017     DOI : https://search.crossref.org/?q=barekeng
BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan is one of the scientific publication media, which publish the article related to the result of research or study in the field of Pure Mathematics and Applied Mathematics. Focus and scope of BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan, as follows: - Pure Mathematics (analysis, algebra & number theory), - Applied Mathematics (Fuzzy, Artificial Neural Network, Mathematics Modeling & Simulation, Control & Optimization, Ethno-mathematics, etc.), - Statistics, - Actuarial Science, - Logic, - Geometry & Topology, - Numerical Analysis, - Mathematic Computation and - Mathematics Education. The meaning word of "BAREKENG" is one of the words from Moluccas language which means "Counting" or "Calculating". Counting is one of the main and fundamental activities in the field of Mathematics. Therefore we tried to promote the word "Barekeng" as the name of our scientific journal also to promote the culture of the Maluku Area. BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan is published four (4) times a year in March, June, September and December, since 2020 and each issue consists of 15 articles. The first published since 2007 in printed version (p-ISSN: 1978-7227) and then in 2018 BAREKENG journal has published in online version (e-ISSN: 2615-3017) on website: (https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/). This journal system is currently using OJS3.1.1.4 from PKP. BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan has been nationally accredited at Level 3 (SINTA 3) since December 2018, based on the Direktur Jenderal Penguatan Riset dan Pengembangan, Kementerian Riset, Teknologi, dan Pendidikan Tinggi, Republik Indonesia, with Decree No. : 34 / E / KPT / 2018. In 2019, BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan has been re-accredited by Direktur Jenderal Penguatan Riset dan Pengembangan, Kementerian Riset, Teknologi, dan Pendidikan Tinggi, Republik Indonesia and accredited in level 3 (SINTA 3), with Decree No.: 29 / E / KPT / 2019. BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan was published by: Mathematics Department Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences University of Pattimura Website: http://matematika.fmipa.unpatti.ac.id
Articles 1,369 Documents
CONSTRUCTING OUT-MIGRATION POTENCY INDEX FROM PROVINCE OF INDONESIA IN 2019 Efendi, Nadya Namirasepti; Sirait, Timbang
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 4 (2022): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (455.83 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss4pp1249-1258

Abstract

Out-migration is a solution that people do when their area is unable to fulfill their needs. However, the area of origin that people left behind is even more neglected because many productive and educated people are moving. To know the potency of out-migration, it is necessary to determine the push factors of migration. Lee (1966) and Lewis (1982) state that there are push factors including economic, demographic, environmental, infrastructure, and political factors. This study aims to build a composite indicator that is able to describe the potency of out-migration from a province of Indonesia in 2019. By utilizing data from various BPS’s publications, exploratory factor analysis was carried out with the guide from OECD (2008). As result, four factors were formed, namely economic population and infrastructure factor, welfare and pollution factor, social and security factor, and industrial and clean water factor. DKI Jakarta has the lowest potency and Papua has the highest potency. The correlation between HDI and the Out-Migration Potential Index (OMPI) is -0.798 so that the higher human development in an area, the lower potency to be left by the population. This index is a new index, it can be an illustration that given to the government in dealing regional development’s gap in Indonesia.
ARIMA MODEL OF OUTLIER DETECTION FOR FORECASTING CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) Imron, M.; Utami, Wika Dianita; Khaulasari, Hani; Armunanto, Firman
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 4 (2022): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (427.349 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss4pp1259-1270

Abstract

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a indicator used by Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) which describes the average change in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services in a certain period. The case on Consumer Price Index (CPI) of Probolinggo City, if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increase then describe inflation occurs and conversely. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) of Probolinggo City increase is not fixed. This study is to forecast the Consumer Price Index (CPI) that the results can be used as one of the considerations in carrying out economic development in the future. Research focused on the data of Consumer Price Index (CPI) of Probolinggo City from January 2014 to April 2022. Methodology implemented in this study is Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). Result show that ARIMA without an outlier was the best model for predicting Consumer Price Index (CPI) of Probolinggo City for the next 8 months. This model shows the value of MAPE is . The value of forecasting results in each month has decreased and increased not so significantly where in May 2022 the forecasting value was 108,391 then in June 2022 the forecasting value became 108,411 and so on until December 2022 the forecasting results using ARIMA model of 107,845.
HILL CLIMBING ALGORITHM ON BAYESIAN NETWORK TO DETERMINE PROBABILITY VALUE OF SYMPTOMS AND EYE DISEASE Adhitama, Ria Puan; Saputro, Dewi Retno Sari; Sutanto, Sutanto
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 4 (2022): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (577.687 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss4pp1271-1282

Abstract

One of the five human senses referred to as photoreceptors is the eye because the eye is very sensitive to light stimuli. Refractive abnormalities in the eyes are often experienced, which are abnormalities that occur when the eyes cannot see clearly in the open or blurred vision. An unhealthy lifestyle is a trigger for an increase in individuals who experience complaints of eye diseases. In diagnosing a disease, doctors need patient information in the form of symptoms experienced so that patients can be treated immediately. Information in the form of symptoms and types of eye diseases can be used to make conjectures about eye diseases through the structure of BN. The symptom information and type of the disease are represented through nodes, while the relationships are represented through the edge. BN is one of the Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGM) consisting of nodes and edges. BN is also known as a direct acyclic graph (DAG), which is a directed graph that does not have a cycle. The approach method used is scored based on the evaluation process with the bic scoring function. The algorithm used in this study is the HC algorithm. The research data used consisted of 52 symptoms and 15 eye diseases. The results of the study were obtained by the final structure of BN formed by the HC algorithm produced 93 edges and 65 connected nodes, and the probability value of the disease and the symptoms of the disease in the eye.
ANALYSIS OF BANKING DEPOSIT COST IN THE DYNAMICS OF LOAN: BIFURCATION AND CHAOS PERSPECTIVES Ansori, Moch. Fandi; Hariyanto, Susilo
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 4 (2022): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (452.552 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss4pp1283-1292

Abstract

A dynamic model of banking loan based on the gradient adjustment process is presented. The amount of loan that will be channeled in the future depends on the sign of the marginal profit of loan. In this paper, we study the deposit cost in the dynamics of a bank’s loan using bifurcation theory. The analysis shows that the deposit cost can affect the stability of loan equilibrium. If the deposit cost is too high, then the loan equilibrium can lose its stability trough transcritical bifurcation. Meanwhile, if the deposit cost is too low, then the loan equilibrium may lose its stability via flip bifurcation and road to chaos. The loan equilibrium stable if the deposit cost is in between the bifurcation values. These findings are confirmed by the numerical simulations. In addition, we present the graph of Lyapunov exponent to see the existence of chaos and the graph of chaotic loan that is sensitive to the initial condition.
MULTI-STATE MODEL FOR CALCULATION OF LONG-TERM CARE INSURANCE PRODUCT PREMIUM IN INDONESIA Perdana, Hendra; Satyahadewi, Neva; Kusnandar, Dadan; Tamtama, Ray
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 4 (2022): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (487.771 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss4pp1293-1302

Abstract

Long Term Care (LTC) insurance is a type of health insurance. One of the LTC products is Annuity as A Rider Benefit. This insurance provides benefits for medical care costs during the term and death benefits if the insured dies. This insurance product can be modeled with a multi-state model. The multi-state model is a stochastic process in which the subject can switch states at a specified number of states. This paper discusses the calculation of LTC insurance premiums with the Annuity as A Rider Benefit product using a multi-state model for critically ill patients in Indonesia. The state used consisted of eight states, namely healthy, cancer, heart disease, stroke, died from the illness from each disease, and died from others. The premium calculation also utilized Markov chain transition probabilities. The data used were data on Indonesia's population in 2018, data on the prevalence of cancer, heart disease, stroke, and Indonesia's 2019 mortality table. The stages of this study were calculating the net single premium value, benefit annuity value, and insurance premium value. The case study was conducted on a 25 years old male in good health following LTC insurance with a coverage period of 5 years. It was known that the compensation value for someone who dies was IDR 100,000,000 and the interest rate used was 5%. The calculation results obtained an annual premium of IDR 5,308,915 which was then varied based on gender and varied interest. Insurance premiums for men were more expensive than for women since men had a greater chance of dying. Then, the higher the interest rate taken; the lower premium paid. This was because the interest rate is a discount variable.
MAGNETOHYDRODYNAMICS NANOFERRO FLUID FLOWS PASSING THROUGH A MAGNETIC POROUS SPHERE UNDER THERMAL RADIATION EFFECT Widodo, Basuki; Pamela, Eirene Juwita Ningtyas; Adzkiya, Dieky; Imron, Chairul; Rahayuningsih, Tri
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 4 (2022): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (456.749 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss4pp1303-1312

Abstract

In the application of thermonuclear reactor cooling, temperature regulation relies on experiments based on practical experience. Therefore, the accuracy of this temperature setting is operator-dependent. So it is necessary to develop a mathematical model to solve these problems. The dimensional mathematical model therefore is generated using the conservation laws of mass, momentum, and energy. The dimensional mathematical model is further transformed into non-dimensional mathematical model by using non-dimensional variables. The non-dimensional mathematical model is simplified using the similarity equation by utilizing the stream function. The model obtained is a system of nonlinear ordinary differential equations. This system of equations is then solved using an implicit numerical method using Keller-Box scheme. This Keller-Box method has high accuracy and is more efficient. The numerical simulation results show that the velocity profile and temperature profile decrease as the magnetic parameter, porosity parameter, and the Prandtl number increases, respectively. Meanwhile, when the radiation parameter increases, the temperature profile also increases, but the radiation parameter does not affect the velocity profile.
THE PROMINENCE OF VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL IN MULTIVARIATE TIME SERIES FORECASTING MODELS WITH STATIONARY PROBLEMS Rohaeti, Embay; Sumertajaya, I Made; Wigena, Aji Hamim; Sadik, Kusman
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 4 (2022): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (688.398 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss4pp1313-1324

Abstract

One of the problems in modelling multivariate time series is stationary. Stationary test results do not always produce all stationary variables; mixed stationary and non-stationary variables are possible. When stationary problems are found in multivariate time series modelling, it is necessary to evaluate the model's performance in various stationary conditions to obtain the best forecasting model. This study aims to get a superior multivariate time series forecasting model based on the goodness of the model in various stationary conditions. In this study, the evaluation of the model's performance through simulation data modelling is then applied to the actual data with a stationary problem, namely Bogor City inflation data. The best model in simulation modelling is based on the stability of RMSE and MAD in 100 replications. The results are that the VAR model is the best in various stationary conditions. Meanwhile, the best model on actual data modelling is based on evaluation in 4 folds for model fitting power and model forecasting power. The Bogor City inflation data modelling with the mixed stationary problem resulted in the best model, namely the VAR(1) model. This means the VAR model is good enough to be used as a forecasting model in mixed stationary conditions. Thus, in this study, based on the goodness of the model in two modelling scenarios in various stationary conditions, overall, it was found that the VAR model was superior to the VARD and VECM models.
OPTIMIZATION OF PORTFOLIO USING FUZZY SELECTION Wardani, Rahmania Ayu; Surono, Sugiyarto; Wen, Goh Kang
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 4 (2022): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (517.741 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss4pp1325-1336

Abstract

The problem of portfolio optimization concerns the allocation of the investor’s wealth between several security alternatives so that the maximum profit can be obtained. One of the methods used is Fuzzy Portfolio Selection to understand it better. This method separates the objective function of return and the objective function of risk to determine the limit of the membership function that will be used. The goal of this study is to understand the application of the Fuzzy Portfolio Selection method over shares that have been chosen on a portfolio optimization problem, understand return and risk, and understand the budget proportion of each claim. The subject of this study is the shares of 20 companies included in Bursa Efek Indonesia from 1 January 2021 until 1 January 2022. The result of this study shows that from 20 shares, there are 10 shares that is suitable in the forming of optimal portfolio, those are ADRO (0%), ANTM (43.3%), ASII (0%), BBCA (0%), BBRI (0%), BBTN (0%), BRPT (0%), BSDE (0%), ERAA (16%), and INCO (40.7%). The expected return from the portfolio is 0.0878895207 or 8.8% for the return and 0.0226022117 or 2.3% for the risk.
CREDIT CARD FRAUD DETECTION USING LINEAR DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS (LDA), RANDOM FOREST, AND BINARY LOGISTIC REGRESSION Ahsan, Muhammad; Susanto, Tabita Yuni; Virania, Tiza Ayu; Jaya, Andi Indra
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 4 (2022): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (736.798 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss4pp1337-1346

Abstract

The growth of electronic payment usage makes the monetary tension of credit-card deception is changing into major defiance for finance and technology companies. Therefore, pressuring them to continuously advance their fraud detection system is crucial. In this research, we describe fraud detection as a classification issue by comparing three methods. The method used is Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA), Random Forest, and Binary Logistic Regression. The dataset used is a dataset containing transactions made by credit cards. The challenge in this analysis is that the dataset is highly unbalanced, so SMOTE must perform better on the data. The dataset contains only continuous features that are transformed into Principal Component Scores (PCs). The results show that the binary regression algorithm, the Random Forest algorithm, and the Linear Discriminant Analysis with variables that have SMOTE have AUC values greater than using the original variables. The largest AUC value was obtained by binary logistic regression with 90:10 separation data and Random Forest Algorithm with 60:40 separation data.
A NOTE ON THE SOLUTION OF THE CHARACTERISTIC EQUATION OVER THE SYMMETRIZED MAX-PLUS ALGEBRA Ariyanti, Gregoria
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 4 (2022): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (410.301 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss4pp1347-1354

Abstract

The symmetrized max-plus algebra is an extension of max-plus algebra. One of the problems in the symmetrized max-plus algebra is determining the eigenvalues of a matrix. If the determinant can be defined, the characteristic equation can be formulated as a max-plus algebraic multivariate polynomial equation system. A mathematical tool for solving the problem using operations as in conventional algebra, known as the extended linear complementary problem (ELCP), to determine the solution to the characteristic equation. In this paper, we will describe the use of ELCP in determining the solution to the characteristic equations of matrices over the symmetrized max-plus algebra.

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