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Exploring the influence of soft information from economic news on exchange rate and gold price movements Prastowo, Rahardito Dio; Budi, Indra; Ramadiah, Amanah; Santoso, Aris Budi; Putra, Prabu Kresna
IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) Vol 14, No 6: December 2025
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijai.v14.i6.pp5231-5239

Abstract

Information on business conditions is an important concern for market players and regulators. Hard information relates to easily validated characteristics such as production levels and employment conditions. In contrast, soft information such as consumer and public perceptions—is subjective and difficult to verify. Although previous studies on hard and soft information mainly focus on microeconomics and banking, current developments in big data and machine learning enable broader applications in financial market analysis. This study combined VADER sentiment analysis and support vector machine (SVM) classification (accuracy=85%) to analyze economic news, followed by Granger causality and multiple linear regression to examine causal effects and predictive relationships. The findings reveal that negative news sentiment and the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) exchange rate influence each other, while positive sentiment has no causal impact on the exchange rate. Both negative and positive sentiments affect gold prices, whereas gold price movements do not influence sentiment. Regression analysis shows that negative sentiment has a stronger effect in decreasing the IDR exchange rate than positive sentiment, with the model explaining approximately 20% of the variance. Integrating sentiment and exchange rate data enhances the predictive model for gold price forecasting and highlights the asymmetric roles of positive and negative news in financial dynamics.
Dinamika Opini Publik Indonesia terhadap Krisis Rohingya dalam Perspektif Waktu menggunakan Traditional Machine Learning dan Deep Learning Istiqomah, Relaci Aprilia; Budi, Indra
The Indonesian Journal of Computer Science Vol. 13 No. 3 (2024): The Indonesian Journal of Computer Science
Publisher : AI Society & STMIK Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33022/ijcs.v13i3.4069

Abstract

The Rohingya are an ethnic minority who currently still face persecution and discrimination in Myanmar, so they have to flee to neighboring countries, such as Indonesia. However, the polemic regarding the issue of the existence of Rohingya refugees in Indonesia still shows that there are differences of opinion between groups who support and oppose it. For this reason, this research aims to determine the dynamics of Indonesian public opinion regarding the Rohingya from 2015-2023 via Twitter, as well as find out the topics that are often discussed each year using LDA. This research compares classification methods using traditional machine learning algorithms (NB, SVM, LR, and DT) and deep learning algorithms (LSTM, GRU, LSTM-GRU, and GRU-LSTM). The research results show that the traditional machine learning algorithm, LR, has the highest accuracy. There has been a change in sentiment from initially being dominated by positive sentiment to negative sentiment which is more dominant in the last five years. The topics that are often discussed for positive sentiment are the support of the Indonesian people for the Rohingya in providing assistance and shelter, while the negative topics are related to concerns about the social, economic, and security impacts that may be caused by the presence of Rohingya refugees.
Comparative Topic Modelling of Mobile Banking User Reviews Using LDA and BERTopic: A Case Study of wondr by BNI Halim, Dicky; Budi, Indra; Mubina, Basma Fathan; Budi Santoso, Aris; Kresna Putra, Prabu
The Indonesian Journal of Computer Science Vol. 15 No. 2 (2026): The Indonesian Journal of Computer Science
Publisher : AI Society & STMIK Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33022/ijcs.v15i2.5118

Abstract

This study explores user reviews of the Wondr mobile banking application to identify factors that influence user experience and service quality. The dataset, obtained from the Google Play Store, was processed through several preprocessing steps, including normalization, stopword removal, and stemming. Two topic modelling methods were applied: Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) as a probabilistic baseline and BERTopic as an embedding-based approach. The LDA model was evaluated using coherence scores to determine the most suitable number of topics, while BERTopic was assessed based on topic distribution, interpretability, and additional coherence analysis. The results show that BERTopic produces more semantically meaningful and contextually rich topics, particularly in capturing short-text user reviews. Although BERTopic achieves lower overall coherence compared to LDA, certain topics demonstrate high semantic consistency, especially for well-defined issues such as login verification problems. The analysis reveals that most user feedback is concentrated on positive user experience, while critical issues related to login verification and system errors remain significant concerns. These findings provide actionable insights for improving mobile banking services and demonstrate the effectiveness of embedding-based topic modeling in financial text analytics. These findings highlight a trade-off between statistical consistency and semantic richness in topic modeling approaches. The results provide actionable insights for improving mobile banking services and demonstrate the effectiveness of combining probabilistic and embedding-based methods in financial text analytics.