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Tanjung, Adetia Azmi
Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Muhammadiyah Asahan
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PENGARUH INDEKS PEMBANGUNAN MANUSIA DAN LAJU PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI TERHADAP TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN TERBUKA DI KOTA MEDAN TAHUN 2003-2024 Tanjung, Adetia Azmi; Affiah, Hajar; Syera, Inda Arfa
JOURNAL OF SCIENCE AND SOCIAL RESEARCH Vol 8, No 3 (2025): August 2025
Publisher : Smart Education

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54314/jssr.v8i3.4098

Abstract

Abstract: The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of the Human Development Index and the Economic Growth Rate on the Open Unemployment Rate in Medan City from 2003 to 2024. The data used in this study is time series data for the period 2003-2024 sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of Medan City. This study uses multiple linear analysis with the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) model processed with the eviews data processing tool. The results of the t-test research on eviews data processing, the probability of the Human Development Index is 0.0000. Where 0.0000 <0.05 so it is concluded that the Human Development Index has a significant effect on the Open Unemployment Rate. Then the variable Economic Growth Rate obtained a probability value of 0.0825. Where 0.0825> 0.05 so it can be concluded that the Economic Growth Rate does not have a partial effect on the Open Unemployment Rate. Then finally the f test was carried out. Where the probability value of the f statistic was 0.000001. This means that the Human Development Index and Economic Growth Rate have a simultaneous effect on the Open Unemployment Rate in Medan City. Keywords: Human Development Index, Economic Growth Rate, Open Unemployment Rate Abstrak: Tujuan penelitian ini untuk mengetahui pengaruh Indeks Pembangunan Manusia dan Laju Pertumbuhan Ekonomi terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka di Kota Medan tahun 2003 sampai dengan tahun 2024. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data time series dalam kurun waktu 2003-2024 yang bersumber dari Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) Kota Medan. Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis linear berganda dengan model Ordinary Least Square (OLS) yang diolah dengan alat bantu olah data eviews. Hasil penelitian uji t pada olah data eviews, probabilitas Indeks Pembangunan Manusia sebesar 0.0000. Dimana 0.0000 < 0,05 sehingga disimpulkan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia berpengaruh signifikan terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka. Kemudian variabel Laju Pertumbuhan Ekonomi diperoleh nilai probabilitas 0.0825. Dimana 0.0825 > 0.05 sehingga dapat disimpulkan bahwa Laju Pertumbuhan Ekonomi tidak berpengaruh secara parsial terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka. Kemudian terakhir dilakukan uji f. Dimana nilai prob f statistiknya 0.000001. Artinya Indeks Pembangunan Manusia dan Laju Pertumbuhan Ekonomi berpengaruh secara simultan terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka di Kota Medan.  Kata kunci: Indeks Pembangunan Manusia, Laju Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka
Investment Feasibility Analysis in Developing Medicinal Plant Business as an Economic Diversification Effort in Asahan Regency Rahmawani, Rahmawani; Syah, Syafrial; Tanjung, Adetia Azmi; Anggeraini, Faulia
Dinasti International Journal of Economics, Finance & Accounting Vol. 6 No. 1 (2025): Dinasti International Journal of Economics, Finance & Accounting (March-April 2
Publisher : Dinasti Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.38035/dijefa.v6i1.3920

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the feasibility of investment in the development of medicinal plant businesses in Asahan Regency as an effort to diversify the economy. The method used is quantitative research with a descriptive approach, including SWOT analysis to identify strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats, and PESTEL analysis to evaluate external factors that affect the business. In addition, a capital budgeting analysis was carried out using NPV (Net Present Value), PI (Profitability Index), and PP (Payback Period) to determine the feasibility of investment. The results of the SWOT analysis show that Asahan Regency has high natural resource potential and government support, although there are challenges such as limited human resource quality and infrastructure. PESTEL analysis reveals that political stability and positive economic growth support the development of the medicinal plant sector, while environmental risks and policy changes need to be watched out for. The NPV calculation produces a value of around IDR 11,636,364, indicating that this project is profitable at a 10% discount rate. The Profitability Index of 2.5 indicates investment feasibility, and the Payback Period of around 0.67 years (8 months) indicates a short time to reach breakeven. The conclusion of this study is that Asahan Regency is a suitable location for cultivating medicinal plants. Increasing human resource capacity and infrastructure development are essential to maximize investment potential in this sector. This study provides recommendations for stakeholders to improve training for farmers.
Co-Authors Affiah, Hajar Anggeraini, Faulia Endrianur Rahman Zain Hajar Affiah Hajar Affiah Inda Arfa Syera Irwansyah, Rudy Rahmawani, Rahmawani Rasyid, MHD. Andi Syah, Syafrial Syera, Inda Arfa Tanjung, Uli Syahbara Uli Syahbara Tanjung Windi Triana