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All Journal Semantik MATICS : Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Teknologi Informasi (Journal of Computer Science and Information Technology) Jurnal Ilmiah Kursor Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer Proceeding of the Electrical Engineering Computer Science and Informatics Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Komputer JOIV : International Journal on Informatics Visualization Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi) Knowledge Engineering and Data Science SMARTICS Journal Applied Information System and Management Jurnal Nasional Pendidikan Teknik Informatika (JANAPATI) Journal of Information System,Graphics, Hospitality and Technology Applied Technology and Computing Science Journal Teknika Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer (JEECOM) Journal of Applied Data Sciences International Journal of Engineering, Science and Information Technology Insyst : Journal of Intelligent System and Computation J-Intech (Journal of Information and Technology) Jurnal Nasional Teknik Elektro dan Teknologi Informasi Jurnal Sistem Cerdas dan Rekayasa Jurnal Inovasi Teknologi dan Edukasi Teknik Nusantara Journal of Computers and its Applications Bulletin of Social Informatics Theory and Application Jurnal Informatika: Jurnal Pengembangan IT
Joan Santoso
Institut Sains Dan Teknologi Terpadu Surabaya
Astronomy Automotive Engineering Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Library & Information Science Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Journal : SMARTICS Journal

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PEMODELAN PREDIKSI KUANTITAS PENJUALAN MAINAN MENGGUNAKAN LightGBM Febriantoro, Erfan; Setyati, Endang; Santoso, Joan
SMARTICS Journal Vol 9 No 1 (2023): SMARTICS Journal (April 2023)
Publisher : Universitas PGRI Kanjuruhan Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21067/smartics.v9i1.8279

Abstract

The main characteristic of the toy industry is its rapid change and uncertainty. Demand, influenced by certain trends, can change abruptly and suddenly disappear when the next viral product takes over the market. Constant product innovation, short life cycles and high cannibalization rates have the potential to incur higher relative costs compared to other industries in terms of inventory obsolescence, lost sales and reduced prices. Based on these problems, a study was conducted to predict toy sales using the LightGBM algorithm model in a time-series form with a sales dataset of 460 toy items classified into 14 categories within a time span of 1,353 days with a prediction period of 1, 3, and 6 months. This study produced 42 models based on product category and prediction period, with the best RMSE value of 0.0042 in the KARTU toy model, and 3 models for all categories based on the prediction period with the best RMSE value of 0.0380 in the 1 month prediction period.
Co-Authors Aditya Dwi Aryanto Adriel Ferdianto Afandi, Acxel Derian Agung Dewa Bagus Soetiono Ahdan, Syabith Umar Ahmad Syaifuddin Ali Djamhuri Ananta Tio Putra Andik Jatmiko Anita Guterres Budi Irawan Cahyadi, Billy Kelvianto Chandra, Francisca H. Christian Nathaniel Purwanto Devi Dwi Purwanto Dewi, Nindian Puspa Dipa, Sasra Edwin Pramana Eka Rahayu Setyaningsih Eko Mulyanto Yuniarno Elizabeth Shirley, Stephanie Endang Setyati Esther Irawati S. Esther Irawati Setiawan Eunike Kardinata F.X. Ferdinandus Fachrul Kurniawan Febriantoro, Erfan Ferdinandus, F. X. Francisca Chandra Fujisawa, Kimiya Gunawan Gunawan Gunawan Gunawan Gunawan Gunawan Halim, Kevin Jonathan Hans Juwiantho Hans Keven Budi Prakoso Harianto, Reddy Alexandro Hartarto Junaedi Hartono, Patrick Hendrawan Armanto Heppi Siswanto Herman Budianto Imron, Syaiful Indra Maryati Irawati Setiawan, Esther Jatmiko, Andik Kristian Indradiarta Gunawan Kristina, Natalia Kurniawan S, Putu Widiarsa Langgeng, Yudo Sembodo Hastoro Leonel Hernandez Lim, Ernest Luhfita Tirta Lukman Zaman Machfudin, Mohammad Farid Mauridhi Hery Purnomo Mochamad Hariadi Muhammad Amfahtori Wijarnoko Mustaqin, Farhan Faisal Zainul Nagari, Widean Nindian Puspa Dewi Ong, Hansel Santoso Putra, Bayu Anggara Rossy P. C. Rully Widiastutik Samuel Budi Wardhana Kusuma Saputra, Daniel Gamaliel Setiawan, Esther Setya Ardhi Soetiono, Agung Dewa Bagus Stefanie Hilda Kusumahadi Surya Sumpeno Sutanto, Patrick Sutanto, Ricky Syaiful Huda Syaiful Imron Tjendika, Patrick Tjwanda Putera Gunawan Tri Septianto Tuesday saka gustaf Ubaidi Ubaidi Ubaidi, Ubaidi Vania, Stella Vu, Tong Nam Tuan Wardoyo, Nikko Riestian Putra Yosi Kristian