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Journal : Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi)

Forecasting Photovoltaic Output Power Based on Environmental Parameters Using Artificial Neural Network Methods Silalahi, Desri Kristina; Agnes Christy Margareth Rumapea; Wahmisari Priharti; Bandiyah Sri Aprillia
Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi) Vol 7 No 6 (2023): December 2023
Publisher : Ikatan Ahli Informatika Indonesia (IAII)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29207/resti.v7i6.5214

Abstract

Photovoltaics are systems that can convert sunlight into electrical energy. However, photovoltaic efficiency tends to be low, and its performance is affected by several environmental parameters such as dust, wind speed, humidity, temperature, and other external factors. Because there are many factors that can affect the power generated, we need a power output prediction system that can help in planning and managing as well as increasing the efficiency of photovoltaic systems. In this research, a system is designed that can predict the photovoltaic output power in the short term using the artificial neural network method or what is often called an artificial neural network. Predictions are made based on the effects of several environmental parameters such as wind speed, dust, humidity, and temperature on a 10 Wp photovoltaic system. Performance data for 7 days is used as a dataset and then processed using ANN with 1 input layer, 3 hidden layers, and 1 output layer, and 3 sample epochs (10, 100, and 1000). The results of the study can predict the output of photovoltaic power for the next 4 days with an error value of Mean Square Error (MSE) of 0.0010, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.0155, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.0229 with an increase in power reaching 0.5 to 1 watt.
Co-Authors Achmad Rizal Achmad Rizal Adi, Yafi Cahyono Agnes Christy Margareth Rumapea Agung Surya Wibowo Ammar, Yazid Andi Majesta, I Made Andre Suryaputra Anggelina Margaretha Marsukan Arafat, Aisha Medina Arief Syahnakri Abubakar Aziz, Burhanuddin Bambang Setia Nugroho Bandiyah Sri Aprillia Bena Bimantara, Wayan Abin Brahmantya Aji Pramudita Burhanuddin Aziz Dago, Leonardus Chirstopher Darmawan, Mochammad Fahreza Desri Kristina Silalahi Dien Rahmawati Dopo, Obed Orieyanto Ega Elfira Ekki Kurniawan Enoch, Aldrivo Muhamad Supit Faikar, Muhammad Fajra Octrina Farhan Edwan Mursalaat Fenty Alia Fenty Alia Firas Maulana Lasidi Fransiskus Abel Pramuadi Putra Ghibran Herlangga Zahra Rievansa Ghozali, Diaf Ahmad Hasan Basri Dongoran Herawanto, Miftah Falah Hesty Susanti Husneni Mukhtar I Gede Putu Oka Indra Wijaya Ig. Prasetya Dwi Wibawa Ihsan Ahmad Kamal Ilham, Adam Abiyyu Iswahyudi Hidayat Kertanegara, Mochamad Gattan Kris Sujatmoko Kusnahadi Susanto Lovindo Nulova Maudina Citra Febriani Muhammad Hablul Barri Muhammad Syarifuddin Novi Prihatiningrum P, Muhammad Tabah Rizky Porman Pangaribuan Prastha Giriwara, I Made Rinding, Styven Octacezario Rizkiyanda, Muhammad Rizqi Aulia Syihab Ruri Octari Dinata Sang Ayu Ketut Devi Saraswati Saragih , Haamid Ahmad Shafry, Arkan Anis Sony Sumaryo Sudarmono Sasmono Suryo Adhi Wibowo Suto Setiyadi Teuku Zulkarnain Muttaqien Trisa Putri Siregar Widiyasari, Diyah Willy Anugrah Cahyadi Yendi Surya Agung Yudhistira, Daffa Bintang Yusuf Nur Wijayanto, Yusuf Nur Zainal Abidin Pane