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All Journal International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering MANAJEMEN HUTAN TROPIKA Journal of Tropical Forest Management Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Indonesia Jurnal Silvikultur Tropika (JST) MEDIA KONSERVASI FORESTA BIOTROPIA - The Southeast Asian Journal of Tropical Biology TELKOMNIKA (Telecommunication Computing Electronics and Control) Jurnal Penelitian Hutan Tanaman Indonesian Journal of Agricultural Science Konversi Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer Jurnal Pengelolaan Sumberdaya Alam dan Lingkungan (Journal of Natural Resources and Environmental Management) Jurnal Tataloka JURNAL KONVERSI MAJALAH ILMIAH GLOBE SEJ (Science Education Journal) BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan LIMNOTEK - Perairan Darat Tropis di Indonesia International Journal of Remote Sensing and Earth Sciences (IJReSES) JURNAL METEOROLOGI DAN GEOFISIKA Journal of Sylva Indonesiana Journal of Information Systems and Informatics Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Jurnal Hutan Tropika Jurnal Tanah dan Iklim Jurnal Risalah Kebijakan Pertanian dan Lingkungan International Journal of Electronics and Communications Systems JURNAL HUTAN TROPIS Jurnal Informatika dan Teknologi Informasi Policy Brief Pertanian, Kelautan, dan Biosains Tropika The International Journal of Remote Sensing and Earth Sciences (IJReSES)
Lailan Syaufina
Departemen Silvikultur, Fakultas Kehutanan, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Kampus IPB Dramaga Bogor 16680
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Science Immunology & microbiology Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Social Sciences Transportation Veterinary

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Journal : Journal of Information Systems and Informatics

 1 
Logistic Regression Modeling of Peatland Fire Hotspots in Bengkalis District Using Integrated Environmental and Anthropogenic Drivers Hayati, Nur; Sitanggang, Imas Sukaesih; Prasetyo, Lilik Budi; Syaufina, Lailan
Journal of Information System and Informatics Vol 8 No 2 (2026): April
Publisher : Asosiasi Doktor Sistem Informasi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63158/journalisi.v8i2.1560

Abstract

Peatland fires occur almost annually in Bengkalis District, Riau Province, Indonesia, where peatlands cover about 65% of the area and contribute significantly to carbon emissions and regional haze, highlighting the need for improved fire risk prediction. This research aims to apply a probabilistic logistic regression approach to predict peatland fire hotspot occurrence and identify its key drivers. Hotspot data from 2015–2023 were derived from VIIRS satellite observations and classified into low (l), nominal (n), and high (h) confidence levels. Then hotspot confidence levels are classified into two scenarios: (1) the nh scenario (l = 0; n–h = 1) and (2) the h scenario (l–n = 0; h = 1), representing different fire thresholds. The predictor variable was modeled using anthropogenic and environmental, with multicollinearity testing to ensure model stability. The results show that the nh scenario performs better, with Nagelkerke R² = 0.0681, Hosmer–Lemeshow χ² = 5.7663, AUC = 0.69, and accuracy = 95.19%, indicating acceptable fit and moderate discrimination. Significant predictors include plantation land use, peat characteristics, and precipitation. These findings suggest that the approach can support peatland fire risk assessment, although further refinement is required.
Co-Authors Afina, Fakhri Sukma Agus Buono Agus Siswono Agus Siswono Ahmad Ainuddin Nuruddin Aisyah Anggraini Albar, Israr Andi Gunawan Andini Tribuana Tunggadewi, Andini Tribuana Anggie Yohanna Mandalahi Anissa Rezainy Anita Zaitunah Annisa Puspa Kirana Arzyana Sunkar Asri Buliyansih Atfi Indriany Putri Atfi Indriany Putri Ati Dwi Nurhayati Awal, Elsa Elvira Bahruni . Bambang Hero Saharjo Boedi Tjahjono Chandrasa E Sjamsudin Daniel Happy Putra Denni Prasetia Diah Zuhriana Didik Suharjito Dinda Aisyah Fadhillah Hafni Drucella Benala Dyahati Eduardo Fernando Martins de Carvalho Efendi, Zuliar Eka Intan Kumala Putri Eko Heriyanto Entin Kartini Erfan Noor Yulian Erianto Indra Putra Ernawati, Titik Firman Ardiansyah Fransisxo GS Tambunan Gatot Setiawan Gatot Setiawana Gusti Zainal Anshari Hariyadi Hendra Rahmawan Hendra Rahmawan Hidayat, Assad I Nengah Surati Jaya Iin Ichwandi Imam Suyodono Imas Sukaesih Sitanggang Indah Prasasti Indah Prasasti Irdika Mansur Irwansyah, Muh Yosrilrafiq Istiqomah, Nalar Istomo . Jamaluddin Basharuddin James Thomas Erbaugh Jumani Jumani Khaira, Ulfa Khairia Nafia Khulfi M Khalwani Komarsa Gandasasmita Krisnanto, Ferdian Kurniawati Purwaka Putri Lai Food See LILIK BUDIPRASETYO M. Syamsul Maarif M. Taufan Tirkaamiana M. Taufan Tirkaamiana Meti Ekayani Mirzha Hanifah Mochamad Asep Maksum Mohid Rashid Mohd Yusof Muhammad Ardiansyah Muhammad Hawari Azka Muhammad Hudzaifah Rihuljihad Muhammad Ikhsan Muhammad Imam Nugraha Muhammad Nur Aidi Nadhifah, Putri Addini Arsya Nining Puspaningsih Noor Farikhah Haneda Nova Puspitasari Nuniek Sutanti Nur Hayati Nurheni Wijayanto Prima Trie Wijaya Purwanti , Endang Yuni Purwanti, Endang Yuni Putra, Aditya Handoyo Putri Thariqa Rinenggo Siwi Rizaldi Boer Rizki, Yoze Samsuri, Samsuri Sandhi Imam Maulana Satyawan, Verda Emmelinda Sigit Purwanto Sitanggang, Imas S. Siti Badriyah Rushayati Sobri Effendy Sofia Fitriana Sri Mulatsih Sugiarto, Dwi Putro Supriyadi, Andi Supriyanto Supriyanto Suryawan Ramadhan Syaiful Anwar Taihuttu, Helda Yunita Tri Tiana Ahmadi Putri Trisminingsih, Rina Unik, Mitra Vera Linda Purba Wahida Annisa Wardana Wardana Widiatmaka Wiwin Ambarwulan WULANDARI Wulandari, Ratu Mutiara Yenni Vetrita Yuli Sunarti