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ANALISIS INTERAKSI KEBIJAKAN FISKAL DAN MONETER TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA Arwin, Arwin; Muhammad, Said; Masbar, Raja
JURNAL PERSPEKTIF EKONOMI DARUSSALAM Vol 5, No 1 (2019): JURNAL PERSPEKTIF EKONOMI DARUSSALAM (in pressing)
Publisher : FEB Universitas Syiah Kuala

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (21.916 KB) | DOI: 10.24815/jped.v5i1.13597

Abstract

This study aims to determine the determinants of the money demand and money supply function in Indonesia. To formulate the equation between money demand (Md) and money supply (Ms) using LM function by looking at the effect of real income and interest rate. The data in this study constitutes Indonesia's economic data from 1986 to 2015 drawn from secondary data sources such as Bank Indonesia (BI), Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), International Financial Statistics (IFS), International Monetary Funds (IMF) and World Bank . The Data Processing method used is to use the equations and completed with Two Stage Least Square. The results showed that the balance occurred at the national income level of 277559.05 billion Rupiah with an interest rate of 7.05%.Keywords: Demand and Supply of Money, Gross Domestic Product, Interest Rate, Inflation, and Exchange Rate.Abstrak Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk megetahui determinan dari fungsi permintaan uang dan penawaran uang di Indonesia. Untuk merumuskan persamaan antara permintaan uang (Md) dengan penawaran uang (Ms) menggunakan fungsi LM dengan melihat pengaruh pendapatan riil dan tingkat suku bunga. Data dalam penelitian ini merupakan data perekonomian Indonesia dari tahun 1986 – 2015 yang diambilkan dari sumber data sekunder baik seperti Bank Indonesia(BI), Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS), Internasional Financial Statistics (IFS), International Monetary Funds ( IMF) dan World Bank. Metode Pengolahan datayang digunakan adalah menggunakan persamaan simultan dan diselesaikan dengan Two Stage Least Square. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa keseimbangan terjadi pada tingkat pendapatan nasional sebesar 277559.05 milyar Rupiah dengan tingkat bunga sebesar 7,05%.Kata kunci: Permintaan dan Penawaran Uang, Produk Domestik Bruto, Suku Bunga, Inflasi, dan  Kurs. 
PREDICTING THE SUCCESS OF UNIVERSITY GRADUATES IN THE JOB MARKERT RAJA MASBAR
Jurnal Bisnis dan Akuntansi Vol 6 No 1 (2004): Jurnal Akuntansi dan Bisnis
Publisher : Pusat Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Trisakti

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (299.978 KB) | DOI: 10.34208/jba.v6i1.394

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The purpose of this study is to analyze and to estimate a model of the determinants of absorption level of university graduates t the local job market. In particular, it estimates the success of state university graduates in Sumatera as they are employed by firms (local job market). It utilizes primary data from three universities in Sumatera (Cluster ampling) that represent north, middle, and south regions are Sumatera Utara University (Medan), Andalas University (Padang), and Sriwijawa University (Palembang). This study uses Probit dan Logit. Model to estimate the determinants of absorption level of university graduates at the local job market. Generally, the result of this study shows that gradu tes who have positive attributes are more likely to success than other aduates in the job market.
Economic Growth Disparity among the Regions in Aceh, Indonesia Azwar .; Abubakar Hamzah; Raja Masbar; Sofyan Syahnur
Aceh International Journal of Social Science Volume 2 Number 1, June 2013
Publisher : Aceh International Journal of Social Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (384.272 KB) | DOI: 10.12345/aijss.2.1.1360

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Abstract - This study aims at investigating the extent of cumulative causation effect on economic growth disparity across the regions: Basajan-Pijay, Northeast, South-West, and Central-Inland in the Aceh Province, Indonesia. It also includes some others factors in determining economic growth disparity such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita, the concentration of economic activity areas, Human Development Index (HDI), the labour productivity of the region, the allocation of public investment as well as the accessibility among regions in the Aceh Province. To capture the goals of this study, it uses panel data during the period 2000 to 2010 consisting of 23 districts/cities of Aceh Province. The results show that the potential conditions for convergence because the dominant factor affecting the disparity without entering variable cumulative effect, the concentration of economic activity among regions have positive and negatively affected HDI. By entering variable cumulative effects, it turns HDI to have a negative effect, while the cumulative effect of the growth of inter-regional and the GDP per capita were positive. Thus, it can be said that the economic disparity among regions has the potential for convergence if and only if there is a policy intervention by the government in improving the quality of education, health, and consumer purchasing power to reduce the disparity. It is recommended that the Government of Aceh and District/City Government should encourage the growth of GDP per year, equal to or above the average growth of the national economy in order to increase labour productivity so that economic prosperity has also increased (spread effect is greater than backwash effect) because workings of the cumulative effect of growth within the region and among regions. Keywords      :   Disparity, Backwash effect, Spread Effect, Economic Growth, AcehPaper Type :     Research Paper
The Impact of Special Autonomy on the Convergence of Regional Economic Growth in Aceh, Indonesia Teuku Zulham; Said Muhammad; Raja Masbar; Sirojuzilam .
Aceh International Journal of Social Science Volume 4 Number 1, June 2015
Publisher : Aceh International Journal of Social Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1239.588 KB) | DOI: 10.12345/aijss.4.1.8682

Abstract

This study aims to assess the impact of special autonomy on the convergence of regional economic growth in Aceh, as well as factors that affect the convergence of economic growth before and after the enactment of special autonomy in Aceh. The independent variable in this study is the initial GDP per capita, working population, poor people, school duration, life expectancy, gross fixed capital formation, local revenue, equalization fund, and total receipts. The dependent variable is economic growth. The data used is secondary data in the form of panel data of the 23 districts / cities in Aceh from 1991 to 2012. The model used is panel data regression model which are grouped into two part of analysis which is before special autonomy (1991-2001) and after special autonomy (2002-2012). The estimation results indicate that there is sigma convergence of Aceh's regional economic growth which is shown by the decreasing value of standard deviation from 0.7698 before special autonomy to 0.5411 after special autonomy. In absolute terms, it is also ensued that there is a significant convergence of regional economic growth in Aceh in which the value of half-life of convergence to non-oil is about 27 years. While the speed of convergence after the special autonomy is increased. Conditionally, the exogenous variables that have a significant effect was only local revenues and school duration. Entire period takes 30 years half-life convergence with the speed of convergence on average 2.30 percent per year towards a steady state. The development program in the future should be oriented in creating many more employment opportunities, reducing poverty significantly, the enhancement of life expectancy, increasing people’s education to a higher level, as well as reducing the development gap in each district in Aceh. Keywords: Convergence, Speed of Convergence, Half-Life of Convergence, Special Autonomy, the Regional Economic Growth
ANALISIS PERMINTAAN DAN PENAWARAN UANG DI INDONESIA Arwin Arwin; Said Muhammad; Raja Masbar
Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi Darussalam (Darussalam Journal of Economic Perspec Vol 5, No 1 (2019): Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi Darussalam
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Islam, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis - Universitas Syiah Kuala

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (680.793 KB) | DOI: 10.24815/jped.v5i1.14564

Abstract

This study aims to determine the determinants of the money demand and money supply function in Indonesia. To formulate the equation between money demand (Md) and money supply (Ms) using LM function by looking at the effect of real income and interest rate. The data in this study constitutes Indonesia's economic data from 1986 to 2015 drawn from secondary data sources such as Bank Indonesia (BI), Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), International Financial Statistics (IFS), International Monetary Funds (IMF) and World Bank . The Data Processing method used is to use the equations and completed with Two Stage Least Square. The results showed that the balance occurred at the national income level of 277559.05 billion Rupiah with an interest rate of 7.05%. Keywords: Demand and Supply of Money, Gross Domestic Product, Interest Rate, Inflation, and Exchange Rate. Abstrak Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk megetahui determinan dari fungsi permintaan uang dan penawaran uang di Indonesia. Untuk merumuskan persamaan antara permintaan uang (Md) dengan penawaran uang (Ms) menggunakan fungsi LM dengan melihat pengaruh pendapatan riil dan tingkat suku bunga. Data dalam penelitian ini merupakan data perekonomian Indonesia dari tahun 1986 – 2015 yang diambilkan dari sumber data sekunder baik seperti Bank Indonesia(BI), Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS), Internasional Financial Statistics (IFS), International Monetary Funds ( IMF) dan World Bank. Metode Pengolahan datayang digunakan adalah menggunakan persamaan simultan dan diselesaikan dengan Two Stage Least Square. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa keseimbangan terjadi pada tingkat pendapatan nasional sebesar 277559.05 milyar Rupiah dengan tingkat bunga sebesar 7,05%. 
THE EFFECT OF EXCHANGE RATE, INFLATION, CAPITAL AND LABOR FORCE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA Goya Kala; Raja Masbar; Sofyan Syahnur
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik Indonesia Vol 5, No 1 (2018): Mei 2018
Publisher : Syiah Kuala University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (965.699 KB)

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AbstractThe study aimed to analyze the influence of exchange rate, Inflation, capital and labor force on economic growth in Indonesia. The data in this study are secondary data sourced from the Central Bureau of Statistics and Bank Indonesia which include data on the rupiah exchange rate against the dollar, inflation, gross domestic fixed capital formation, and labor rate. Analysis of this research based on the Cobb-Douglas Production Function by using the ordinary least square method (OLS) recursively. The results showed that the capital positively affects economic growth. By recursive method, inflation and exchange rate have a significant effect on economic growth. Inflation in particular has a significant negative impact on economic growth through interest rates and capital. However, the amount of labor has no significant effect on economic growth. This means that the government needs to reduce the inflation rate to be able to reduce the interest rate to increase the amount of capital and ultimately increase economic growth in Indonesia.
ANALISIS EFEKTIFITAS PENGGUNAAN CADANGAN DEVISA DAN FINANCIAL DEEPENING TERHADAP STABILITAS NILAI TUKAR Muhammad Aulia; Raja Masbar
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik Indonesia Vol 3, No 2 (2016): November 2016
Publisher : Syiah Kuala University

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Abstract

This research aims to analyse the impact of international reserve and financial deepening on exchange rate stability and to analyze the effectivity of international reserve and financial deepening as exchange rate stabilizer. Vector Error Corection Model (VECM) were used in this research with quarterly data from year 2002:01 to 2015: 04. The result showed that international reserve and financial deeepening have effect on exchange rate. Based on Impulse Response Function (IRF), financial deepening variable is more effective used to stabilise the exchange rate fluctuation because it influences investment which that national output and export. For the further research, it is recommended as in order to capture the negative effect and to the use of the respective variables as an exchange rate stabilizer.
FINANCIAL DEEPENING DAN KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA Hella Citra; Raja Masbar; sofyan Syahnur
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik Indonesia Vol 5, No 2 (2018): November 2018
Publisher : Syiah Kuala University

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AbstractThis study aims to analyze the effect of macro variables in the form of real GDP, exchange rate,inflation and deposit rates against Financial Deepeningin Indonesia, as well as to analyze the effect of FinancialDeepening on poverty alleviation in Indonesia. Thisstudy uses time series data from 2000 to 2017. The modelused is Multiple Linear Regression Analysis and SimpleRegression Analysis using Microsoft Excel 2003software, Herodes 1.4, SPSS 24, and Eviews 8. Theresults show that with the level of confidence 95 percent,real GDP, exchange rate and interest rate have positiveeffect on Financial Deepening, while inflation does notaffect Financial Deepening. Furthermore, FinancialDeepening has a negative effect on the number of poorpeople. The government should make more efforts instabilizing Indonesia's macroeconomic conditionsthrough appropriate policies to keep the value of moneystable. It is suggested for further research to add otherfinancial deepening indicators such as credit ratio ordeposit ratio so that it can be done comparison ofanalysis, and can include other independent variablesuch as investment. In addition it can also examine thestate of financial deepening other countries to becomparable to the state of Indonesia, and using othermethods.
ANALISIS TINGKAT KETIMPANGAN PENDAPATAN ANTAR KABUPATEN DI PROVINSI ACEH PERIODE 2002-2015 Rosti Maidar; Raja Masbar; Muhammad Nasir
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik Indonesia Vol 4, No 1 (2017): Mei 2017
Publisher : Syiah Kuala University

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This study aims to determine the level of income inequality among districts in Aceh Province period 2002-2015. 23 districts / municipalities in Aceh province with the most equitable income per capita with Williamson coefficient below 0.05 is Aceh Singkil, South Aceh, Sabang, Langsa, Subulussalam, Aceh Tamiang, Nagan Raya, Bener Meriah, Gayo Lues, Aceh Tengah , Aceh Barat, Aceh Besar, Bireuen and Aceh Barat Daya. The second order of the District / State level income is fairly evenly evenness and has a value of between .05-.09 coefficient Williamson is Simeulue District, East Aceh, Pidie, North Aceh, Aceh Jaya and Pidie Jaya. Third-placed Regency / City and evenness of their income level is uneven and has a coefficient of 0.10 is above Williamson East Aceh, Lhokseumawe and Banda Aceh. Balance development across the county must be maintained in order to avoid differences in economic progress between districts will ultimately have an impact on the level of welfare of each district.
Technical Efficiency of Rice Farm Production in Aceh Province, Indonesia Helmi Noviar; Raja Masbar; Aliasuddin Aliasuddin; Sofyan Syahnur
Proceedings of AICS - Social Sciences Vol 8 (2018): the 8th AIC on Social Sciences, Syiah Kuala University
Publisher : Proceedings of AICS - Social Sciences

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Abstract

The purpose of the present paper is to examine the efficiency of Indonesian rice production conducted in Aceh Province, by using agricultural census data 2013 with a sample of 1,029 characteristics of farm households. The analysis model used is stochastic frontier analysis (SFA)) approach and the estimation result obtained that rice production factors such as wages of farm workers, harvested area, fertilizer, and seeds have not been technically efficient. Furthermore, the economical scale of rice production in Aceh Province is decreasing return to scale that coherent with the results of the efficiency test.Keywords: efficiency, farmer household, stochastic frontier analysis, economic scale.