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Determinant Analysis of Cultural Poverty in Kedu Raya Region Jannah, Siti Nur; Wijaya, Riko Setya; Perdana, Putra
Gorontalo Development Review Volume 9 Nomor 1 April 2026
Publisher : Universitas Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32662/golder.v9i1.4587

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the determinants of cultural poverty in the Kedu Raya Region by examining the effects of Minimum District/City Wage, Life Expectancy, Average Years of Schooling, and Dependency Ratio on the number of poor people. Using panel data from six districts/cities in Kedu Raya from 2015 to 2024, the analysis was conducted through a log-linear panel regression model. The results show that the city minimum wage has a negative and significant effect on poverty levels, indicating that higher minimum wages help reduce poverty. Average Years of Schooling also has a negative and significant effect, emphasizing the crucial role of education in shaping economic behavior and reducing cultural poverty. In contrast, life expectancy and dependency ratio exhibit positive but insignificant effects. Simultaneously, all variables collectively influence poverty levels in the region. These findings highlight that improving education, enhancing health quality, and implementing appropriate wage policies can effectively reduce cultural poverty and support sustainable human development in the Kedu Raya Region.
Export Analysis of Indonesian Vehicles (HS 87) To 9 Developing Countries Using The Gravity Model Approach Fabian Crisandy E.D.; Wijaya, Riko Setya; Perdana, Putra
Global Economics: International Journal of Economic, Social and Development Sciences Vol. 2 No. 4 (2025): December: Global Economics - International Journal of Economic, Social and Deve
Publisher : International Forum of Researchers and Lecturers

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70062/globaleconomics.v2i4.403

Abstract

This study examines the factors influencing Indonesia’s motor vehicle exports to nine developing countries using the gravity model approach with long-term and short-term panel data. The variables analyzed include the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of partner countries, exchange rates, economic distance, and trade cooperation agreements. The data are analyzed using the Error Correction Model (ECM) to capture short-term dynamics and long-term relationships. The long-term results show that partner countries’ GDP has a significant positive effect on Indonesia’s vehicle exports, indicating that economic growth in partner countries increases demand for Indonesian automotive products. Conversely, exchange rates and economic distance have significant negative effects, suggesting that depreciation of partner currencies and economic disparities reduce export volumes. Trade cooperation agreements do not have a significant impact in the long term. In the short term, changes in GDP continue to have a significant positive effect, while exchange rates maintain a significant negative impact on exports. Economic distance and trade agreements are not significant in the short term. The significant and negative error correction term (ECT) confirms the existence of an adjustment mechanism toward long-term equilibrium. This study highlights the importance of partner countries’ economic growth and exchange rate stability in supporting Indonesia’s vehicle exports to developing countries, as well as the need to address structural barriers to improve long-term competitiveness.
ANALYSIS OF INDONESIA'S COAL EXPORT COMPETITIVENESS IN THE INTERNATIONAL MARKET AND ITS DETERMINANT FACTORS Nugraha, Dwiki Andreansyah; Wijaya, Riko Setya; Perdana, Putra
JURNAL PROFIT Vol 9, No 2 (2025): Economic And Financial Institutions
Publisher : Nurul Jadid University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33650/profit.v9i2.12546

Abstract

Indonesia is one of the world’s largest coal exporters, with a significant contribution tomeeting global energy demand. However, the competitiveness of Indonesia’s coalexports is strongly influenced by international market dynamics and external factors.This study aims to analyze the competitiveness of Indonesia’s coal exports in theglobal market using the Vector Autoregression (VAR) model for the period 2004–2023.The variables analyzed include Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), international coalprices (HBI), exchange rate (NT), national coal production, and competitivenessmeasured through the Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA). The results indicatethat Indonesia still lags behind Australia in terms of RCA, although the gap hasnarrowed between 2018 and 2023. Conversely, compared to Russia, Indonesiaconsistently outperforms. The impulse response function (IRF) analysis reveals thatFDI has a positive impact on RCA, while rising international coal prices tend toweaken competitiveness. National coal production shows a positive effect in themedium term, whereas the exchange rate responds negatively to price fluctuations.Variance decomposition (VD) results show that FDI had a dominant contribution inthe early period (70–75%) but declined to around 20%, while the influence ofinternational coal prices increased to 40%. Overall, Indonesia’s coal exportcompetitiveness is largely shaped by external factors, requiring strategies such asmarket diversification, downstream industry development, efficiency improvements,and the optimization of global geopolitical opportunities.