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Pengaruh PAD, Belanja Modal, dan Penerimaan Pembiayaan terhadap Pengeluaran Pemerintah di Provinsi DKI Jakarta Agmirsya, Dwilita; Dewi, Eva Sherlina; Pamungkas, Agustina Anantalia; Septiani, Yustirania
WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 5, No 2 (2024): November
Publisher : Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan, Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Siliwangi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37058/wlfr.v5i2.14415

This study aims to analyze and evaluate the extent of the influence of Regional Original Revenue (PAD), Capital Expenditure, and Regional Financing Receipts on the Government Expenditure of Jakarta Province. The data used in this study is secondary time-series data covering the period from 2015 to 2022, sourced from One Data Jakarta Province. Data analysis was conducted using a quantitative approach through multiple linear regression model equations. The results of the study indicate that, simultaneously (F-test), PAD, capital expenditure, and regional financing receipts significantly influence the government expenditure of Jakarta Province. Partially, Regional Original Revenue (PAD) and Regional Expenditure have a positive and significant impact on the Government Expenditure of Jakarta Province. Meanwhile, Regional Financing Receipts have a negative and significant effect on the Government Expenditure of Jakarta Province. The implications of these findings suggest that the local government is expected to maximize regional expenditures that support efforts to enhance and strengthen the potential of PAD in DKI Jakarta Province.Penelitian ini bermaksud untuk menganalisis dan mengevaluasi sejauh mana pengaruh dari Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD), Belanja Modal, dan Penerimaan Pembiayaan Daerah terhadap Pengeluaran Pemerintah Provinsi Jakarta. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data sekunder time series rentang periode tahun 2015–2022 bersumber dari Satu Data Provinsi Jakarta. Analisis data dilakukan dengan pendekatan kuantitatif melalui persamaan model regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara simultan (uji F) PAD, belanja modal dan penerimaan pembiayaan daerah berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pengeluaran pemerintah Provinsi Daerah Jakarta. Secara parsial Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD) dan Belanja Daerah memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap Pengeluaran Pemerintah Provinsi Jakarta. Penerimaan Pembiayaan Daerah berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap Pengeluaran Pemerintah Provinsi Jakarta. Implikasi dari hasil penelitian ini, pemerintah setempat diharapakan mampu memaksimalkan belanja daerah yang mendukung upaya peningkatan dan memperkuat potensi PAD Provinsi DKI Jakarta.

Economic Potential Study on the Agricultural Sector as a Leading Sector in Central Java Province, Indonesia Hutajulu, Dinar Melani; Septiani, Yustirania; Sugiharti, Rr Retno; Indrawati, Lucita Rita; Sarfiah, Sudati Nur
Wiga : Jurnal Penelitian Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 15 No. 1 (2025): March 2025
Publisher : Institut Teknologi dan Bisnis Widya Gama Lumajang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30741/wiga.v15i1.1121

The agricultural sector is the third-largest contributor to Central Java’s GRDP and continues to grow annually. Despite this, labor absorption in agriculture remains low, and the declining farmer’s exchange rate indicates worsening farmer welfare. This study aims to analyze the economic base, growth potential, and sectoral mapping of agriculture in Central Java. The research employs several analytical tools including Location Quotient (LQ), Growth Ratio Model (GRM), Overlay Analysis, and the BCG Matrix. Results show that sub-sectors such as food crops, horticulture, livestock, and agricultural and hunting services are the economic base of the region, maintaining their relevance both before 2019 and after 2022 the COVID-19 pandemic. Among them, horticulture demonstrates strong growth potential, while food crops, livestock, and agricultural services also show opportunities for development. The BCG Matrix further highlights horticultural crops and agricultural services as the primary drivers of growth. These findings suggest that targeted government support and policy prioritization toward these key sub-sectors are essential for sustaining agricultural advancement and improving farmer welfare in the region.

Dampak upah minimum, IPM, dan partisipasi angkatan kerja terhadap pengangguran: Analisis data panel lima kabupaten Jawa Tengah Salsabila , ‘Ainun Hanum; Rahmatillah, Agisva Elvatikha; Arwansa, Damai; Mukharohmah, Maulia Siti; Septiani, Yustirania
Journal of Economics Research and Policy Studies Vol. 5 No. 1 (2025): Journal of Economics Research and Policy Studies
Publisher : Nur Science Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.53088/jerps.v5i1.1864

This study examines the factors influencing the open unemployment rate in five regencies—Brebes, Cilacap, Tegal, Pemalang, and Banyumas—during 2017–2023. These regions were selected due to their consistently higher unemployment rates than the national average. The variables analyzed include the Regency Minimum Wage, Human Development Index (HDI), and Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR). The Random Effects Model (REM) conducted a panel data regression analysis. The results show that the minimum wage significantly affects the open unemployment rate, while HDI and LFPR have significant adverse effects. These variables explain a substantial portion of unemployment variation across the selected regencies. The findings suggest that policymakers should balance wage regulations, increase investment in education and health, and promote industrial development to support job creation. The results provide empirical insights to assist local governments, labor agencies, and other stakeholders in formulating evidence-based employment policies.

Kemiskinan di Indonesia: Analisis Faktor Ekonomi, Sosial Demografi dan Pendidikan Maulana, Winda; Putri, Jasmine Ahmadya; Saroh, Hikma May; Septiani, Yustirania; Mukharohmah, Maulia Siti
Ekopem: Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 7 No. 2 (2025): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Timor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32938/jep.v7i2.9665

Kemiskinan merupakan permasalahan yang sudah berlangsung lama dan masih menjadi permasalahan utama yang sedang berlangsung di Indonesia. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengkaji dampak faktor ekonomi, demografi, pendidikan, dan akses teknologi terhadap tingkat kemiskinan di 34 provinsi di Indonesia tahun 2020 sampai dengan tahun 2023. Variabel yang diteliti meliputi Laju PDRB, angka kelahiran, RLS, dan kepemilikan telepon seluler. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode kuantitatif dengan analisis regresi data panel menggunakan Fixed Effects Model, dan pengolahan data dilakukan dengan menggunakan perangkat lunak E-Views 12. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa RLS berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap kemiskinan, sedangkan Laju PDRB justru menunjukkan dampak positif yang signifikan. Angka kelahiran dan kepemilikan telepon seluler tidak menunjukkan dampak yang signifikan. Temuan tersebut menunjukkan bahwa peningkatan pendidikan memiliki peran penting dalam penanggulangan kemiskinan, sedangkan pertumbuhan ekonomi harus diarahkan agar lebih inklusif.

Pengaruh PAD, Belanja Modal, dan Penerimaan Pembiayaan terhadap Pengeluaran Pemerintah di Provinsi DKI Jakarta Agmirsya, Dwilita; Dewi, Eva Sherlina; Pamungkas, Agustina Anantalia; Septiani, Yustirania
WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 5, No 2 (2024): November
Publisher : Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan, Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Siliwangi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37058/wlfr.v5i2.11591

This study aims to analyze and evaluate the extent of the influence of Regional Original Revenue (PAD), Capital Expenditure, and Regional Financing Receipts on the Government Expenditure of Jakarta Province. The data used in this study is secondary time-series data covering the period from 2015 to 2022, sourced from One Data Jakarta Province. Data analysis was conducted using a quantitative approach through multiple linear regression model equations. The results of the study indicate that, simultaneously (F-test), PAD, capital expenditure, and regional financing receipts significantly influence the government expenditure of Jakarta Province. Partially, Regional Original Revenue (PAD) and Regional Expenditure have a positive and significant impact on the Government Expenditure of Jakarta Province. Meanwhile, Regional Financing Receipts have a negative and significant effect on the Government Expenditure of Jakarta Province. The implications of these findings suggest that the local government is expected to maximize regional expenditures that support efforts to enhance and strengthen the potential of PAD in DKI Jakarta Province.Penelitian ini bermaksud untuk menganalisis dan mengevaluasi sejauh mana pengaruh dari Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD), Belanja Modal, dan Penerimaan Pembiayaan Daerah terhadap Pengeluaran Pemerintah Provinsi Jakarta. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data sekunder time series rentang periode tahun 2015–2022 bersumber dari Satu Data Provinsi Jakarta. Analisis data dilakukan dengan pendekatan kuantitatif melalui persamaan model regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara simultan (uji F) PAD, belanja modal dan penerimaan pembiayaan daerah berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pengeluaran pemerintah Provinsi Daerah Jakarta. Secara parsial Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD) dan Belanja Daerah memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap Pengeluaran Pemerintah Provinsi Jakarta. Penerimaan Pembiayaan Daerah berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap Pengeluaran Pemerintah Provinsi Jakarta. Implikasi dari hasil penelitian ini, pemerintah setempat diharapakan mampu memaksimalkan belanja daerah yang mendukung upaya peningkatan dan memperkuat potensi PAD Provinsi DKI Jakarta.

ESTIMASI INVESTASI DAN IMPLIKASINYA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI PROVINSI RIAU Ulinni’mah, Kusuma; Panjawa, Jihad Lukis; Sari Islami, Fitrah; Septiani, Yustirania
Bina Ekonomi Vol. 29 No. 2 (2025): Bina Ekonomi: Majalah Ilmiah Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Katolik Parahyangan
Publisher : Center for Economic Studies Universitas Katolik Parahyangan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26593/03v6hn96

Economic growth is closely related to investment. Economic growth in Riau Province is still relatively low with high and fluctuating investment. Although investment levels continue to increase, economic growth is not always commensurate. This shows the potential for inefficiency in the allocation and use of investment. This study aims to analyze the value of ICOR and its efficiency needed in 2024-2026 and the relationship between investment and economic growth in Riau province. The method used descriptive quantitative methodology with secondary data in the form of time series. The analytical tools used are Incremental Capital Output Ratio (ICOR) analysis and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). From the research results, it was found that the average ICOR value of Riau is still high, which is more than 3-4, indicating that investment in Riau Province is still not efficient. Investment needs in 2024-2026 have increased along with the amount of economic growth targets that have increased. The long-term causal relationship between investment and economic growth in Riau Province only goes in one direction, namely investment towards economic growth and not vice versa. Inefficient investment is related to Riau’s poor infrastructure in the region.

ESTIMASI INVESTASI DAN IMPLIKASINYA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI PROVINSI RIAU Ulinni’mah, Kusuma; Panjawa, Jihad Lukis; Sari Islami, Fitrah; Septiani, Yustirania
Bina Ekonomi Vol. 29 No. 2 (2025): Bina Ekonomi: Majalah Ilmiah Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Katolik Parahyangan
Publisher : Center for Economic Studies Universitas Katolik Parahyangan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26593/03v6hn96

Economic growth is closely related to investment. Economic growth in Riau Province is still relatively low with high and fluctuating investment. Although investment levels continue to increase, economic growth is not always commensurate. This shows the potential for inefficiency in the allocation and use of investment. This study aims to analyze the value of ICOR and its efficiency needed in 2024-2026 and the relationship between investment and economic growth in Riau province. The method used descriptive quantitative methodology with secondary data in the form of time series. The analytical tools used are Incremental Capital Output Ratio (ICOR) analysis and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). From the research results, it was found that the average ICOR value of Riau is still high, which is more than 3-4, indicating that investment in Riau Province is still not efficient. Investment needs in 2024-2026 have increased along with the amount of economic growth targets that have increased. The long-term causal relationship between investment and economic growth in Riau Province only goes in one direction, namely investment towards economic growth and not vice versa. Inefficient investment is related to Riau’s poor infrastructure in the region.

Peran Kendal sebagai kawasan ekonomi khusus dalam transformasi ekonomi: analisis strategis dan implementasi melalui matriks SWOT Sarfiah, Sudati Nur; Septiani, Yustirania; Sugiharti, Rr. Retno
Journal of Economics Research and Policy Studies Vol. 3 No. 1 (2023): Journal of Economics Research and Policy Studies
Publisher : Nur Science Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.53088/jerps.v3i1.601

Since being designated as a Special Economic Zone (KEK), Kendal is expected to be able to become the axis of the economy on the island of Java. The establishment of KEK especially KEK Kendal is expected to stimulate investment and business growth which will have an impact on increasing employment and reducing poverty. Nationally, the purpose of creating KEK is economic equity, especially in terms of income and the competitiveness of national products. The establishment of a special economic zone requires careful preparation and commitment from all interested parties to support the implementation of the area's activities. The preparations include policies and institutions, incentives and financing, as well as infrastructure completeness according to the spatial plan. While special economic zones can offer many benefits, on the other hand many special economic zones have been criticized for their high social and economic costs. The purpose of this research is to formulate an appropriate strategy for the development of the Kendal area as a special economic zone. The SWOT matrix that has been formed has described how the strategy can be carried out in the future.

DETERMINANTS OF CO₂ EMISSIONS: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM INDONESIA Septiani, Yustirania; Sartika, Rebecca Cindy; Oktaviani, Vennesa Bagus
Jurnal REP (Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan) Vol. 10 No. 2 (2025): October 2025
Publisher : Universitas Tidar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31002/rep.v10i2.3008

Economic growth in developing countries is often accompanied by an increase in carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions. Indonesia, as one of the largest economies in Southeast Asia, deals with a dilemma between driving for Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, open trade, and high dependence on fossil energy, all of which lead to serious impacts on environmental quality. This study aims to analyze the effect of GDP, open trade, and fossil energy consumption on Indonesia’s CO₂ emissions in the period 1994–2024 using 31 annual observations. The dataset is primarily obtained from the World Bank’s. The research applies descriptive method with OLS regression. The results indicate that GDP, open trade, and fossil energy consumption have a positive and significant impact on CO₂ emissions. GDP growth drives higher emissions through industrial and economic activities that are not yet fully aligned with environmentally friendly principles. Fossil energy consumption is proven to be the main driver of emissions, while open trade also contributes to rising emissions through the scale effect of economic activities.

PENGARUH EKSPOR, IMPOR, DAN GDP TERHADAP KURS DI INDONESIA TAHUN 1990 - 2019 Uktufia, Muna; Septiani, Yustirania
Jendela Inovasi Daerah Vol 5 No 1 (2022): Februari
Publisher : Badan Perencanaan Pembangunan, Riset dan Inovasi Daerah Kota Magelang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56354/jendelainovasi.v5i1.117

Indonesia is a country that is rich in natural resources, it should have a better international trade performance in increasing the exchange rate. The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of exports, imports and GDP on the exchange rate in Indonesia in 1990-2019. The data used in this study is time series data for 1990-2019 obtained from the official website of the world bank and the Central Statistics Agency. This study uses ECM. This study analyzes the relationship between the long-term and short-term variables used. The estimation results from the cointegration equation show that in the long run Export, Import and GDP variables have a significant effect on the Exchange Rate in Indonesia.

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