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Dynamic Analysis on the Determinants of Prevalence of Undernourishment in Indonesia: A System GMM Approach Geubrina, Yulia; Suriani, Suriani; Seftarita, Chenny
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 14, No 1 (2025)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University of Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i1.42524

Abstract

Research Originality: This original study examines the determinants of undernourishment in Indonesia with mediating variables.Research Objectives: This study examines the impact of food production, inflation, unemployment, and social food assistance on undernourishment with people's purchasing power as a mediating variable.Research Methods: Dynamic panel analysis with the Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) and Sobel test examines direct and mediation relationships for the data period 2018-2023.Empirical Results: The results show the direct and indirect effects of inflation, unemployment, and social food assistance on the prevalence of undernourishment in Indonesia through the mediation of people’s purchasing power. Meanwhile, food production has no effect either directly or indirectly.Implications: This study implies that the government must maintain stable inflation, create jobs, effectively target food assistance, and reduce reliance on social food assistance.JEL Classification: C31, G21, I32, O18How to Cite:Geubrina, Y., Suriani., & Seftarita, C. (2025). Dynamic Analysis on the Determinants of Prevalence of Undernourishment in Indonesia: A System GMM Approach. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 14(1), 111-130. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v14i1.42524.
Governing Rural Finance: The Mediating Role of Fraud Prevention on Moslem Community Welfare Sartiyah, Sartiyah; Yusrizal, Yusrizal; Suriani, Suriani; Usman, Musliadi bin
Share: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan Islam Vol. 14 No. 1 (2025)
Publisher : Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Ar-Raniry

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22373/share.v14i1.26203

Abstract

This study investigates the mediating role of fraud prevention in the relationship between human capital, village financial planning, and moslem community welfare. Focusing on 260 villages in South Aceh, a sample of 120 respondents from 40 randomly selected village fund recipients was surveyed, comprising village financial staff, development planning staff, and members of the Village Council (Tuha Peut). The study employs the Structural Equation Modeling–Partial Least Squares (SEM–PLS) approach, with bootstrapping techniques used to assess mediation effects. The findings indicate that the quality of human resources directly influences both community welfare and fraud prevention. However, fraud prevention does not significantly mediate the relationship between human resource quality and community welfare. Conversely, it plays a significant mediating role in the relationship between village financial planning and community welfare. These results underscore the strategic importance of implementing robust fraud prevention mechanisms within financial planning processes to enhance moslem community welfare. The study recommends prioritizing fraud prevention initiatives alongside human capital development to maximize the impact of village fund programs on moslem welfare outcomes.========================================================================================================ABSTRAK - Tata Kelola Dana Desa: Peran Mediasi Pencegahan Kecurangan terhadap Kesejahteraan Masyarakat Muslim. Penelitian ini mengkaji peran mediasi pencegahan kecurangan dalam hubungan antara kualitas sumber daya manusia, perencanaan keuangan desa, dengan kesejahteraan masyarakat muslim. Kajian ini terfokus pada 260 desa di Aceh Selatan, dengan sampel terdiri dari 120 responden dari 40 desa penerima dana desa yang dipilih secara acak, yaitu staf keuangan desa, staf perencanaan pembangunan, dan anggota Tuha Peut (dewan penasehat desa). Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan Structural Equation Modeling–Partial Least Squares (SEM–PLS), dengan teknik bootstrapping untuk menguji efek mediasi. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa kualitas sumber daya manusia secara langsung berpengaruh terhadap kesejahteraan masyarakat dan pencegahan kecurangan. Namun, pencegahan kecurangan tidak memediasi secara signifikan hubungan antara kualitas sumber daya manusia dan kesejahteraan masyarakat. Sebaliknya, pencegahan kecurangan memediasi secara signifikan hubungan antara perencanaan keuangan desa dan kesejahteraan masyarakat. Temuan ini menegaskan pentingnya penerapan mekanisme pencegahan kecurangan yang kuat dalam proses perencanaan keuangan untuk meningkatkan kesejahteraan dalam konteks masyarakat muslim. Penelitian ini merekomendasikan agar upaya pencegahan kecurangan dan pengembangan sumber daya manusia menjadi prioritas dalam program dana desa guna mengoptimalkan dampaknya terhadap kesejahteraan masyarakat muslim. 
Government Bonds and Central Bank Assets in Global Crisis Mitigation Efforts in Indonesia Seftarita, Chenny; Suriani; Ferayanti; Fitriyani; Diana, Asri
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 23 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v23i1.23286

Abstract

This study investigates the integrated effectiveness of government bonds and central bank assets within Indonesia's policy mix for mitigating global crises, an area often examined in isolation. Our primary objective is to quantify the short and long-run impacts of these instruments on Indonesia's economic growth during periods of global economic turbulence. Utilizing quarterly data spanning 2009 to 2021, we employ an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. Empirical results reveal that both government bonds and central bank assets positively influence economic growth in both the short and long run. In the short run, these instruments are effective in stimulating economic activity and cushioning the immediate impacts of a global crisis. However, the long-run analysis indicates that while their supportive role persists, over-reliance, particularly through sustained fiscal deficits, can lead to a weakening of macroeconomic performance. Practical implications—prudent and balanced management of fiscal and monetary policies is essential to ensure long-term economic stability. Improving the quality of public spending is essential in strengthening debt governance, and encouraging close collaboration between fiscal and monetary authorities to optimize crisis mitigation strategies and promote sustainable growth.
The Role of Microfinance and Banking Services in Supporting Tourism-Based SMEs in Pematang Johar Petrus Loo; Sipnarong Kanchawongpaisan; Muhammad Hafiz Abd Rashid; Phan Bao Giang; Suriani Suriani; Ridwan Nurdin; Nabilla Dwi Puspitasari
Eastasouth Journal of Positive Community Services Vol 4 No 01 (2025): Eastasouth Journal of Positive Community Services (EJPCS)
Publisher : Eastasouth Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58812/ejpcs.v4i01.439

Abstract

Access to finance remains a critical challenge for rural Small, and Medium Enterprises (SMEs), especially those engaged in tourism-based economic activities. This community service project aimed to strengthen the financial literacy and banking inclusion of tourism-related SMEs in Pematang Johar Village, Deli Serdang Regency, Indonesia. The program introduced practical training on microfinance mechanisms, digital banking tools, and savings–loan schemes tailored to small entrepreneurs. The activity adopted a participatory service-learning approach involving 35 SMEs participants, local tourism operators, and village officials. The results demonstrated a 60% increase in participants’ understanding of microfinance systems, and 72% of participants opened new banking or digital wallet accounts after the training. The program shows that inclusive financial education and collaboration with local banking institutions can empower rural entrepreneurs and enhance the sustainability of tourism-based economic ecosystems.
The Effect of Gender and Household Education Expenditure in Indonesia Tedy Di Oria Salam; M. Shabri Abd. Majid; Taufiq C Dawood; Suriani Suriani
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol. 2 No. 4 (2021): International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v2i4.192

Abstract

This study empirically examines and analyzes the effect of gender on human capital investment in Indonesia. Using the logistic regression method and data sourced from 315,672 households in Indonesia, this study shows that the number of boys, the number of girls, the working status of the head of the household, and the highest education of the head of the household have a positive and significant impact on human capital investment in Indonesia. The results show that female household heads who work and invest in the cost of children's education are more significant than male household heads who also work. Higher the education level of the head of the household, the higher the income received and also investment for children. This research shows strong evidence of gender inequality in education spending that tends to be more towards girls. Based on the results obtained, development policies can consider gender differences in investment in labor and education. Increasing the school participation rate of women compared to men will increase the differentiation of the workforce by gender but also increase income inequality between men and women. Likewise, investment in education which tends to be more directed to women than men, will reduce income inequality.
Impact of Covid-19 Pandemic on Economic Growth of the Tourism Sector in Indonesia Mursalina Mursalina; Raja Masbar; Suriani Suriani
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol. 3 No. 1 (2022): International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v3i1.261

Abstract

Indonesia has made the tourism sector one of its current development priorities. However, the Covid-19 pandemic has harmed various economic sectors, and the tourism sector is the most affected in Indonesia. As a result of policies carried out by various countries including Indonesia, such as lockdown, social distancing, and its kind, economic activity has slowed, tourist arrivals have decreased drastically, and investment has decreased due to the uncertainty caused by the pandemic. This study aims to examine the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on tourist arrivals and investment (domestic and foreign investment) and its impact on the economic growth of the tourism sector in Indonesia. This study uses the path analysis method by using mediating variables, namely tourist arrivals, and investment paths. Panel data regression is used to regress the path analysis equation, with data series 2018q1 – 2021q2 and cross-sections in 22 provinces in Indonesia that have tourist entrances.
The Impact of Economic Freedom on the Economic Complexity of Trade in Indonesia Cut Syazalisma; Suriani Suriani; M. Shabri Abd. Majid
Grimsa Journal of Business and Economics Studies Vol. 3 No. 2 (2026): July 2026
Publisher : Graha Primera Saintifika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61975/gjbes.v3i2.120

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of economic freedom on the economic complexity of trade in Indonesia, an issue that is increasingly relevant for understanding structural transformation in resource-dependent economies. While the existing literature has separately examined the role of economic freedom in promoting growth and the importance of economic complexity for development, limited attention has been given to how economic freedom influences the sophistication and diversification of exports, particularly in the Indonesian context. Using annual data from 1998 to 2024, this study employs the Economic Complexity Index as the dependent variable and the Economic Freedom Index as the main independent variable, with GDP per capita, FDI inflows, and trade openness included as control variables. The analysis applies Robust Least Squares method, incorporating M-estimation, S-estimation, and MM-estimation techniques to ensure the robustness of the results. The findings reveal that economic freedom has a negative and statistically significant effect on economic complexity, suggesting that liberalization may reinforce specialization in low-complexity, resource-based sectors rather than promote export diversification. In contrast, GDP per capita positively influences economic complexity, while FDI inflows and trade openness do not exhibit significant effects. These results indicate that external integration and market liberalization alone are insufficient to enhance export sophistication without supportive domestic structural conditions. This study highlights the need for policymakers to complement market-oriented reforms with targeted industrial and institutional policies that promote economic diversification, capability accumulation, and technological upgrading to enhance export sophistication.
Gender Inequality and Economic Growth in Aceh: Evidence from Panel Data Analysis M. Saleh; Suriani Suriani; M. Shabri Abd. Majid
Grimsa Journal of Business and Economics Studies Vol. 3 No. 2 (2026): July 2026
Publisher : Graha Primera Saintifika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61975/gjbes.v3i2.121

Abstract

This study examines the impact of gender inequality on economic growth in Aceh Province, Indonesia, where persistent gender disparities may hinder regional economic performance by limiting human capital development and economic participation. Despite increasing attention to gender issues in Indonesia, empirical evidence for Aceh remains limited. Using panel data from 23 districts/cities in Aceh Province during 2018-2025, this study employs a random effects model to analyze the effect of the Gender Inequality Index on economic growth. The analysis also incorporates control variables, including the open unemployment rate, labor force participation rate, and human development index. The empirical findings reveal that gender inequality has a negative and statistically significant effect on economic growth in Aceh, indicating that higher levels of gender inequality tend to reduce regional economic performance. These findings imply that reducing gender inequality is essential for achieving sustainable and inclusive economic growth. Therefore, policymakers should strengthen gender-inclusive development policies, expand women’s access to education and employment opportunities, and encourage greater female participation in economic activities to support long-term regional development.
Asymmetric Effects of Human Rights on Renewable Energy Consumption Irsan Hardi; Mustafa Necati Coban; Naftaly Mose; Suriani Suriani; M. Shabri Abd Majid
Leuser Journal of Environmental Studies Vol. 4 No. 2 (2026): October 2026 (In Press)
Publisher : Heca Sentra Analitika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.60084/ljes.v4i2.415

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As the transition to renewable energy has become increasingly important for achieving environmental sustainability, understanding the institutional factors that influence renewable energy consumption (REC) is crucial. This study examines the relationship between human rights and REC using a panel dataset covering five world regions (Africa, Asia, Europe, North America, and South America) from 1990 to 2024. Employing an asymmetric panel ARDL and the Dumitrescu–Hurlin panel causality test, the results reveal a significant long-run nonlinear relationship in which improvements in human rights increase REC, while deteriorations in human rights reduce REC. Short-run effects vary across regions, reflecting differences in institutional and developmental conditions. The causality analysis indicates a bidirectional relationship between human rights and renewable energy consumption. These findings suggest that strengthening human rights institutions can promote renewable energy adoption, support environmental sustainability, and facilitate the transition toward a cleaner energy system.
Revisiting the Growth-Human Development-Poverty Nexus in Banda Aceh: Evidence from 2000 to 2024 Talbani Farlian; M. Shabri Abd. Majid; Suriani Suriani; Meutia Handayani; M. Fatahul Dzakwan
Grimsa Journal of Business and Economics Studies Vol. 3 No. 2 (2026): July 2026
Publisher : Graha Primera Saintifika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61975/gjbes.v3i2.123

Abstract

This study revisits the relationship among regional economic welfare, human development, and poverty in Banda Aceh City, Indonesia, over the period 2000-2024. Poverty is specified as the dependent variable, while Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) per capita and the Human Development Index (HDI) are specified as the independent variables. The study is situated within the growth-poverty, human development, and inclusive growth literature and is motivated by the substantial structural transformation experienced by Banda Aceh following the 2004 tsunami, post-disaster reconstruction, service-sector expansion, and post-pandemic recovery. Using annual secondary data obtained from official statistical publications and multiple linear regression analysis, the findings indicate that GRDP per capita has a positive and statistically significant association with poverty, whereas HDI has a negative and statistically significant association with poverty. The positive GRDP-poverty relationship suggests that rising average regional income has not automatically translated into pro-poor outcomes, possibly because the benefits of economic growth have been unevenly distributed or concentrated in sectors with limited absorption of low-income labor. Conversely, the negative HDI-poverty relationship underscores the importance of human capital, health, education, and welfare-enhancing capabilities in reducing poverty. This study contributes city-level evidence from Aceh and highlights the need to shift the policy emphasis from aggregate output expansion toward inclusive, labor-absorbing, and human development-oriented growth.