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Journal : Transcendent Journal of Mathematics and Applications

The Autoregressive Distributed Lag Method in Predicting Aceh's Economy Post-Special Autonomy Fund Dian Safitri, Winny; Iqbal Muttaqin, Mohd
Transcendent Journal of Mathematics and Applications Vol 1, No 1 (2022)
Publisher : Syiah Kuala University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24815/tjoma.v1i1.28434

Abstract

Economic growth is a process that reflects the dynamic aspects of an economy that describes the movement of the economy from time to time. Economic growth is one indicator of the success of the implementation of development that can be used as a macro benchmark and can be reflected in changes in Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) in an economy. area. This study was conducted to determine the effect of the Revenue Sharing Fund (DBH) and the Additional Revenue Sharing Fund (TDBH) of oil and gas on the Acehnese economy after the Special Autonomy Fund (SAF) ended from an Islamic economic perspective. The type of research used in this research is quantitative. The method used in this study is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The data used in this study is secondary data sourced from related agencies. The results of this study using the ARDL model show that partially the oil and gas DBH has a negative and significant effect, while the oil and gas TDBH has a positive and significant impact on the Acehnese economy after the SAF ends.
Application of Path Analysis in Aceh Poverty Modeling Mulia, Rika; Dian Safitri, Winny
Transcendent Journal of Mathematics and Applications Vol 1, No 1 (2022)
Publisher : Syiah Kuala University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24815/tjoma.v1i1.28828

Abstract

The Human Development Index (HDI) is an important indicator of the success of efforts to improve the quality of human life. As a measure of quality of life, HDI is based on three basic aspects including aspects of health, education and a decent standard of living. There are several factors that can affect poverty, such as Zakat, Infaq and Sadaqah (ZIS), and the Family Hope Program (PKH). This study aims to determine the effect of the amount of ZIS funds and the number of recipients of PKH on poverty and HDI in Aceh in 2015-2020. This study uses a quantitative approach. The data analysis method in this study uses path analysis and Sobel test. The results showed that the amount of ZIS funds had a negative and insignificant effect on poverty in Aceh. The number of PKH recipients has a positive and insignificant effect on poverty in Aceh. The amount of ZIS funds has a positive and significant effect on HDI. The number of PKH recipients has a negative and insignificant effect on HDI in Aceh. Poverty has a negative and significant effect on HDI in Aceh. Poverty is able to mediate the effect of the amount of ZIS funds on HDI in Aceh. Poverty is unable to mediate the effect of the number of PKH recipients on the HDI in Aceh.