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All Journal BERKALA SAINSTEK JURNAL ILMIAH MATEMATIKA DAN TERAPAN BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Jurnal Varian Parameter: Journal of Statistics
Hartayuni Sain
Department Of Statistics Tadulako University
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemistry Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Energy Engineering Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Predicting Drought in East Nusa Tenggara: A Novel Approach Using Wavelet Fuzzy Logic and Support Vector Machines Sain, Hartayuni; Fadri, Firda
Parameter: Journal of Statistics Vol. 4 No. 1 (2024)
Publisher : Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas Tadulako

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22487/27765660.2024.v4.i1.17142

Abstract

The water crisis, or what is hereinafter referred to as drought, has become a systemic and crucial problem in several regions in Indonesia. Indonesia is an agricultural country, where the presence of water is very influential so that drought can become a natural disaster if it starts to cause an area to lose its source of income due to disturbances in agriculture and the ecosystem it causes. Drought forecasting can provide support solutions in preventing the impact of drought. In this paper, we compare the performance of wavelet fuzzy logic and the support vector machine (SVM) as a supervised learning method for drought forecasting in East Nusa Tenggara. This study examines the monthly rainfall data for 1999-2015 which is the basis for calculating the drought index based on the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). The SPI value used is SPI-3 at a station in East Nusa Tenggara. The performance of models is compareded on R2. The results showed that R2 of wavelet fuzzy logic is smaller than one of SVMVM is better than the wavelet fuzzy logic for forecasting SPI value of drought in East Nusa Tenggara.
Pemodelan Jumlah Siswa Putus Sekolah Tingkat SMA di Indonesia Menggunakan Geographically Weighted Generalized Poisson Regression Azizah, Nur; Gamayanti, Nurul Fiskia; Junaidi, Junaidi; Sain, Hartayuni; Fadjriyani, Fadjryani
Jurnal Varian Vol. 8 No. 1 (2024)
Publisher : Universitas Bumigora

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30812/varian.v8i1.4248

Abstract

In 2022, the high school dropout rate is the highest compared to other levels of education in Indonesia.Seeing the urgency of the 12-year Compulsory Education program, completing education up to the highschool level is an important thing that needs to be considered. Thus, it is necessary to know the factorsthat influence the dropout rate in the hope that this problem can be reduced. This study aims to modelthe high school dropout rate using geographically weighted generalized poisson regression (GWGPR)based on the factors that influence it. GWGPR is used if the response variable is overdispersed anddepends on the location observed. The results of this study indicate that each province has a different regression model. The GWGPR model with the adaptive tricube kernel weighting function is thebest model because it has the smallest AIC value compared to other weighting functions. In CentralSulawesi Province, the GWGPR model with the adaptive tricube kernel weighting function formed isµˆ26 = exp (8, 1267 − 0, 1267X4 + 0, 0344X5 + 0, 0957X6 + 0, 1173X7). With the significant variables are the average length of schooling, the percentage of the population aged 7-17 years who receivePIP, the open unemployment rate, and the percentage of children who do not live with parents.
MODELING THE DURATION OF MATERNAL LABOR AT ANUTAPURA HAMMER HOSPITAL USING LIN-YING ADDITIVE HAZARD REGRESSION Fadjryani, Fadjryani; Setiawan, Iman; Sain, Hartayuni; Fajri, Mohammad; Gamayanti, Nurul Fiskia; Radi, Aryani; Aisya, Cici
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 20 No 1 (2026): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol20iss1pp0523-0540

Abstract

The Central Sulawesi government has a Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) target for 2020-2024, which sets the maternal mortality rate below 70/100,000 KH. However, in 2018-2022, the maternal mortality rate fluctuated by 128/100,000 KH. One of the factors causing maternal mortality is the duration of the labor process. The factors that are thought to have an influence on the duration of labor are gestational age, maternal age, baby height, parity, and hemoglobin levels. Therefore, this study aims to see what modeling and factors affect the duration of birth using Lin-Ying additive hazard regression analysis. Data were obtained from the medical records of normal deliveries between January and December 2023 at Anutapura Palu Hospital. The results showed that the factors that affect the duration of birth are preterm gestational age, aterm gestational age, maternal age 20-35 years, primigravida mothers, multigravida mothers, and mothers who are not anemic. A limitation of this study is the relatively short data collection period of one year, which may not capture variations or trends in labor outcomes over time.
Co-Authors Afriza, Dini Aprilia Aisya, Cici Al Fajri, Iman Anggraini, Nini Armayani Arsal Borahima, Maharani Safira B. Dermawan Lonan, Herdi Fadjriyani Fadjryani, Fadjryani Fadri, Firda Gamayanti, Nurul Fiskia Iman Setiawan Jeffry Kusuma Junaidi Junaidi Mohammad Fajri Nabillah, Chantika Nasria Nacong Nur Azizah Nurwijayanti Radi, Aryani Rais Rais Rais Selvy Musdalifah Setiawan, Iman Sinaga, Novita Damayanti Winarti Winarti