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Analisis Dampak Pengeluaran Pemerintah Sektor Publik Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Inklusif Di Sumatera Barat Muhammad Irwanda; Urmatul Uska Akbar
Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) Vol. 2 No. 3 (2025): MedREP: Volume 2, No. 3, Agustus 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of public sector government expenditure on inclusive economic growth in West Sumatra Province. The main focus of this research is on four independent variables—government spending in the education, health, and infrastructure sectors, as well as the open unemployment rate—and their relationship with the dependent variable, the Inclusive Economic Growth Index (IEGI). The study utilizes panel data from 19 districts/cities in West Sumatra covering the period from 2017 to 2023. The analysis method applied is panel data regression, with model selection based on the Chow test, Hausman test, and classical assumption tests. The results show that government spending in the education sector has a positive but insignificant effect, spending in the health sector has a negative and insignificant effect, infrastructure spending has a positive and significant effect, and the open unemployment rate has a negative and significant effect on inclusive economic growth. Simultaneously, the four variables have a significant impact on the IEGI in West Sumatra. These findings highlight the importance of well-targeted regional government budget allocations in promoting equitable and inclusive economic development.
Pengaruh Sumber Daya Alam dan Infrastruktur Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Kawasan Timur Indonesia dengan Pendekatan Dynamic Panel Data Mery Am Rayna Brian; Urmatul Uska Akbar
Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) Vol. 2 No. 3 (2025): MedREP: Volume 2, No. 3, Agustus 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

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Abstract

This study aims to determine the extent of influence of natural resources and infrastructure on economic growth in Eastern Indonesia, which includes 13 provinces in the period 2016–2023. This study uses secondary data sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). With economic growth as the dependent variable and natural resources, electricity infrastructure, road infrastructure, education infrastructure as independent variables, and domestic investment as control variables. The method used is a dynamic panel data approach with Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimation using Stata14 software. The results of the study show that in the short term, the variables of previous year's economic growth, natural resources, electricity infrastructure, road infrastructure, and domestic investment have a positive and significant effect on economic growth. Conversely, educational infrastructure shows a negative and significant effect on economic growth. In the long term, it shows that the variables of electricity infrastructure, road infrastructure, and domestic investment have a positive and significant effect on economic growth. Conversely, educational infrastructure shows a negative and significant effect and natural resources have a positive and insignificant effect on economic growth in Eastern Indonesia in 2016–2023.
Pengaruh Kebijakan Fiskal dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka di Indonesia Minda Surelvi; Urmatul Uska Akbar
Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) Vol. 2 No. 3 (2025): MedREP: Volume 2, No. 3, Agustus 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

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Abstract

This study aims to examine the effects of: (1) government expenditure, (2) tax revenue, and (3) gross domestic product on the open unemployment rate in Indonesia. The data used in this research are time series data covering the period from 1988 to 2023. This is a quantitative study employing the Error Correction Model (ECM). The findings reveal that: (1) In the long run, government expenditure, tax revenue, and gross domestic product have a negative and significant effect on the open unemployment rate in Indonesia. (2) In the short run, tax revenue and gross domestic product have a negative and significant effect on the open unemployment rate in Indonesia, while government expenditure has no significant effect on the open unemployment rate. These findings highlight the importance of fiscal reforms oriented toward productive sectors and the enhancement of economic growth quality to sustainably reduce unemployment. Keywords: Government Expenditure, Tax Revenue, Gross Domestic Product, Error Correction Model (ECM)