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Pengaruh Dana Alokasi Umum, Dana Alokasi Khusus dan Pendapatan Asli Daerah Terhadap Kemandirian Keuangan di Provinsi Papua Priskila Titaley; Richard Patty; Pisi Bethania Titalessy
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan Vol 13 No 1 (2026)
Publisher : Universitas Cenderawasih

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56076/jkesp.v13i1.5591

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of General Allocation Fund, Special Allocation Fund, and Local Own-Source Revenue on the financial independence of districts and cities in Papua Province for the period 2018-2025. The method used is quantitative with panel data regression, combining 8 years of time series data and cross-section data from 9 districts and cities, resulting in 72 observational units. Model selection through the Chow Test and Hausman Test yielded the Fixed Effect Model as the best model, with hypothesis testing using t-test, F-test, and coefficient of determination. The results show that the average financial independence is only 4.86 percent (very low category). Partially, the General Allocation Fund has a negative and significant effect (prob. 0.0003), consistent with the flypaper effect theory; the Special Allocation Fund has no significant effect (prob. 0.3569); and Local Own-Source Revenue has a positive and significant effect (prob. 0.0000). Simultaneously, all three variables have a significant effect with an R² value of 98.19 percent. Keywords: General Allocation Fund, Special Allocation Fund, Local Own-Source Revenue, Financial Independence
Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Rupiah, Suku Bunga, dan Inflasi terhadap Neraca Perdagangan Indonesia Tahun 2016-2025 Chaaren Esterliz Ohee; Elsyan R. Marlissa; Pisi Bethania Titalessy
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan Vol 13 No 2 (2026)
Publisher : Universitas Cenderawasih

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56076/jkesp.v13i2.5952

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the partial effect of the rupiah exchange rate, interest rates, and inflation on Indonesia's trade balance, to examine the simultaneous effect of these three variables on Indonesia's trade balance, and to identify the most dominant variable influencing Indonesia's trade balance during the period 2016–2025. This study employs a quantitative approach using secondary data in the form of annual time series data obtained from Statistics Indonesia (BPS), Bank Indonesia (BI), and the World Bank, with a total of ten annual observations. The analytical method used is multiple linear regression with the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimation, supported by classical assumption tests including normality test, multicollinearity test, heteroscedasticity test, and autocorrelation test, as well as hypothesis testing through partial test (t-test), simultaneous test (F-test), and coefficient of determination (R²). The results indicate that partially, the rupiah exchange rate has a positive and significant effect on Indonesia's trade balance, while interest rates have a negative but insignificant effect and inflation has a positive but insignificant effect. Simultaneously, the rupiah exchange rate, interest rates, and inflation do not have a significant effect on Indonesia's trade balance. The coefficient of determination indicates that a large portion of the variation in Indonesia's trade balance can be explained by the three variables, while the remainder is influenced by other factors outside the research model. The rupiah exchange rate is the most dominant variable affecting Indonesia's trade balance as it is the only variable that has a positive and significant partial effect. Keywords: Rupiah Exchange Rate, Interest Rate, Inflation, Trade Balance
Co-Authors -, La Maga Agustina Ester Antoh Agustina Ester Antoh Agustina Ester Antoh Angga Frediyanto Palloan Antoh, Agustina Ester Aprianto La’lang Kuddy Basa T Rumahorbo Bisai, Charley M. Chaaren Esterliz Ohee Charley M. Bisai Efannoris Arwimbar Elsyan R. Marlissa Elsyan Rienette Marlissa Farida Farida Gloria Alnibeth Rumangkito Hamzah, Hardi Hardi Hamzah Harikedua, Alfani Laura Herlina Irianti Mulyono Herlina Irianti Mulyono Herold Efandel Warkerkwa Hesti Murwaniputri Himawan Himawan Himawan Himawan Ida Ayu Purba Ida Ayu Purba Riani Imam Mishbach Imam Mishbach Imanuel Kefas Oktovianus Fairyo Inovasi Talita Mandripon Jela Ramsis Tabuni Jelita Jitmau Jitro Carl Stevan Tandi Joice Ta’bi Julius Ary Mollet Kambu, Hendrik Kusuma, Airlangga Surya La Maga - Levianto, Jubei Lolita Tuhumena Maga, La Maklon Warpur Manik, Hardo Firmana Given Grace Marsi Adi Purwadi Marsi Adi Purwadi Marsi Adi Purwadi Matuan, Fetronela Mellyanti Eka Putri Mesak Iek Mesak Iek Mulyono, Herlina Irianti Nicea Roona Paranoan Novelyarosa Ambar Chelsea Pailah Palloan, Angga Frediyanto Popi Ida Laila Ayer Priskila Titaley Radian Januari Situmeang Rahmat Rahmat Rangga Almahendra Richard Patty Richard Patty Richard Patty Risakotta, Tesalonika Kezia Rumalutur, Tince Rut Penina Somisu Sarlota Arrang Ratang Sisilia Kukimuna Amewop Stephanny Inagama Timisela Stephanny Inagama Timisela Stephanny Inagama Timisela, Stephanny Inagama Transna Putra Urip Transna Putra Urip Urip S, Transna Putra Yundy Hafizrianda Yundy Hafizrianda Yundy Hafizrianda Yundy Hafizrianda, Yundy Zulhendri Zulhendri Zulhendri Zulhendri