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<![CDATA[ANALISIS HUBUNGAN HARGA EMAS, HARGA SAHAM, NILAI TUKAR DAN SUKU BUNGA DI INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN GRANGER CAUSALITY DAN VECTOR ERROR CORRECTION MODEL (VECM) ]]>
<![CDATA[Sriwulan, Junita]]>;
<![CDATA[Ariusni, Ariusni]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 2, No 2 (2020): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Negeri Padang ]]>
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DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v2i2.8968
<![CDATA[This studi aim to indentify and analyze the realtionship between Gold Price, Stock Price, Exchange rate and Interest rate in Indonesia. The type of this research is associative descriptive research. Where the data used is monthly data of time series from January 2014 to December 2019 obtained from Bank of Indonesia (BI) and hargaemas.org. Analysis model uses Granger Block Causality, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to see interaction the long and short term between of variabel, Impluse Response Function (IRF) and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) in looking at the response of variability to the variables to the variables associated with those shown by other endogenous variables. The finding of this study indicate that:(1) There is a one way causality relationship between interest rate and gold price, where only  interest rate affects gold price. (2) In the short run, Shock of stock price, exchange rate and interest rate do not contribute to the variability of gold price in Indonesia, but shock of exchange rate is only to variability response of gold price on long run. (3) Shock of gold price, exchange rate and interest rate do not contribute to the variability of stock price in short term but variability of stock price is only based on long term gold price shock. (4) Exchange rate variability is contribute by stock price in the short and long term. But, in the long run shock interest rate also to the varibility of stock price. (5) Variability of interest rate is only contibuted by gold price in the short and long term in Indonesia.]]>
<![CDATA[PENGARUH FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT, INVESTASI ASING LANGSUNG DAN URBANISASI TERHADAP KETIMPANGAN PENDAPATAN DI INDONESIA ]]>
<![CDATA[Restulillah, Fajar Hendito]]>;
<![CDATA[Ariusni, Ariusni]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 2, No 4 (2020): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Negeri Padang ]]>
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DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v2i4.10375
<![CDATA[Abstract : This study aims to determine the effect of financial development on incomeinequality in Indonesia. The influence between foreign direct investment and incomeinequality in Indonesia. The influence between urbanization and income inequality inIndonesia. The data in this study uses secondary data from 1981 to 2018 obtained fromthe BPS and World Bank websites. This study uses multiple linear regression models. Aswell as data analysis used, namely descriptive analysis and inductive, in inductiveanalysis there are several tests in it including: (1) Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) test, (2)Classical Assumption Test (3) Error Correction Model (ECM)(4) Final results of longtermequations, (5) Hypothesis Test. The results of this study found that in the long termfinancial development has a significant positive effect, foreign direct investment has asignificant negative effect and urbanization has a positive and significant effect onincome inequality in Indonesia. Meanwhile, in the short term financial development has apositive and insignificant effect, foreign direct investment has no significant positiveeffect and urbanization has a negative and insignificant effect on income inequality inIndonesia.Keyword : Financial Development, Foreign Direct Investment, Urbanization and IncomeInequality]]>
<![CDATA[PENGARUH HARGA MINYAK DUNIA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA (MODERASI VARIABEL MONETER) ]]>
<![CDATA[Sari, Wilda Novita]]>;
<![CDATA[Ariusni, Ariusni]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 2, No 3 (2020): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Negeri Padang ]]>
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DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v2i3.10289
<![CDATA[Abstract: The purpose of this research is to be able to determine the effect of world oil prices on economic growth in Indonesia by applying the exchange rate moderating variable and the BI rate as a connecting variable. Descriptive and associative research is a type of research that is used with data collection techniques through a trusted official agency website that is classified in the quarterly time series secondary data. The data year in this study was from 2006 to 2018. Data analysis was carried out through descriptive and inductive analysis with a Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) data analysis tool accompanied by a classic assumption test and a t test. Estimation results show that there are two research results; firstly, that the exchange rate has an effect on moderating the relationship between world oil prices and economic growth in Indonesia, secondly, that the BI rate has no influence connecting world oil prices and economic growth in Indonesia. Keywords: World oil prices, economic growth, exchange rates, BI rate, Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA).]]>
<![CDATA[ANALISIS PENGARUH REMITANSI, INVESTASI ASING LANGSUNG, IMPOR DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA ]]>
<![CDATA[Putri, Regina Septriani]]>;
<![CDATA[Ariusni, Ariusni]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 2, No 4 (2020): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Negeri Padang ]]>
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DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v2i4.10383
<![CDATA[Abstract : This study examined and analysis the effect of remittances, foreigndirect investment, imports, and economic growth in Indonesia in the long run andshort run. This study using Error Correction Model (ECM) method and using theannual time series data from 1989 to 2018. This study found that: (1) remittancehave an insignificant positive effect on economic growth in the long run and shortrun,(2)foreign direct investment have a significant positive impact on economicgrowth in the long run and short run, (3) import have an insignificant positiveimpact on economic growth both in the long run and short run. To increase theeconomic growth in the future, this study suggests the government to decresingimports of consume goods and increasing the inflow of capital goods, rawmaterial goods, remittances and foreign direct investment.Keyword : Remittance, Foreign Direct Investment, Import, Economic Growth andECM]]>
<![CDATA[PENGARUH FASILITAS RUMAH TERHADAP KESEJAHTERAAN MASYARAKAT KABUPATEN KEPULAUAN MENTAWAI ]]>
<![CDATA[Illahi, Feby Mega]]>;
<![CDATA[Ariusni, Ariusni]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 2, No 2 (2020): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Negeri Padang ]]>
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DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v2i2.8967
<![CDATA[This study aims to determine: (1) The Effect of Electricity Availability on people's welfare. (2) Effect of Availability of Clean Water on people’s welfare. (3) Effect of Sanitation on people's welfare. (4) Effect of Housing Ownership Status on people's welfare. (5) Effects of Electricity Availability, Availability of Clean Water, Sanitation and Home Ownership Status on people's welfare. This type of research is descriptive and associative. The type of data used is secondary data, namely 2018 SUSENAS data conducted by the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). The analytical tool used is multiple linear regression analysis.The results of this study indicate that: (1) Electricity Availability has a positive and significant effect on people's welfare. (2) The availability of clean water has a positive and significant effect on people's welfare. (3) Sanitation has a positive and significant effect on people's welfare. (4) House Ownership Status has a negative and not significant effect on people's welfare. (5) Availability of Electricity, Availability of Clean Water, Sanitation and Home Ownership Status has a positive and significant impact on people's welfare.Based on the results of the study, it is recommended that the Mentawai Islands Regency government focus on infrastructure development especially those related to electricity, clean water and sanitation. This is done so that the welfare of the people in the Mentawai Islands Regency can be improved.]]>
<![CDATA[FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI FERTILITAS DI PROVINSI SUMATERA BARAT ]]>
<![CDATA[Suci Fitri H]]>;
<![CDATA[Idris Idris]]>;
<![CDATA[Ariusni Ariusni]]>
<![CDATA[ Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 4, No 2 (2015): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Negeri Padang ]]>
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DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.10966557.00
<![CDATA[The high fertility caused by people not running a government program that the family planning program (KB). This study aims to identify factors that affect fertility. See the phenomenon generally occurs, the problem can be formulated in this research is how the influence of neighborhood income level, maternal education, age at first marriage, and the use of family planning in West Sumatra. This study uses data Susenas 2013.Populasi research is the mother who gave birth to a child living in West Sumatra. Samples are taken 5528orang.Sampel spread in 19 regencies / cities in West Sumatra province both in urban areas and in pedesaan.Uji hypothesis is G test and the Wald test with 5% significance level. Based on research conducted seen that jointly RT level of income, maternal education, age at first marriage, and the use of family planning significant effect on fertility in West Sumatra.Keywords: fertility, income, materal education, age of first mating, kb]]>
<![CDATA[Determinan Variabel Makroekonomi Terhadap Kemiskinan di Indonesia ]]>
<![CDATA[Nurul Hidayati]]>;
<![CDATA[Ariusni Ariusni]]>
<![CDATA[ Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 8, No 1 (2019): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Negeri Padang ]]>
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DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.11519557.00
<![CDATA[This study aims to determine and analyze the effects of (1) Economic Growth, (2) Unemployment and (3) Poverty Alleviation Poverty Policy in Indonesia using the method of multiple linear equations (OLS). The results of estimation of multiple linear equations show that (1) economic growth with national income indicators has a significant negative effect on poverty in Indonesia, (2) unemployment has a significant positive effect on poverty in Indonesia, (3) poverty alleviation policies have no significant negative effect on poverty in Indonesia. Indonesia. Based on the results of this study, the government is expected to be able to make certain policies and programs for the poor through increasing economic growth, development and providing employment for unemployed people and it is hoped that poverty reduction policies made by the government can reduce poverty in Indonesia.]]>
<![CDATA[APLIKASI PENDEKATAN KESEIMBANGAN PORTOFOLIO ANALISIS NILAI TAMBAH DAN ELASTISITAS KESEMPATAN KERJA PADA INDUSTRI KECIL PENGERINGAN DAN PENGOLAHANIKAN DI KOTA PADANG ]]>
<![CDATA[Ariusni Ariusni]]>
<![CDATA[ Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 5, No 1 (2016): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Negeri Padang ]]>
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DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.10976057.00
<![CDATA[The purpose of this study is to determine (a). The value of the cost and the revenue, (b). The added value and (c). Employment elasticity value of the fish processing industry in the city of Padang. The analysis tool used is multiple linear regression and also use Hayami method. Our research found that there is significant and positive production capacity to value added in industrial dryingband processing fish in Padang. Variable value raw materials to value added in industrial drying and processing fish in Padang significant and positive impact. The variable amount of labor to value added in industrial drying and processing fish in the city of Padang was not significant and positive impact. Variable selling price to value added in industrial drying and processing fish in Padang positive and significant effect. Variable labor costs to value added in industrial drying and processing fish in the city of Padang was not significant and negative effect. Other variable costs to value added in industrial drying and processing fish in Padang significant and negative effect. While the average yield added value there at 30 industrial drying and processing fish in Padang is very large, amounting to Rp. 78,445,203 and an average elasticity of labor in fish drying and processing industry in the city of Padang is inelastic at 0.2093.Keywords : value added, Elasticity, Industry, employment]]>
<![CDATA[Analisis Kausalitas Migrasi, Keanekaragaman dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia ]]>
<![CDATA[Della Marsel Feni]]>;
<![CDATA[Ariusni Ariusni]]>
<![CDATA[ Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 9, No 1 (2020): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Negeri Padang ]]>
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DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.11549857.00
<![CDATA[This research aims to determine whether there is a causal relationship between migration,diversity and economic growth in Indonesia. The data used are secondary data in the form of panels in 2000 and 2010, with the techniques of collection data in the form of documentation and study of literature obtained from relevant institutions and agencies. The variables use are migration, diversity, and economic growth. The research method used is Granger Causality Tests. The result show that (1) there is no causal relationship between migration and economic growth, but there is a one-way relathionship that is migration affects economic growth. (2) there is no causality or one-way relationship between diversity and economic growth. (3) there is no causality between migration and diversity]]>
<![CDATA[Analisis Kausalitas Jumlah Penduduk, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan Kesejahteraan Masyarakat di Provinsi Jambi ]]>
<![CDATA[Dimas Bagus Prayoga]]>;
<![CDATA[Idris Idris]]>;
<![CDATA[Ariusni Ariusni]]>
<![CDATA[ Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 8, No 2 (2019): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Negeri Padang ]]>
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DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.11522757.00
<![CDATA[This study aims to examine the relation of causality of population, economic growth and prosperity of society in jambi province. The data used is panel data during the period 2004-2016. The data analysis tools used are Panel Granger Causality Test and Panel Vector Autoregression (PVAR). This study finds that the welfare of society does not have causality relation to population, vice versa. People's welfare has a causal relationship to economic growth and vice versa. And the population does not have causality relation to economic growth, but economic growth has relation to population. The results of PVAR found that the welfare of the community during a particular period was significantly influenced by the welfare of the community in the previous period, as well as the population and economic growth.]]>
