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The Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on Indonesia’s Foreign Exchange Reserve Position Surya Rahmawati; Suriani Suriani
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 23, No 1 (2022): JEP 2022
Publisher : Muhammadiyah University Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v23i1.17673

Abstract

A country’s foreign exchange reserves are its foreign currency savings that can be utilized to finance international transactions. The purpose of this study is to determine how macroeconomic indicators (exports, imports, exchange rates, inflation rates, and foreign debt) influence Indonesia’s foreign currency reserves. The researchers used secondary data in the form of monthly time series, as well as quantitative analysis using multiple linear regression. The model that was used was the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). According to the research, future exports and external debt have a positive impact on Indonesia’s foreign exchange reserves. Indonesia’s foreign exchange reserves are negatively impacted by imports and predicted inflation rates, whereas the rupiah exchange rate has no effect. In the model, there is a short-run to long-run equilibrium relationship. The IRF results show that shocks from other independent variables have little effect on foreign exchange reserves and that the foreign exchange reserves variable contributes the most to the shocks that occur
Does Economic Growth Mediate Investment, Inflation, and Human Development Investment on Poverty in Indonesia? Agam Fitriady; Vivi Silvia; Suriani Suriani
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 11, No 2 (2022)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University of Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v11i2.26145

Abstract

Poverty is a classic yet interesting topic of discussion because the problem of poverty has not been solved. This study analyzed the role of economic growth in mediating the effects of investment, inflation, and Human Development Investment (HDI) on poverty in Indonesia. Using the multiple regression method of path analysis and the data from 32 provinces in Indonesia, the results showed that investment had a positive effect on economic growth and poverty, but inflation had no effect on economic growth and poverty while HDI had a positive effect on economic growth but a negative effect on poverty. Economic growth mediated the effect of investment and HDI, but not the effect of inflation on poverty. Hence, it can be said that it is not enough for the government to only prioritize economic growth, optimal investment, a higher level of HDI, and a stable inflation rate. They must also strive to reduce inequality between regions, support labour-intensive, well-targeted and direct investments in the real sector, and involve all stakeholders to achieve an effective and efficient national development in the context of poverty reduction.How to Cite:Fitriady, A., Silvia, V., & Suriani. (2022). Does Economic Growth Mediate Investment, Inflation, and Human Development Investment on Poverty in Indonesia? Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 11(2), 437-456. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v11i2.26145.JEL Classification: C33, E22, O11
Determinants of Islamic Banks' Net Income in Middle Eastern Countries Dewi Ayu Muliani; Suriani Suriani; Chenny Seftarita
Share: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan Islam Vol 11, No 2 (2022)
Publisher : Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Ar-Raniry

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22373/share.v11i2.15054

Abstract

ABSTRACT – Income is one of the most important performance indicators for Islamic banks; the higher the income, the better their performances. Among all Islamic financial institutions worldwide, Islamic banks in the Middle East are listed as having the largest assets and income. This study examined how inflation, total assets, foreign investment (FDI), and gross domestic product (GDP) affect Islamic bank net income in the Middle East. The research objects are Islamic banks in the Middle East, with the criteria being the oldest Islamic banks with the largest assets, as determined by the IFSB report. The data were collected on an annual basis (2005-2021) and analyzed with the Panel Vectorautoregressive method. The results show that the current income of Islamic banks will have both positive and negative effects one year earlier. Meanwhile, gross domestic product had a negative impact on the net income of Islamic banks in Middle Eastern countries during the previous two years, whereas total assets had a positive impact during the same time period. In addition, neither inflation nor FDI has any effect on net income. The accumulated assets of Islamic banks in the Middle East are substantial and can be used to increase their net income. Additionally, the GDP has a negative impact on the net income of Islamic banks. This demonstrates that enhancement income from the public did not flow to Islamic banks, but rather was redirected to safer, more profitable, and less risky sectors, such as mutual funds, real estate, and stocks. Therefore, an increase in GDP as well as total assets is necessary in order to increase Islamic banks' net income in the Middle East.========================================================================================================ABSTRAK – Determinan Pendapatan Bersih Bank Syariah di Negara Timur Tengah. Pendapatan adalah salah satu indikator kinerja yang penting bagi bank syariah dimana semakin tinggi nilai incomenya, semakin baik pula kinerjanya. Di antara semua lembaga keuangan syariah di dunia, bank-bank syariah di Timur Tengah tercatat memiliki aset dan pendapatan terbesar. Penelitian ini bertujuan mengindentifikasi pengaruh inflasi, total aset, penanaman modal asing, dan produk domestik bruto (PDB) terhadap pendapatan bersih bank syariah di Timur Tengah. Objek penelitian adalah bank syariah di Timur Tengah dengan kriteria menjadi bank tertua dengan aset terbesar yang ditentukan oleh laporan IFSB. Data dikumpulkan secara tahunan (2005-2021) dan dianalisis dengan metode Panel Vectorautoregessive. Hasil kajian menunjukkan bahwa pendapatan bank syariah saat ini akan memiliki efek positif dan negatif satu tahun sebelumnya. Sementara itu, produk domestik bruto berdampak negatif terhadap pendapatan bersih bank syariah di negara-negara Timur Tengah selama dua tahun sebelumnya, sedangkan total aset berdampak positif dalam periode yang sama. Selain itu, baik inflasi maupun penanaman modal asing tidak berpengaruh terhadap pendapatan bersih. Akumulasi aset bank syariah di Timur Tengah sangat besar dan dapat digunakan untuk meningkatkan pendapatan bersih mereka. Kajian juga menunjukkan bahwa PDB memiliki dampak negatif terhadap pendapatan bersih bank syariah. Hasil ini mengindikasikan bahwa pendapatan masyarakat tidak masuk ke bank-bank syariah, tetapi mengalir ke sektor-sektor yang lebih aman, menguntungkan, dan kurang berisiko, seperti reksa dana, real estate, dan saham. Oleh karena itu, peningkatan PDB serta total aset diperlukan untuk meningkatkan laba bersih bank syariah di Timur Tengah.
The Impact of Real Government Spending in Physical and Social Infrastructures on Economic Growth Purbo Nugroho; Sofyan Syahnur; Suriani Suriani
Indonesian Treasury Review: Jurnal Perbendaharaan, Keuangan Negara dan Kebijakan Publik Vol 7 No 4 (2022): Indonesian Treasury Review: Jurnal Perbendaharaan, Keuangan Negara dan Kebijakan
Publisher : Direktorat Jenderal Perbendaharaan, Kementerian Keuangan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33105/itrev.v7i4.482

Abstract

Most countries in the world undertake to achieve a high and sustainable economic growth due to it represents the economic welfare of countries. This study aims to analyze the effect of government spending in the physical and social infrastructures on economic growth, particularly in Indonesia by using secondary panel data 33 provinces during the period 2005-2018. Theoretically, usual economic growth model is highly affected by capital with flow characteristics. This study employs the capital stocks divided by physical and social infrastructures (public goods) consisting of Road and Bridge (BR), Irrigation, airport, port, health, and educational infrastructures as dominant variables. This study uses Panel ARDL model to investigate the functional relationship of economic growth and the public capital stocks in the short-term and long-term. The results show that all variables show a negative effect, except the road and bridge (RB) has a significant effect on economic growth in the short term. In the long term, roads and bridges (RB) and irrigation channel (IC) have a positive and significant effect on economic growth, but the others are not. These results are supported by the Pedroni Cointegration Test and KAO Cointegration Test which show a short-term and long-term balance. These findings underline that public infrastructure as capital stocks of each region with the appropriate infrastructure development play important role in sustaining the economic growth in Indonesia.
Pengaruh Pendapatan dan Jumlah Penduduk Terhadap Konsumsi Masyarakat di Provinsi Aceh dengan Regresi Data Panel Sri Minta; Suriani; Rachmi Meutia
Jurnal Ilmiah Basis Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol 1 No 1 (2022): Jurnal Ilmiah Basic Ekonomi dan Bisnis
Publisher : Indonesian Society of Applied Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (284.33 KB) | DOI: 10.22373/jibes.v1i1.1577

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh pendapatan (PDRB) dan menganalisispengaruh jumlah penduduk terhadap konsumsi masyarakat di Provinsi Aceh periode tahun 2015-2019. Model penelitian yang digunakan adalah model regresi data panel dengan model yangterpilih yaitu fixed effect model. Hasil pengujian secara parsial menunjukkan bahwa pendapatan dan jumlah penduduk (PDRB) berpengaruh positif terhadap konsumsi masyarakat. Selanjutnya, dari hasil pengujian secara simultan diperoleh hasil bahwa pendapatan (PDRB) dan jumlah penduduk berpengaruh terhadap konsumsi masyarakat. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian tersebut maka pemerintah harus lebih mandiri dalam menjaga stabilitas konsumsi mengingatbahwa besarnya peran pengeluaran konsumsi terhadap perekonomian daerah dengan cara menjaga stabilitas daya beli.
Do Interest Rate Policy and Liquidity Effect on Banking Credit Risk in Indonesia? Sopira Qori Amalia; Suriani Suriani
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 12, No 1 (2023)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University of Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v12i1.27119

Abstract

Lending plays a vital role for banks as a source of income from deposits or interest paid by debtors. This study aims to analyze the effect of policy interest rates and liquidity from the money supply on bank credit risk in Indonesia in the short and long term. This study uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag method and the Granger Causality test as analytical tools. The data used are policy interest rates, total money supply, and total non-performing loans. The data period under study is 2017-2022. The study results show that in the short term, policy interest rates and the money supply negatively affect bank credit risk in Indonesia. However, in the long term, policy interest rates have a negative effect, and the money supply does not affect bank credit risk in Indonesia. Policy interest rates have a one-way causality relationship with bank credit risk. Meanwhile, bank credit risk has a one-way causality relationship to the money supply. This condition represents that policy interest rates can reduce bank credit risk in Indonesia. The Bank of Indonesia, as the monetary authority, needs to pay attention to fluctuations in policy interest rates and mitigate excess money supply so that credit risk does not increase.JEL Classification: F43, O11, P34How to Cite:Amalia, S. Q., & Suriani, S. (2023). Do Interest Rate Policy and Liquidity Affect Banking Credit Risk in Indonesia?. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(1), 145-160. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i1.27119.
EXPORT ANALYSIS: AUTHORITY OF INFLATION AND EXCHANGE RATE IN ASEAN-8 Rika Mauliana; Abd. Jamal; Suriani Suriani
TRIKONOMIKA Vol 19 No 2 (2020): December Edition
Publisher : Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Pasundan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (325.997 KB) | DOI: 10.23969/trikonomika.v19i2.1776

Abstract

This study was aimed to analyze the relationship of long-term and short-term equilibrium between exchange rates and inflation on exports in ASEAN-8 countries (Brunei Darussalam, Laos, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Philippines, Vietnam and Thailand) by using analysis model with the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) panel from the period 1990 to 2017. The model selection was based on long-term and short-term capabilities with different stationary levels. The results revealed that in long-term the exchange rate and inflation had a dominant influence on export activities in ASEAN-8 countries, while inflation had a dominant influence on exports in short-term. This result proved that inflation had a large influence on the growth of the trade stability, if the cost of products and services continuously increased in the market mechanism, it will result in the increased public consumption. The excess liquidity in the market triggered the consumption or speculation which resulted in the non-compliance products distribution and the decline in currency value continuously.
People's Business Credit, Capital Management, and Spiritual Value in Improving MSMEs Performance Septia Zenniar; Suriani Suriani
Al-Amwal : Jurnal Ekonomi dan Perbankan Syari'ah Vol 15, No 1 (2023)
Publisher : IAIN Syekh Nurjati Cirebon

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24235/amwal.v15i1.14280

Abstract

This study aimed to investigate the influence of business credit, management capital, and spiritual values on the performance of micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) in the Teunom sub-district. Multiple linear regression analysis was used as the quantitative method for this research. The research population included 115 respondents who were SMEs and KUR recipients at BSI KCP Teunom, and data were collected through a questionnaire. The findings revealed that people's business credit and spiritual values had a significant and positive impact on the performance of MSMEs. However, management capital did not affect the performance of MSMEs. The study strongly suggests that increasing the religiosity value of the community towards the funds received could lead to an increase in people's business loans.InsertRephraseImprove itShorten itSound confidentMore 
Do Intra-Trade Export and Foreign Direct Investment Promote Economic Growth in ASEAN? Evidence from Regional Integration Nurjannah; Raja Masbar; M. Shabri Abd. Majid; Suriani
Proceeding of International Conference on Multidisciplinary Research Vol. 6 No. 1 (2024): ICMR
Publisher : Universitas Serambi Mekkah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32672/picmr.v6i1.775

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of trade between countries and foreign direct investment on economic growth in the ASEAN integration region. Elements of capital, labor, and education variables are also studied in research studies. The research data is balanced panel data in the form of ASEAN-10 from 1996 to 2021. Data analysis uses the System Generalized Method of Moments. The study's results found that labor capital, education, and intra-trade positively affected ASEAN economic growth. However, foreign direct investment has a negative effect on economic growth. A similar sign is also found in the long term, where labor capital, education, and intra-trade have a positive effect while foreign direct investment has a negative effect. Interestingly the highest effect when compared to others. Meanwhile, the impact of intra-trade trading was the lowest.
People's Business Credit, Capital Management, and Spiritual Value in Improving MSMEs Performance Septia Zenniar; Suriani Suriani
Al-Amwal : Jurnal Ekonomi dan Perbankan Syari'ah Vol 15, No 1 (2023)
Publisher : UIN Siber Syekh Nurjati Cirebon

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24235/amwal.v15i1.14280

Abstract

This study aimed to investigate the influence of business credit, management capital, and spiritual values on the performance of micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) in the Teunom sub-district. Multiple linear regression analysis was used as the quantitative method for this research. The research population included 115 respondents who were SMEs and KUR recipients at BSI KCP Teunom, and data were collected through a questionnaire. The findings revealed that people's business credit and spiritual values had a significant and positive impact on the performance of MSMEs. However, management capital did not affect the performance of MSMEs. The study strongly suggests that increasing the religiosity value of the community towards the funds received could lead to an increase in people's business loans.InsertRephraseImprove itShorten itSound confidentMoreÂ