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Dihin Muriyatmoko
Universitas Darussalam Gontor
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Journal : Geosfera Indonesia

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ANALYSIS OF RAINY DAYS AND RAINFALL TO LANDSLIDE OCCURRENCE USING LOGISTIC REGRESSION IN PONOROGO EAST JAVA Dihin Muriyatmoko; Sisca Mayang Phuspa
Geosfera Indonesia Vol. 3 No. 2 (2018): GEOSFERA INDONESIA
Publisher : Department of Geography Education, University of Jember

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.19184/geosi.v3i2.8230

Abstract

Referred to data of Badan Nasional Penanggulangan Bencana (BNPB) and Kementerian Kesehatan Republik Indonesia (Kemenkes RI), almost landslide occurrence in Ponorogo always starts with high-intensity rain. This research aimed to determine simultaneously correlation and partial assessment impact of rainy days every month and monthly rainfall toward landslide occurrence in Ponorogo using logistic regression. The data collection was conducted through Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) in the book of Ponorogo Regency in Figure on 2012 to 2016. The existing data shows that in sixty months have been twenty-six times landslides occurrence in Ponorogo districts. The data statistically analyzed in simultaneous proves that contribution of rainy days and rainfall to landslide were included adequate correlation (Nagelkerke R Square = 25.4 % and Cox & Snell R Square = 36.9 %) and in partial test proves that rainy days have significant impact (sig. = 0.024) and rainfall does not significant impact (sig. = 0.291) (α = 0.05) to landslide occurrence in Ponorogo regency. The rainy days per month were abled applied to predict for possible landslide elsewhere. Keywords: rainy days, rainfall, landslide, Ponorogo, logistic regression References Aditian, A., Kubota, T., & Shinohara, Y. (2018). Geomorphology Comparison of GIS-based landslide susceptibility models using frequency ratio , logistic regression , and arti fi cial neural network in a tertiary region of Ambon , Indonesia. Geomorphology Journal, 318, 101–111. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2018.06.006 Agresti, A. (1996). An Introduction to Categorical Data Analysis. 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Jurnal Matriks Teknik Sipil, 3(1), 194–201. Copyright (c) 2018 Geosfera Indonesia Journal and Department of Geography Education, University of Jember Copyright Notice This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Share A like 4.0 International License
Co-Authors Abdul Rohman Abdul Wahid Abdullah Hikmatyar Priandika Achmad Farouq Abdullah Achmad, Dellyan Adi Darmanto Ahmad Kali Akbar Anggi Fauzan Ario Ramadhan Arrahmantoro, Muhamad Nuradi Asad Humam Azis Musthafa Aziz Musthafa Badrus Sholeh Badrus Sholeh Dzikrina Safir, Sheila Dzulfikar As'ad, Ahmad Fa'iq Ebenezer Bonyah Edi Satriyanto Eko Prasetio Widhi Eko Prasetio Widhi Eru Puspita Fairoza Arafah, Rosa Faisal Aditiya Faisal Reza Pradhana Fariha 'Ulya Rahma Fathimah Fathimah Fauzan, Ady Febri Wulan Sari Feldi Hekmatyar Fikky Aprico Fulki Rusyda Harris Abdillah Faqih Havidz Muhammad Iqbal Hisnu Al Mujahidin Husnina, Luqyana Nurul Indah Putri Arosi Jumhurul Umami Jumhurul Umami Kamal Sholihin, Surya Kurniawan, Widya Lalu Ganda Rady Putra Lingga Sempana Hidayat Lukman Effendi Maulana Kemal Ardiansyah Mochammad Iqbal Pristiyo Mohammad Rozi Syifa’uddin Mubarok, M. Shulton Muhammad Alwi Muhammad Ridwan Muhammad Rijal Yahya Muhammad Siddiq, Muhammad Muhammad Sirajuddin Mumtaz Dzaky Muhammad Syakir Arif Muhammad Zarkasih, Muhammad Mukhlas Munif Ahsani Musthafa, Aziz , Musthofa, Aziz Musyafa’, Zaenury Adhiim Nabiila Fatimatuz Zahra Niken Sylvia Puspitasari Nur Aini Shofiya Asy'ari Oddy Virgantara Putra Phuspa, Sisca Mayang Pradana, Kelvin R Muh Yusril Harmawan Ratih Andhika Akbar Rahma Rochmad Rochmad Sempana Hidayat, Lingga Shoffin Nahwa Utama Siti Suprihatiningsih Taufiq Sukma Aji Fitrian Taufiqurrahman Taufiqurrahman Taufiqurrahman Taufiqurrahman Triana Harmini Widya Kurniawan Wijaya, Muqoddam Husni Zaenury Adhiim Musyafa‟