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KOMPLEKS KEAMANAN REGIONAL INDO-PASIFIK SEBAGAI FAKTOR PEMICU PEMBENTUKAN AUKUS Pradono Budi Saputro; Alessandro Kurniawan Ulung; Muhammad Abdurrohim
Journal Publicuho Vol. 7 No. 4 (2024): November - January - Journal Publicuho
Publisher : Halu Oleo University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35817/publicuho.v7i4.568

The Indo-Pacific region is currently at risk of developing into a regional security complex. The Indo-Pacific saw a rise in enmity patterns among states in this region. This issue arises because China’s more assertive regional policy, especially the United States, makes other states uneasy. This paper questioned whether China’s aggressiveness was the only factor driving the establishment of AUKUS. Using a qualitative method with interpretative analysis, this paper, therefore, aims to research further the Indo-Pacific’s rising amity and enmity patterns that led to the AUKUS establishment. The authors will employ four variables from Barry Buzan and Ole Wæver’s regional security complex theory, namely boundary, anarchic structure, polarity, and social construction, to comprehend and explain these patterns. Based on the findings, the authors concluded that each of these four variables played a part in changing the Indo-Pacific strategic environment and encouraged the United States, the United Kingdom, and Australia to deepen their partnerships through AUKUS.

An Analysis of the Effectiveness of the Bandung-Kawasaki Gesuido (BKG) project within a Sister City Partnership Framework Ulung, Alessandro Kurniawan; Saputro, Pradono Budi; Setiawan, Yuli
Jurnal Ilmiah Dinamika Sosial Vol 10 No 1 (2026)
Publisher : Universitas Pendidikan Nasional

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.38043/jids.v10i1.7529

This study examines the effectiveness of the Bandung–Kawasaki Gesuido (BKG) Project within the sister city partnership between the governments of Bandung and Kawasaki. The project aims to facilitate collaboration between the two cities in addressing wastewater management challenges in Bandung. Accordingly, this study poses the following research question: How effective is the BKG Project in implementing the Bandung–Kawasaki sister city partnership? This study applies Kevin O’Toole’s theoretical framework on the phases of sister city partnerships and adopts a mixed-methods approach. Data were collected and analyzed through interviews, questionnaires, observations, and a literature review. Questionnaires were distributed to nearly 200 respondents, including teachers, students, and staff of the Bandung administration. The findings show that the Bandung–Kawasaki partnership is currently in the reciprocative phase, with the BKG Project as its main initiative. At this stage, the BKG Project has been effective in facilitating knowledge transfer from Kawasaki to Bandung. This process enables the Kawasaki government to support capacity development among staff of the Bandung administration, as well as teachers and elementary school students, in improving wastewater management practices in Bandung. The novelty of this research lies in its focus on assessing the BKG Project, making it the first study to do so. This study contributes to the growing body of literature on sister city partnerships in Indonesia and offers insights into ongoing debates about their practical impact and value.

THE REORIENTATION OF THE UNITED KINGDOM’S FOREIGN POLICY TOWARDS THE INDO-PACIFIC: A NEOCLASSICAL REALIST ANALYSIS Fajar Oktavianto; Pradono Budi Saputro; Muhammad Abdurrohim; Andina Mustika Ayu
Kajian Asia Pasifik Vol 10 No 1 (2026): January - June 2026
Publisher : International Relations Study Program of Universitas Kristen Indonesia (UKI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33541/japs.v10i1.8101

This article analyzes the reorientation of the United Kingdom’s foreign policy towards the Indo-Pacific during 2021–2023. Gideon Rose’s neoclassical realism serves as the analytical framework, applying concepts of balance of power and domestic politics. This article argues that both domestic and regional systemic factors drive the foreign policy reorientation. It highlights how internal dynamics, particularly domestic politics, as well as external pressures such as geopolitical competition and security in the Indo-Pacific shape the United Kingdom’s strategic orientation. Employing an explanatory qualitative approach, this article integrates literature review and expert interviews to provide deeper insights into the United Kingdom’s foreign policy. The objective is to explain how domestic conditions and international structures interact to influence the reorientation of focus of the United Kingdom’s foreign policy. Research findings reveal that the United Kingdom seeks economic and trade opportunities in the Indo-Pacific while reinforcing its strategic position globally. Evidence of this policy reorientation appears in United Kingdom’s participation in alliances like AUKUS and in expanding economic cooperation with Indo-Pacific states.

DECIPHERING FINLAND’S PIVOT: NEOCLASSICAL REALISM AND THE DECISION TO JOIN NATO IN 2022 Arthamevya Zherlindya Putri Darmawan; Fahlesa Munabari; Pradono Budi Saputro
Intermestic: Journal of International Studies Vol 10 No 1 (2025)
Publisher : Departemen Hubungan Internasional, Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik, Universitas Padjadjaran

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24198/intermestic.v10n1.10

This study examines Finland’s decision to join NATO in 2022 through the lens of Neoclassical Realism, analyzing the interplay between systemic threats and domestic political factors. Employing qualitative methods, including literature review and expert interviews, the research investigates how shifts in regional power dynamics, fueled by NATO’s eastward expansion and Russia’s military actions, created systemic pressures. Concurrently, domestic media framing, public opinion, and elite debates mediated these external influences, shaping Finland’s foreign policy response. Findings reveal that the convergence of systemic security threats and domestic political dynamics prompted a strategic pivot, illustrating the significance of domestic actors and perceptions in small state foreign policy under conditions of systemic threat. This research advances understanding of alliance formation by integrating systemic and domestic-level analyses, contributing valuable insights into regional security and NATO’s evolving role in Europe.

Peluang dan Tantangan Indonesia-Australia Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Pasca Terbentuknya Kerja Sama Pertahanan Trilateral AUKUS Pradono Budi Saputro; A. Kurniawan Ulung; Muhammad Abdurrohim; Al Hafizh
Indonesian Perspective Vol 9, No 1 (2024): (Juni 2024)
Publisher : Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/ip.v9i1.52062

Indonesia and Australia are neighboring countries with fluctuate bilateral relations. In 2018, they formed Indonesia-Australia Comprehensive Strategic Partnership (IA-CSP) to enhance their partnerships in strategic sectors for the stability of regional security in the Indo-Pacific. However, the problem came up in 2021 when Australia established trilateral defense cooperation AUKUS with the United Kingdom and the United States. This cooperation facilitates Australia to have nuclear-powered submarines to strengthen its military power. This cooperation has raised the eyebrows of Indonesia as it is against IA-CSP’s pillars, particularly pillar on securing the two countries and the region’s shared interest, and pillar on contributing to Indo-Pacific stability and prosperity. Therefore, Indonesia regretted Australia’s participation in AUKUS because the former deemed the latter to have violated its commitment on IA-CSP. This research aims to analyze IA-CSP’s opportunities and challenges post-establishment of AUKUS. It used a qualitative method, with interviews and literature review in place to collect data. The authors used regional security complex theory and strategic partnership concept for analysis. This research found that AUKUS does not disrupt the implementation of IA-CSP because the cooperation instead provides opportunities that Indonesia can utilize for its national interest. However, AUKUS poses challenges that Indonesia needs to tackle.

Peluang dan Tantangan Indonesia-Australia Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Pasca Terbentuknya Kerja Sama Pertahanan Trilateral AUKUS Pradono Budi Saputro; A. Kurniawan Ulung; Muhammad Abdurrohim; Al Hafizh
Indonesian Perspective Vol 9, No 1 (2024): (Juni 2024)
Publisher : Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/ip.v9i1.52062

Indonesia and Australia are neighboring countries with fluctuate bilateral relations. In 2018, they formed Indonesia-Australia Comprehensive Strategic Partnership (IA-CSP) to enhance their partnerships in strategic sectors for the stability of regional security in the Indo-Pacific. However, the problem came up in 2021 when Australia established trilateral defense cooperation AUKUS with the United Kingdom and the United States. This cooperation facilitates Australia to have nuclear-powered submarines to strengthen its military power. This cooperation has raised the eyebrows of Indonesia as it is against IA-CSP’s pillars, particularly pillar on securing the two countries and the region’s shared interest, and pillar on contributing to Indo-Pacific stability and prosperity. Therefore, Indonesia regretted Australia’s participation in AUKUS because the former deemed the latter to have violated its commitment on IA-CSP. This research aims to analyze IA-CSP’s opportunities and challenges post-establishment of AUKUS. It used a qualitative method, with interviews and literature review in place to collect data. The authors used regional security complex theory and strategic partnership concept for analysis. This research found that AUKUS does not disrupt the implementation of IA-CSP because the cooperation instead provides opportunities that Indonesia can utilize for its national interest. However, AUKUS poses challenges that Indonesia needs to tackle.

From Tianxia to a Global Norm? The Limits of Diffusing China’s Community of Shared Future for Mankind Ratu Salmazahra Karmilawaty; Pradono Budi Saputro; Fahlesa Munabari
Global Political Studies Journal Vol. 10 No. 1 (2026): Global Political Studies Journal
Publisher : Universitas Komputer Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34010/gpsjournal.v10i1.19826

China presents the Community of Shared Future for Mankind (CSFM) as a universal response to fractured global governance. However, it remains unclear how ideas associated with Tianxia are rearticulated in CSFM and whether repetition in international institutions demonstrates norm acceptance. This article uses an interpretive qualitative case study and directed content analysis of a purposively bounded corpus of 13 documents from 2013 to 2023, triangulated with critical scholarship and three expert interviews. It identifies thematic resonances that the contemporary Tianxia literature associates with relationality, harmony, and moral responsibility, selectively rearticulated in a vocabulary of sovereignty, development, and multilateralism. Across the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), and United Nations (UN), the strongest observable mechanisms are discursive coupling and negotiated textual inscription; material cooperation does not, by itself, establish normative adoption. Fragmented BRI implementation, negotiated AIIB design, heterogeneous SCO interests, and a divided UN Human Rights Council vote indicate selective and contested uptake. The article adds to this by separating norm promotion, institutional inscription, external uptake, and internalization. CSFM is therefore best assessed as a broad normative frame under sustained state-led promotion, rather than as a norm that has entered an established cascade. Keywords—China, Community of Shared Future for Mankind, Constructivism, Norm Diffusion, Tianxia

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