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All Journal Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan Journal of Economics, Business, & Accountancy Ventura Ekonomi Bisnis Jurnal Bisnis, Manajemen, dan Informatika Panrita Abdi - Jurnal Pengabdian pada Masyarakat Hasanuddin Economics and Business Review Jurnal Ilmiah Al-Syir'ah SEIKO : Journal of Management & Business YUME : Journal of Management JISIP: Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Pendidikan Jurnal Sistem Informasi, Manajemen, dan Akuntansi (SIMAK) Jurnal Manajemen dan Administrasi Rumah Sakit Indonesia (MARSI) Accounting Profession Journal (APAJI) RESLAJ: RELIGION EDUCATION SOCIAL LAA ROIBA JOURNAL Paulus Journal of Accounting (PJA) BISNIS & BIROKRASI: Jurnal Ilmu Administrasi dan Organisasi Jurnal Ekonomi Golden Ratio of Finance Management Journal of Management Sains (JMS) Scientium Management Review Inkubis: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Economics and Business Journal Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management The Scientia Journal of Financial issues Celebes Journal of Community Services
Mursalim Nohong
Universitas Hasanuddin
Religion Arts Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Health Professions Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Mathematics Social Sciences Other

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Analisis Pengaruh Pengawasan Penyidik Pegawai Negeri Sipil (PPNS) Dinas Sosial terhadap Penyelenggaraan Undian Gratis Berhadiah (UGB) Di Mamuju Sulawesi Barat Aras, Aras; Hakim, Hamka; Nohong, Mursalim
Jurnal Manajemen dan Administrasi Rumah Sakit Indonesia (MARSI) Vol 10, No 1 (2026): Jurnal Manajemen dan Administrasi Rumah Sakit Indonesia (MARSI)
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Respati Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52643/marsi.v10i1.8525

Abstract

AbstrakPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh pengawasan Penyidik Pegawai Negeri Sipil (PPNS) Dinas Sosial terhadap penyelenggaraan Undian Gratis Berhadiah (UGB) di Kabupaten Mamuju Provinsi Sulawesi Barat. Latar belakang penelitian ini didasarkan pada masih ditemukannya penyelenggaraan UGB yang tidak sesuai dengan ketentuan peraturan perundang-undangan, khususnya terkait perizinan dan transparansi pelaksanaan. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan metode studi kasus. Data dikumpulkan melalui observasi, kuesioner, dan dokumentasi, kemudian dianalisis menggunakan teknik analisis statistik untuk mengetahui pengaruh variabel pengawasan terhadap penyelenggaraan UGB. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa pengawasan PPNS berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap penyelenggaraan UGB, yang tercermin dari meningkatnya kepatuhan penyelenggara terhadap ketentuan perizinan, transparansi proses undian, serta perlindungan kepentingan masyarakat. Namun demikian, efektivitas pengawasan masih menghadapi kendala berupa keterbatasan sumber daya manusia dan kurang optimalnya pemahaman penyelenggara terhadap sistem perizinan. Penelitian ini menyimpulkan bahwa penguatan pengawasan PPNS sangat diperlukan guna mewujudkan penyelenggaraan Undian Gratis Berhadiah yang tertib, transparan, dan sesuai dengan prinsip tata kelola pemerintahan yang baik.Kata kunci: Pengawasan, PPNS, Undian Gratis Berhadiah, Dinas Sosial, Tata Kelola Pemerintahan.
Financial Performance and Beer Distribution Game with Competition: Comparison of Supply Chains Without Strategy, Simple Moving Average and Single Exponential Smoothing Nengah Widiangga Gautama; Tri Gunarsih; Andi Harmoko Arifin; Mursalim Nohong
Inkubis : Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 8 No. 2 (2026): INKUBIS Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis
Publisher : Politeknik Siber Cerdika Internasional

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59261/inkubis.v8i2.241

Abstract

Background: Supply chain management is challenged by demand uncertainty, inventory inefficiency, and rising operational costs. Existing Beer Distribution Game (BDG) studies generally overlook competitive dynamics and consumer trust considerations. Objective: This study compares the financial performance of BDG scenarios using no forecasting, SMA, and EMA strategies under competitive conditions and evaluates their impact on consumer shifts. Methods: A quantitative simulation-based experimental approach was employed using a modified Beer Distribution Game model developed in AnyLogic. The model incorporated consumer trust dynamics and competition mechanisms. Three forecasting scenarios were tested through 5,000 simulation replications. Financial performance was measured using total operational costs across retailer, wholesaler, distributor, and factory units. Data were analyzed using one-way ANOVA, followed by Bonferroni and Games-Howell post-hoc tests at a significance level of 0.05. Results: The results revealed significant differences among the three forecasting scenarios. The Single ES (EMA) strategy achieved the lowest average total operational cost (USD 1,163.07), significantly outperforming SMA (USD 1,771.21) and the no-strategy scenario (USD 1,810.81). EMA consistently reduced costs across all supply chain units, including retailer, wholesaler, distributor, and factory levels. However, EMA also generated the highest average consumer shift rate (32.90%), indicating a trade-off between cost efficiency and customer retention. The findings further suggest that adaptive forecasting improves supply chain stability and partially mitigates the bullwhip effect under competitive conditions. Conclusion: EMA offers superior cost efficiency, but should be complemented by customer retention strategies to ensure sustainable performance.
Co-Authors Abdul Razak Munir Abdullah Sanusi, Abdullah Alamzah, Nur Alimuddin Alimuddin, Ibriati Kartika Alkanan, Omer Mohamed Taha Andi Harmoko Arifin Andi Kusumawati Andi Ruslan Anisa, Disa Ulan Aras, Aras Atriani, Windi Birana, Melfi Cepi Pahlevi Erny Amriani Asmin faradillah, Fifi Fatimah, Nur Itha Hakim, Hamka Harahap, Andi Tenri Harun, Suriadi Herman, Bahtiar Ibriati Kartika Alimuddin Ikhsan, Fandy Frimansyah Insany Fitri Nurqamar Kartina Kartina Laba, Abd. Rakhman Lestari, Andi Chandra Purnama Muhamad Iqbal Muhammad Ali MUHAMMAD ALI Muhammad Ali Muhammad Rais Rahmat Muhammad Try Dharsana Muhammad, Azhary Bahar Natsir, Andi Iqra Pradipta Naufal Muhammad Aksah Nengah Widiangga Gautama Nur Alamzah Nur Alamzah Nurqamar, Insany Fitri Otoluwa, Narto Irawan Pahlevi, Cepi Pakki, Erlina Qudratullah, Qudratullah Ria Mardiana RIA MARDIANA Ruslan, Andi Sabir Sanusi, Adelia Nur Arafah Aprilia Sari Dewi Siti Alyfah Ainun Putri Baramuli Sobarsyah, Muahammad Susanti, Ressi SYAMSU ALAM Syamsu Alam Tri Gunarsih Wahda Wardani, Andrie Widiyanti, Henny Yulianti Yulianti