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All Journal Signifikan : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi ETIKONOMI Trikonomika: Jurnal Ekonomi Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Al-Amwal : Jurnal Ekonomi dan Perbankan Syari\'ah Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi Darussalam Indonesian Treasury Review: Jurnal Perbendaharaan, Keuangan Negara dan Kebijakan Publik Ecosains Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik Indonesia International Journal of Business, Economics, and Social Development International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Share: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan Islam Jurnal Ilmiah Basis Ekonomi dan Bisnis Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Proceeding of International Conference on Multidisciplinary Research Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Perbankan Syariah
Suriani Suriani
Universitas Syiah Kuala
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering Environmental Science Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Physics Public Health Social Sciences

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Stock Market Dynamics and Jakarta Islamic Index Returns: An ARDL Approach Suhendar, Adhatya Rizky; Suriani, Suriani
Share: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan Islam Vol 14, No 1 (2025): IN PROGRESS
Publisher : Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Ar-Raniry

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22373/share.v14i1.23879

Abstract

Understanding the factors that influence stock returns is crucial for investors, particularly the Islamic capital markets. This study examines the impact of company size and key financial fundamentals—return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity ratio (DER), and earnings per share (EPS)—on stock returns in the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). Using secondary data from seven companies listed in the JII between 2011 and 2021, this study employs the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to analyze both short-term and long-term effects. The findings indicate that, in the long run, company size and ROA have a positive impact on stock returns, while the debt-to-equity ratio has a negative effect. However, in the short term, ROA negatively affects stock returns, whereas the debt-to-equity ratio has a positive impact. Interestingly, EPS does not influence stock returns in either the short or long term. These results highlight the importance of maintaining strong financial fundamentals to sustain investor confidence in Sharia-compliant stocks. Companies should focus on enhancing financial stability and risk management to attract and retain long-term investors.======================================================================================================== ABSTRAK - Dinamika Pasar Saham and Retur pada Jakarta Islamic Index: Pendekatan ARDL. Memahami faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi return saham sangat penting bagi investor, terutama di pasar modal syariah. Penelitian ini menganalisis pengaruh ukuran perusahaan dan rasio fundamental keuangan utama—return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity ratio (DER), dan earnings per share (EPS)—terhadap return saham pada Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder dari tujuh perusahaan yang terdaftar di JII selama periode 2011–2021. Untuk menganalisis dampak jangka pendek dan jangka panjang, penelitian ini menerapkan model Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka panjang, ukuran perusahaan dan ROA berpengaruh positif terhadap return saham, sementara debt-to-equity ratio memiliki dampak negatif. Namun, dalam jangka pendek, ROA berpengaruh negatif, sedangkan debt-to-equity ratio berpengaruh positif terhadap return saham. Menariknya, EPS tidak berpengaruh terhadap return saham, baik dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang. Hasil ini mengindikasikan pentingnya mempertahankan fundamental keuangan yang kuat untuk menjaga kepercayaan investor terhadap saham berbasis Syariah. Oleh karena itu, perusahaan perlu meningkatkan stabilitas keuangan dan strategi manajemen risiko guna menarik dan mempertahankan investor jangka panjang
Interaction of Climate Change and Green Stocks on Economic Growth in ASEAN-5 Amalia, Sopira Qori; Suriani, Suriani
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 13, No 1 (2024)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University of Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v13i1.38176

Abstract

Research Originality: This study presents a new interaction of climate change in moderating the effect of green stocks, exchange rates, and net exports on economic growth in ASEAN-5 countries. Research Objectives: This study aims to analyze the interaction of climate change on green stocks, exchange rates, and net exports on economic growth in ASEAN-5 countries. Research Methods: This study used quarterly panel data from ASEAN-5 countries, 2016-2022, and selected a fixed effects model as the best model. The moderated regression analysis (MRA) approach supports this research.Empirical Results: The results showed that green stocks, exchange rates, and net exports positively affect economic growth in ASEAN-5 countries. The interaction of climate change on green stocks and exchange rates has a negative effect on economic growth. However, the interaction of climate change on net exports positively affects economic growth in ASEAN-5 countries. It represents that climate change can weaken the effect of green stocks and exchange rates on economic growth. Meanwhile, climate change can strengthen the effect of net exports on economic growth in ASEAN-5 countries. Implications: This study implies that the government needs to increase investment in green stocks to support financing that can mitigate climate change and develop net exports to increase economic growth toward a green economy. Similarly, the ASEAN-5 central banks, as monetary authorities, can maintain exchange rate fluctuations to achieve stable economic growth.JEL Classification: F31, F43, G11, Q54, Q56
Dynamic Analysis on the Determinants of Prevalence of Undernourishment in Indonesia: A System GMM Approach Geubrina, Yulia; Suriani, Suriani; Seftarita, Chenny
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 14, No 1 (2025)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University of Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i1.42524

Abstract

Research Originality: This original study examines the determinants of undernourishment in Indonesia with mediating variables.Research Objectives: This study examines the impact of food production, inflation, unemployment, and social food assistance on undernourishment with people's purchasing power as a mediating variable.Research Methods: Dynamic panel analysis with the Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) and Sobel test examines direct and mediation relationships for the data period 2018-2023.Empirical Results: The results show the direct and indirect effects of inflation, unemployment, and social food assistance on the prevalence of undernourishment in Indonesia through the mediation of people’s purchasing power. Meanwhile, food production has no effect either directly or indirectly.Implications: This study implies that the government must maintain stable inflation, create jobs, effectively target food assistance, and reduce reliance on social food assistance.JEL Classification: C31, G21, I32, O18How to Cite:Geubrina, Y., Suriani., & Seftarita, C. (2025). Dynamic Analysis on the Determinants of Prevalence of Undernourishment in Indonesia: A System GMM Approach. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 14(1), 111-130. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v14i1.42524.
Governing Rural Finance: The Mediating Role of Fraud Prevention on Moslem Community Welfare Sartiyah, Sartiyah; Yusrizal, Yusrizal; Suriani, Suriani; Usman, Musliadi bin
Share: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan Islam Vol. 14 No. 1 (2025)
Publisher : Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Ar-Raniry

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22373/share.v14i1.26203

Abstract

This study investigates the mediating role of fraud prevention in the relationship between human capital, village financial planning, and moslem community welfare. Focusing on 260 villages in South Aceh, a sample of 120 respondents from 40 randomly selected village fund recipients was surveyed, comprising village financial staff, development planning staff, and members of the Village Council (Tuha Peut). The study employs the Structural Equation Modeling–Partial Least Squares (SEM–PLS) approach, with bootstrapping techniques used to assess mediation effects. The findings indicate that the quality of human resources directly influences both community welfare and fraud prevention. However, fraud prevention does not significantly mediate the relationship between human resource quality and community welfare. Conversely, it plays a significant mediating role in the relationship between village financial planning and community welfare. These results underscore the strategic importance of implementing robust fraud prevention mechanisms within financial planning processes to enhance moslem community welfare. The study recommends prioritizing fraud prevention initiatives alongside human capital development to maximize the impact of village fund programs on moslem welfare outcomes.========================================================================================================ABSTRAK - Tata Kelola Dana Desa: Peran Mediasi Pencegahan Kecurangan terhadap Kesejahteraan Masyarakat Muslim. Penelitian ini mengkaji peran mediasi pencegahan kecurangan dalam hubungan antara kualitas sumber daya manusia, perencanaan keuangan desa, dengan kesejahteraan masyarakat muslim. Kajian ini terfokus pada 260 desa di Aceh Selatan, dengan sampel terdiri dari 120 responden dari 40 desa penerima dana desa yang dipilih secara acak, yaitu staf keuangan desa, staf perencanaan pembangunan, dan anggota Tuha Peut (dewan penasehat desa). Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan Structural Equation Modeling–Partial Least Squares (SEM–PLS), dengan teknik bootstrapping untuk menguji efek mediasi. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa kualitas sumber daya manusia secara langsung berpengaruh terhadap kesejahteraan masyarakat dan pencegahan kecurangan. Namun, pencegahan kecurangan tidak memediasi secara signifikan hubungan antara kualitas sumber daya manusia dan kesejahteraan masyarakat. Sebaliknya, pencegahan kecurangan memediasi secara signifikan hubungan antara perencanaan keuangan desa dan kesejahteraan masyarakat. Temuan ini menegaskan pentingnya penerapan mekanisme pencegahan kecurangan yang kuat dalam proses perencanaan keuangan untuk meningkatkan kesejahteraan dalam konteks masyarakat muslim. Penelitian ini merekomendasikan agar upaya pencegahan kecurangan dan pengembangan sumber daya manusia menjadi prioritas dalam program dana desa guna mengoptimalkan dampaknya terhadap kesejahteraan masyarakat muslim. 
Government Bonds and Central Bank Assets in Global Crisis Mitigation Efforts in Indonesia Seftarita, Chenny; Suriani; Ferayanti; Fitriyani; Diana, Asri
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 23 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v23i1.23286

Abstract

This study investigates the integrated effectiveness of government bonds and central bank assets within Indonesia's policy mix for mitigating global crises, an area often examined in isolation. Our primary objective is to quantify the short and long-run impacts of these instruments on Indonesia's economic growth during periods of global economic turbulence. Utilizing quarterly data spanning 2009 to 2021, we employ an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. Empirical results reveal that both government bonds and central bank assets positively influence economic growth in both the short and long run. In the short run, these instruments are effective in stimulating economic activity and cushioning the immediate impacts of a global crisis. However, the long-run analysis indicates that while their supportive role persists, over-reliance, particularly through sustained fiscal deficits, can lead to a weakening of macroeconomic performance. Practical implications—prudent and balanced management of fiscal and monetary policies is essential to ensure long-term economic stability. Improving the quality of public spending is essential in strengthening debt governance, and encouraging close collaboration between fiscal and monetary authorities to optimize crisis mitigation strategies and promote sustainable growth.
Co-Authors Abd. Jamal Agam Fitriady Amalia, Sopira Qori Chenny Seftarita Cut Nanda Keusuma Dewi Ayu Muliani Diana, Asri Ferayanti Ferayanti Ferayanti Fitriyani Geubrina, Yulia Hadi Arisyah Putra Heri Wintara M. Shabri Abd. Majid M. Shabri Abd. Majid M. Shabri Abd. Majid Meutia Qudraty Mursalina Mursalina Nurjannah Purbo Nugroho Rachmi Meutia Rahmatun Layali Raja Masbar Raja Masbar Rika Mauliana Sari Ramdayani Sartiyah Sartiyah Septia Zenniar Sofyan Syahnur Sopira Qori Amalia Sri Minta Suhendar, Adhatya Rizky Surya Rahmawati Syarifah Nurul Asra Taufiq Carnegie Dawood Tedy Di Oria Salam Usman, Musliadi Bin Vivi Silvia Yusrizal Yusrizal