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All Journal Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Indonesia JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Jurnal Manajemen dan Agribisnis Jurnal Risalah Kebijakan Pertanian dan Lingkungan Jurnal Ekonomi Indonesia Policy Brief Pertanian, Kelautan, dan Biosains Tropika
Syarifah Amaliah
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Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Environmental Science Social Sciences

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Dampak free trade arrangements (FTA) terhadap ekonomi makro, sektoral, regional, dan distribusi pendapatan di Indonesia Rina Oktaviani; . Widyastutik; Syarifah Amaliah
Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Indonesia Vol. 15 No. 3 (2010): Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Indonesia
Publisher : Institut Pertanian Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (504.584 KB)

Abstract

Indonesia's commitment to be involved in the scheme of Free Trade Agreement (FTA) is expected to bring a multiplier effect for the Indonesian economy, including sectoral, regional, and household distributional impact. The study was conducted using recursive dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model (CGE) with further extension on top-down regional features. In the short term, the impact of the FTA has not seemed to significantly increase the national and regional GOP of each province. Trade liberalization scheme could potentially reduce the real income of households, the largest decline in low-income households in rural areas. Increased household income disparities need to be accounted with a serious community empowerment program to avoid social and economic conflicts. Increased competitiveness on regional and sectoral level is necessary. Improvement on market access is mandatory for several advantageous commodities. By increasing competitiveness, quality of infrastructures, and access to export markets, the export performance can beimproved. From the internal side, an efficient supply chain management is also crucial to meet the desires of consumers with quality, time, price and the right amount.
FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI IMPOR SUSU INDONESIA Syarifah Amaliah; Idqan Fahmi
Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis Vol. 4 No. 2 (2007): Vol. 4 No. 2 Oktober 2007
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (659.779 KB) | DOI: 10.17358/jma.4.2.91-102

Abstract

The condition of excess demand that is happening to the milk commodity is the result of the low capacity in domestic milk production that has made Indonesia faced with the option of importing milk. The rise in volume of imported milk that occurred after the remission of the import ratio policy indicates that domestic milk competitiveness is low. Quantitative analysis using Engle-Granger Co-integration and Error Correction Model (ECM) to analyze factors influencing imported milk for the long-term and the short-term through one-way comparison produced a crucial research implication towards the increase of domestic milk production for the short-term. On the other hand, for the long-term, real price for domestic milk holds a key role in increasing competitiveness. The remission of the import ratio policy as an act to minimize trade restriction basically increases import volume, nevertheless it is thought that it can be overcome with an exit strategy of increasing domestic milk production for the short-term.
Assessing The Impacts of Food and Mouth Disease Outbreak on The Indonesian Economy and Its Regional Growth Sahara, Sahara; Sugema, Iman; Amaliah, Syarifah; Probokawuryan, Mutiara; Ahmad, Fahmi Salam
Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis Vol. 20 No. 3 (2023): JMA Vol. 20 No. 3, November 2023
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17358/jma.20.3.513

Abstract

Foot and mouth disease (FMD) is typically endemic and commonly found as a recurring issue in many developing countries, including Indonesia. In 2022, FMD has massively spread to 62 districts and cities so that it was declared an outbreak which caused significant economic losses. In this paper, we attempt to assess the impacts of FMD on the Indonesian economy by using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) approach. The results show that the FMD outbreak caused negative pressure on national economic growth, reducing the real wage and consumption, as well as exacerbating trade deficit. The outbreak also induced higher prices of beef and dairy sectors as well as their related sectors. Based on the regional perspective, the main production regions of beef and dairy are expected to suffer higher economic loss than that of other regions. Meanwhile, at the household level, the outbreak caused considerable effect in lowering income and consumption, particularly for rural farm households. Some necessary policies to overcome the outbreak, consisting of establishing a FMD handling post, promoting vaccination, extending financial supports, and maintaining communication and transparency with other countries regarding the outbreak status. Keywords: Computable General Equilibrium (CGE), Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD), livestock, macroeconomy, regional
The Impact of One Belt One Road and Indonesia-Pakistan Palm Oil Trade Liberalization Widyastutik; Amaliah, Syarifah; Hotsawadi; Firdaus, Muhammad
Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis Vol. 20 No. 3 (2023): JMA Vol. 20 No. 3, November 2023
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17358/jma.20.3.466

Abstract

This study focused more on analyzing the impact of the One Belt One Road initiative combined with the scenario of turning Pakistan into Indonesian palm oil trade and investment hub in the Central Asia, South Asia and Middle East Regions on Indonesia's macroeconomy. The analytical method in this study used GTAP model version 9, with reference year 2011. The results showed that the One Belt One Road initiative combined with the scenario of turning Pakistan into Indonesian palm oil trade and investment hub in the Central Asia, South Asia and Middle East Regions has led to an increase in various components of Indonesia's and Pakistan's macroeconomic variables. However, the benefits received by Indonesia in various components of macroeconomic variables are greater than those of Pakistan. Keywords: One Belt One Road, GTAP, macroeconomy, Pakistan
Membangun Resiliensi Sistem Pangan Indonesia Satria, Arif; Anggraini, Eva; Widyastutik, Widyastutik; Nuryartono, Nunung; Amaliah, Syarifah; Helmi, Alfian; Sangadji, Masbantar
Policy Brief Pertanian, Kelautan, dan Biosains Tropika Vol. 4 No. 4 (2022): Policy Brief Pertanian, Kelautan dan Biosains Tropika
Publisher : Direktorat Kajian Strategis dan Reputasi Akademik IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/agro-maritim.0404.338-345

Abstract

Persoalan pangan merupakan persoalan kemanusiaan yang perlu ditangani dengan serius. Kenaikan harga energi, khususnya energi fosil, mempengaruhi harga pupuk dan pakan sehingga mendorong kenaikan harga pangan. Ditambah variabilitas iklim yang mempengaruhi produktifitas pangan, dampak terhadap kinerja makroekonomi, produktivitas pangan, kinerja ekonomi regional, ekonomi rumah tangga dan tingkat kemiskinan semakin terasa. Stimulus pengeluaran pemerintahdan peningkatan produktifitas diprediksikan mampu menahan goncangan yang terjadi, namun strategi yang memberikan efek jangka serta mampu menciptakan sistem pangan yang tangguh (resilient) perlu didesain dengan serius. Untuk itu diperlukan upaya yang menyeluruh dan terintegrasi mulai dari peningkatan produktivitas, mempertahankan stabilitas, penguatan industri, peningkatan efisiensi sistem pangan, meningkatkan diversifikasi dan ketahanan pangan lokal, penguatan sumberdaya dan perlindungan petani.
Defisit Neraca Perdagangan: J-Curve, Perang Dagang dan Model Salter Corden Firdaus, Muhammad; Satriani, Rini; Amaliah, Syarifah; Salam, Fahmi Ahmad; Fazri, Muhammad
Jurnal Ikatan Sarjana Ekonomi Indonesia Vol 8 No 2 (2019): December
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52813/jei.v8i2.34

Abstract

Exchange rate fluctuations and external shocks such as the trade war are predicted to put pressure on Indonesia’s trade balance. Based on VECM analysis, the exchange rate and Indonesia’s aggregate trade balance followed the J-Curve. Additionally, the trade war had impact on Rupiah depreciation and trade balance. The study also confirms eight export-oriented industries that are resilient to shocks and classified into four behaviors: (i) industries following the J-Curve; (ii) industries following the J-Curve in the long run; (iii) industriy which are not fully confirmed J-Curve, and (iv) Rest sector. The implication of this study emphasize the development of export-oriented and labor-intensive industries (Salter-Corden model). Keywords: J Curve; exchange rate; trade war; Salter Coden Model; VECM ------------------------------------------- Pergerakan nilai tukar Rupiah dan guncangan eksternal seperti perang dagang diprediksi akan memberikan tekanan terhadap neraca perdagangan. Berdasarkan analisis VECM, nilai tukar rupiah dan neraca perdagangan Indonesia secara agregat mengikuti fenomena J-Curve. Perang dagang terbukti memengaruhi depresiasi nilai tukar Rupiah dan neraca perdagangan Indonesia. Terdapat delapan industri berorientasi ekspor yang memiliki resiliensi terhadap guncangan dan diklasifikasikan menjadi empat, yakni: (i) Kelompok industri yang mengikuti fenomena J-Curve sepenuhnya; (ii) Kelompok industri dengan fenomena J-Curve pada jangka panjang; (iii) Kelompok industri yang tidak sepenuhnya mengikuti fenomena J-Curve, dan (iv) Industri lainnya. Implikasi studi ini menekankan pengembangan industri yang berorientasi ekspor dan intensif tenaga kerja (Salter-Corden model).
PERSEPSI PELAKU USAHATANI TERHADAP KEBIJAKAN DAN PROGRAM INVESTASI PUBLIK DI SEKTOR PERTANIAN Hotsawadi; Setyawati, Dewi; Amaliah, Syarifah; Hermawan, Iwan; Widyastutik
RISALAH KEBIJAKAN PERTANIAN DAN LINGKUNGAN Rumusan Kajian Strategis Bidang Pertanian dan Lingkungan Vol 12 No 1 (2025): April
Publisher : Pusat Studi Pembangunan Pertanian dan Pedesaan (PSP3) dan Ilmu Pengelolaan Sumberdaya Alam dan Lingkungan (PSL)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jkebijakan.v12i1.62166

Abstract

Investasi publik di sektor pertanian diharapkan dapat peningkatan produksi dan kesejahteraan petani. Kajian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis persepsi pelaku usaha terhadap kebijakan dan program investasi publik di sektor pertanian. Sampel responden sebanyak 300 petani yang mengusahakan komoditas padi, jagung, kedelai, sayuran, kakao dan sawit di lima kabupaten (Subang, Indramayu, Pacitan, Lombok Utara dan Luwuk Utara). Persepsi petani berdasarkan analisis Importance Performance Analysis (IPA) menunjukkan bahwa sarana produksi, alat mesin pertanian dan infrastruktur secara umum harus dipertahankan kinerjanya. Sedangkan faktor lainnya seperti sumberdaya manusia, riset dan pengembangan, pemanfaatan teknologi, pembiayaan, kebijakan pemerintah, bantuan pemerintah serta kelembagaan, fasilitasi dan kemitraan, responden petani memiliki tingkat kepentingan dan juga persepsi kinerja yang sangat bervariasi antar lokasi sampel dan jenis komoditas. Sebagai upaya optimalisasi investasi publik, kegiatan pendampingan oleh kementerian lembaga, pihak swasta maupun perguruan tinggi kepada para petani sangat diperlukan.
Dampak Pembangunan Ibu Kota Nusantara (IKN) sebagai Katalisator Perekonomian Regional: Pendekatan IRIO: Institut Pertanian Bogor Mutiara Probokawuryan; Sane Pratinda, Wildan Nur Arrasyiid; Azijah, Zulva; Amaliah, Syarifah; Zain, Salma Luthfia; Nur’aeni, Aisyah
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan Vol. 14 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.14.1.2025.41-57

Abstract

Economic disparities between regions in Indonesia remain one of the main challenges in the national development process. The development of the National Capital City (IKN) is seen as an effort to create a new economic growth center outside Java Island to reduce regional economic inequality. This study aims to analyze the impact of investment in IKN development on the national economy using the Indonesian Inter-Regional Input-Output (IRIO) approach, particularly to assess its effects on economic output, household income, and employment absorption. The analysis method used is the 2016 Indonesian Inter-Regional Input-Output (IRIO) model. The findings indicate that increased government investment in IKN development, particularly in the construction sector, has a significant impact on East Kalimantan but also generates output effects in other regions, such as Jakarta, East Java, North Kalimantan, and West Java. Meanwhile, income and labor impacts are also observed in Java Island, Sulawesi Island, Sumatra Island, and partially in Balinusra (Bali-Nusa Tenggara), as well as Maluku and Papua. It is necessary to strengthen economic diversification policies and support for related sectors outside Kalimantan in order to broaden the nationwide spillover effects of the IKN development.
Co-Authors Ahmad, Fahmi Salam Alfian Helmi Arif Satria Azijah, Zulva Eva Anggraini Fazri, Muhammad Harahap, Hotsawadi Idqan Fahmi Iwan Hermawan Masbantar Sangadji Muhammad Firdaus Nunung Nuryartono Nur’aeni, Aisyah Probokawuryan, Mutiara Rina Oktaviani Sahara Sahara Sane Pratinda, Wildan Nur Arrasyiid Satriani, Rini Setyawati, Dewi Sugema, Iman Syamsiar, Syamsiar Widyastutik Zain, Salma Luthfia