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Journal : Jurnal E-Komtek

Long-term Electricity Power Forecasting at PT PLN UP3 Kediri Using Trend and Monte Carlo Simulation Methods Naizatul Zainul Rofiqi; M. Cahyo Bagaskoro; Sujito; Langlang Gumilar; Aripriharta Aripriharta
Jurnal E-Komtek Vol 7 No 1 (2023)
Publisher : Politeknik Piksi Ganesha Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37339/e-komtek.v7i1.1131

Abstract

Community consumption power in the use of electricity resources is growing very rapidly. This is because the power source is the main need for the community. Without electricity, daily needs cannot run smoothly. In various regions, especially Kediri, where the needs are changing, it is necessary to predict and provide electricity to meet the consumption needs of the people. There are many things that can be done to predict the need for electric power, one of which is forecasting. Forecasting methods that can be used include trend and Monte Carlo Simulation. The results of this study indicate that Monte Carlo simulations are better at predicting long-term electrical power requirements at ULP3 Kediri. Long-term electricity demand can be predicted with the equation: Yt =138691 + 6709 x t + 231 x t2. The results of the research can help PLN UP3 Kediri to provide electricity for consumers.
Long-term Electricity Power Forecasting at PT PLN UP3 Kediri Using Trend and Monte Carlo Simulation Methods Naizatul Zainul Rofiqi; M. Cahyo Bagaskoro; Sujito; Langlang Gumilar; Aripriharta, Aripriharta
Jurnal E-Komtek (Elektro-Komputer-Teknik) Vol 7 No 1 (2023)
Publisher : Politeknik Piksi Ganesha Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37339/e-komtek.v7i1.1131

Abstract

Community consumption power in the use of electricity resources is growing very rapidly. This is because the power source is the main need for the community. Without electricity, daily needs cannot run smoothly. In various regions, especially Kediri, where the needs are changing, it is necessary to predict and provide electricity to meet the consumption needs of the people. There are many things that can be done to predict the need for electric power, one of which is forecasting. Forecasting methods that can be used include trend and Monte Carlo Simulation. The results of this study indicate that Monte Carlo simulations are better at predicting long-term electrical power requirements at ULP3 Kediri. Long-term electricity demand can be predicted with the equation: Yt =138691 + 6709 x t + 231 x t2. The results of the research can help PLN UP3 Kediri to provide electricity for consumers.
Co-Authors A.N. Afandi Abdullah Iskandar Syah Abdullah Iskandar Syah Achmad Fahrul Aji Achmad Fakhri Achmad Safi’i Achmad Syahrudin Fakhri Achmad, Agil Ziddan Afandi, Arif Ahmad Dhaffa' Nibrosoma Aji Prasetya Wibawa Andriansyah, Muhammad Rizal Anik Nur Handayani Anjar Dwi Hariadi Arie Muazib Arif Afandi Aripriharta - Arum Kusuma Wardhany Asfani, Khoirudin Ayu Puwatiningsih Denis Eka Cahyani Dhiyaurrahman Fakhruddin Didik Dwi Prasetya Dita Anies Munawwaroh Dito Valentino Dityo Kreshna Argeshwara Diva Ayu Lestari Dwi Mukti Asmoro Eka Mistakim Erry Asnarindra Faisal Farris Setyawan Fakhri, Achmad Syahrudin Fakhruddin, Dhiyaurrahman Falah, Moh. Zainul Farah Wardatul Afifah Farrel Candra WA Fitri Zakiyatul Azizah Gilang Indrianto Pramono Gunawan, M. Ricko Hariadi, Anjar Dwi Ihsan, Rifqi Al Ira Kumalasari Irham Fadlika Ivandany, Inov Joumil Aidil Saifuddin Junoh, Ahmad Kadri Kornelius Kamargo/Irawan Dwi Wahyono Kornelius Kamargo Kusumawardana, Arya M Rodhi Faiz M. Cahyo Bagaskoro M. Farrel Akbar Firzatullah Michiko Ryuu Sakura A Mistakim, Eka Moh Zainul Falah Moh. Zainul Falah Moh. Zainul Falah Mohamad Rodhi Faiz Monika, Dezetty Muchamad Wahyu Prasetyo Muhammad Afnan Habibi Muhammad Andriansyah Muhammad Jazuli Shubhi Muhammad Jazuli Shubhi Muhammad Rizal Andriansyah Muhammad Sadidul Itqon Mutiar, Mutiar Muttabik Fathul Lathief Nafalski, Andrew Naizatul Zainul Rofiqi Nikmah, Revalina Nazilatun Nugraha, Agil Zaidan Nur Hidayat, Wahyu Prasetyo, Muhammad Arzu Quota Sias Rafli Amirul Husain Ridho Riski Hadi Ridzki, Imron Riya Mustikasari Rizqi, Muhammad Ihsanul Rodhi Faiz Rumokoy, Steven N. Sahroni, Muhammad As’ad Sakura A, Michiko Ryuu Samat, Ahmad Asri Abd Samsul Setumin Setumin, Samsul Setyawan, Faisal Farris Sias, Quota Alief Siti Sendari Soraya Norma Mustika Sujito - Sujito Sujito Sujito Sujito Syah, Abdullah Iskandar Syamsul Arifin Tran Huy Duy Utomo, Imam Tree WA, Farrel Candra Wahyu Tri Handoko Wahyu Tri Handoko Wicaksono, Ibram Adib Yogi Dwi Mahandi Yuni Rahmawati Yunis Sulistyorini Yunis Sulistyorini, Yunis