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Implementasi Metode Random Forest dan Support Vector Regression dalam Memprediksi Harga Cryptocurrency Ethereum Azizah Aulia Firdhasari; Lilis Sriwahyuni; Sri Nurdiati; Mohamad Khoirun Najib
Journal of Mathematics: Theory and Applications Vol. 8 No. 1 (2026): Volume 8 Nomor 1 Tahun 2026
Publisher : Program Studi Matematika Universitas Sulawesi Barat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31605/jomta.v8i1.6189

Abstract

Perkembangan cryptocurrency menjadikan Ethereum (ETH) sebagai salah satu aset digital penting, namun pergerakan harganya sangat volatil karena dipengaruhi oleh berbagai faktor fundamental dan eksternal. Kondisi tersebut menyebabkan prediksi harga close ETH menjadi permasalahan utama karena akurasi peramalan sangat menentukan analisis dan pengambilan keputusan berbasis data. Penelitian ini bertujuan membangun serta membandingkan model prediksi harga close Ethereum menggunakan Random Forest dan Support Vector Regression (SVR) untuk forecasting 30 hari ke depan. Data yang digunakan berupa harga harian Ethereum periode 1 Januari 2020 hingga 30 Desember 2024 dari Yahoo Finance, kemudian dilakukan pra-pemrosesan, standarisasi, dan pembagian data train-test 80:20 dengan menjaga urutan waktu. Feature engineering dibagun dari harga close melalui MA 7, EMA 7, dan lag return 7, serta diterapkan exponential smoothing untuk mengurangi noise. Model Random Forest dan SVR dioptimasi menggunakan Grid Search CV, kemudian dievaluasi menggunakan metrik MAPE. Hasil tuning menunjukkan konfigurasi terbaik Random Forest adalah max depth = 10 dan total estimator = 90. Konfigurasi terbaik SVR adalah kernel linear dengan C = 10, ε = 0.5, dan γ = scale. Evaluasi MAPE menunjukkan Random Forest lebih unggul dengan MAPE train 1,37% dan test 2,04%, sedangkan SVR menghasilkan MAPE train 5,83% dan test 2,22%. Secara keseluruhan, kedua model memberikan akurasi prediksi yang sangat baik, namun Random Forest menunjukkan kinerja lebih stabil dan akurat pada data pengujian. Model Random Forest kemudian digunakan untuk forecasting harga close ETH 30 hari ke depan sebagai estimasi jangka pendek yang cenderung stabil dan mengikuti tren data pengujian.
Sentimen Publik Terhadap Kebijakan Pemindahan Ibu Kota Indonesia di X Menggunakan Model BiLSTM-CNN Wanda Nugraha; Mochamad Tito Julianto; Mohamad Khoirun Najib; Elis Khatizah
Jurnal Telematika Vol. 20 No. 2 (2025)
Publisher : Yayasan Petra Harapan Bangsa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61769/telematika.v20i2.796

Abstract

The development of Indonesia's new capital city, Ibu Kota Nusantara (IKN), is an innovative government policy that has sparked diverse public responses. This study aims to explore sentiment trends on the social media platform X to understand public perceptions of the policy. Additionally, a sentiment classification model combining Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) was developed and optimized through hyperparameter tuning. Exploratory analysis showed that positive sentiment dominated at 46%, followed by negative at 30% and neutral at 24%. The classification model achieved a test accuracy of 78% and an average accuracy of 81% across 10-fold cross-validation, with a standard deviation of 0.006. The achieved accuracy, together with the low cross-validation standard deviation, indicates that the BiLSTM-CNN model demonstrates stable and reliable performance.
Numerical Solution of 2D Advection-Diffusion for River Pollutant Transport using the Finite Element Method Muhamad Adzka Rizkia; Rahma Alya Zahrani; Zelisha Pitriatuz Zahra Fauzi; Foky Michelin; Najwaa Alifya Azka; Faiza Mayla Sabita; Mualim Arya Ilyas Wiradinata; Ferdy Aliansyah Hasyim; Mochamad Tito Julianto; Sri Nurdiati; Mohamad Khoirun Najib; Syukri Arif Rafhida
CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi Vol 11, No 2 (2026): CAUCHY: JURNAL MATEMATIKA MURNI DAN APLIKASI
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Maulana Malik Ibrahim State Islamic University of Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18860/cauchy.v11i2.42814

Abstract

Pollutant dispersion in rivers is governed by advection, diffusion, and the physical characteristics of the channel. This paper models two-dimensional pollutant transport using the advection-diffusion equation and solves it numerically with the Finite Element Method (FEM) under five scenarios: constant flow with a single pollutant source, flow that follows a meandering channel, constant flow with two sources, the presence of a rock obstacle, and an irregular river domain. Simulations are implemented in Mathematica through domain construction, mesh generation, and a Finite Element-based numerical solution. The results show that flow velocity is the primary driver of plume movement, while diffusion smooths concentration gradients. Comparative analysis across the five scenarios demonstrates that obstacle-containing and irregular domains produce the widest plume spreading and the strongest concentration deformation compared to the straight-channel case. Peak concentrations also decrease more rapidly in multi-source and irregular-flow scenarios due to enhanced mixing and plume interaction. Physical obstacles and channel irregularities generate loacal recirculation zones and plume deviation, producing more realistic pollutant transport behavior than simplified channer models. These findings highlight the importance of geometry-aware flow representations for understanding river pollutant transport in numerical modelling studies.
Co-Authors Aaron August Vincent Soelaiman Abisha, Nicholas Ade Irawan Ade Irawan Akbar, Raihan Alifah, Nayla Nur Alifah, Rifdah Nur Alika Azka Shapira Amalia, Rizki Nurul Andriani, Rizka D. Annisa Permata Sari, Annisa Permata Antika, Ester Ardhana, Muhammad Reza Ardhasena Sopaheluwakan Ardhasena Sopaheluwakan Ardiyani, Evi Aufa Ghifada Aulia Rizki Firdawanti Aziz, Muhammad Farhan Azizah Aulia Firdhasari Blante, Trianty Putri Chairunisa, Ghevira David Vijanarco Martal Dezvini Muthmainnati Vidia Ekaputri, Dhea Elis Khatizah Elis Khatizah Endar Hasafah Nugrahani Ester Antika Fahren Bukhari Fahren Bukhari Fahren Bukhari Faiqul Fikri Faiza Mayla Sabita Farah Annisa Tri Sundari Fathia Rahmaisty Fatmawati, Linda Leni Fauzan, Muhammad Daryl Ferdy Aliansyah Hasyim Foky Michelin Ginting, Dini Tri Putri Br Handoyo, Sapto Mukti Harley Dearmanson Girsang Hasafah Nugrahani, Endar Hendri Irwandi Henriyansah Herlambang, Karen Hilmi, Kautsar I Wayan Mangku Iftar Hendry Imni, Salsabila F. Kasiyah M. Junus Kautsar Hilmi Khairuna Putri Gunawan Khatizah, Elis Khoerunnisa, Nazwa Lilis Sriwahyuni Linda Leni Fatmawati Lizzilmi Syarifatuz Zaimah Maliha Qonita Martal, David Vijanarco Maulia, Syammira Dhifa Mirlan Sujana Mirza Farhan Azhari Mochamad Tito Julianto Mochamad Tito Julianto Mualim Arya Ilyas Wiradinata Muhamad Adzka Rizkia Muhammad Adam Tripranoto Muhammad Reza Ardhana Muhammad Tito Julianto Muhammad Zidane Bayu Muliawan Sebastian, Denny Nadhifa Zahra Ghaisani Nadhira Maulida Hayani Nadiyah, Fadilah Karamun Nisaa Najwaa Alifya Azka Nandika Safiqri Naura Dalta Indriyani Nerissa Patrice Manuella NGAKAN KOMANG KUTHA ARDHANA Nicholas Abisha Noval Nur Fallahi, Putri Afia Nur Nabila Nurdiari, Sri Nuzhatun Nazria Pratama, Yoga Abdi Putri, Renda S. P. Rafhida, Syukri Arif Rahma Alya Zahrani Redytadevi, Tita Putri REFI REVINA Retno Budiarti Rohimahastuti, Fadillah Ruben Harry Valentdio Salsabila, Fitra Nuvus Salsabilla Rahmah Salsabilla, Fitra Nuvus Sanjaya, Wardah Saputra, Rika Ardiansyah Sopaheluwakan, Ardhasena Sri Nurdiati Sriwahyuni, Lilis Suci Nur Setyawati Sukmana, Ihwan SYAHID AHMAD MUKRIM Sya’adah, Syifa Noer Syukri Arif Rafhida Syukri Arif Rafhida Syukri Arif Rafhida Talenta Parfaibya Mahenindra Trianty Putri Blante Triwulandari, Raden Roro Carissa Valentdio, Ruben Harry Wanda Nugraha Wigawijayanti Wigawijayanti Yoga Abdi Pratama Yulianty, Sherly Zelisha Pitriatuz Zahra Fauzi