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Bifurkasi Periode Ganda dan Neimark-Sacker pada Model Diskret Leslie-Gower dengan Fungsi Respon Ratio-Dependent Reza Mokodompit; Nurwan; Emli Rahmi
Limits: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Vol. 17 No. 1 (2020): Limits: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Volume 17 Nomor 1 Edisi Ju
Publisher : Pusat Publikasi Ilmiah LPPM Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Dinamika model Leslie-Gower dengan fungsi respon ratio-dependent yang didiskretisasi menggunakan skema Euler maju adalah fokus utama pada artikel ini. Analisis diawali dengan mengidentifikasi eksistensi dari titik ekuilibrium dan kestabilan lokalnya. Diperoleh empat titik ekuilibrium yaitu titik kepunahan kedua populasi dan titik kepunahan predator yang selalu tidak stabil, dan titik kepunahan prey dan eksistensi kedua populasi yang stabil kondisional. Selanjutnya dipelajari eksistensi dari bifurkasi periode ganda dan Neimark-Sacker di sekitar titik eksistensi kedua populasi sebagai akibat perubahan parameter h ( time-step ). Dari hasil analisis ditemukan bahwa bifurkasi periode ganda terjadi setelah melewati h=h_a atau h=h_c dan bifurkasi Neimark-Sacker terjadi setelah melewati h=hb. Di akhir pembahasan, diberikan simulasi numerik yang mendukung hasil analisis sebelumnya.
Implementation of K-Nearest Neighbor Algorithm on Density-Based Spatial Clustering Application with Noise Method on Stunting Clustering Gani, Friansyah; Panigoro, Hasan S.; Mahmud, Sri Lestari; Rahmi, Emli; Nasib, Salmun K.; Nashar, La Ode
JURNAL DIFERENSIAL Vol 6 No 2 (2024): November 2024
Publisher : Program Studi Matematika, Universitas Nusa Cendana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35508/jd.v6i2.16278

Abstract

This paper studies the implementation of the K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) algorithm on Density-Based Spatial Clustering Application with Noise (DBSCAN) method on stunting Clustering in the eastern region of Indonesia in 2022. The DBSCAN method is used because it is more efficient to perform the Clustering process for irregular Clustering shapes. The main objective of this study is to apply the KNN algorithm to the DBSCAN Clustering technique in 161 Districts/Cities in 11 provinces in eastern Indonesia. A comparison of the performance evaluation of the DBSCAN Clustering technique is done by considering the value of the Silhouette score, BetaCV score, and Davies-Bouldin score indicating the quality of the Clusters formed with the lowest results scores of 0.67 and 1.84 with epsilon value = 3.4 and minimum point value = 2 resulting in 4 Clusters. The results of Clustering 161 Districts and Cities based on the factors that cause stunting formed 4 Clusters where Cluster 0 consists of 119 Districts and Cities with very high stunting characteristics, Cluster 1 consists of 3 Districts and Cities with high stunting characteristics, the results of Cluster 2 consist of 2 Districts and Cities with low stunting characteristics, then the results of Cluster 2 consist of 2 Districts and Cities with low stunting characteristics and Cluster 3 consists of 2 Cities with very low stunting characteristics.
The existence of Neimark-Sacker bifurcation on a discrete-time SIS-Epidemic model incorporating logistic growth and allee effect Sidik, Amelia Tri Rahma; Panigoro, Hasan S.; Resmawan, Resmawan; Rahmi, Emli
Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) Volume 3, Issue 2: December 2022
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjbm.v3i2.17515

Abstract

This article investigates the dynamical properties of a discrete time SIS-Epidemic model incorporating logistic growth rate and Allee effect. The forward Euler discretization method is employed to obtain the discrete-time model. All possible fixed points are identified including their local dynamics. Some numerical simulations by varying the step size parameter are explored to show the analytical findings, the existence of Neimark-Sacker bifurcation, and the occurrence of period-10 and 20 orbits
Global stability of a fractional-order logistic growth model with infectious disease Panigoro, Hasan S.; Rahmi, Emli
Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) Volume 1, Issue 2: December 2020
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjbm.v1i2.8135

Abstract

Infectious disease has an influence on the density of a population. In this paper, a fractional-order logistic growth model with infectious disease is formulated. The population grows logistically and divided into two compartments i.e. susceptible and infected populations. We start by investigating the existence, uniqueness, non-negativity, and boundedness of solutions. Furthermore, we show that the model has three equilibrium points namely the population extinction point, the disease-free point, and the endemic point. The population extinction point is always a saddle point while others are conditionally asymptotically stable. For the non-trivial equilibrium points, we successfully show that the local and global asymptotic stability have the similar properties. Especially, when the endemic point exists, it is always globally asymptotically stable. We also show the existence of forward bifurcation in our model. We portray some numerical simulations consist of the phase portraits, time series, and a bifurcation diagram to validate the analytical findings.
Analisis dinamik model SVEIR pada penyebaran penyakit campak Ahaya, Sitty Oriza Sativa Putri; Rahmi, Emli; Nurwan, Nurwan
Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) Volume 1, Issue 2: December 2020
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjbm.v1i2.8482

Abstract

In this article, we analyze the dynamics of measles transmission model with vaccination via an SVEIR epidemic model. The total population is divided into five compartments, namely the Susceptible, Vaccinated, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered populations. Firstly, we determine the equilibrium points and their local asymptotically stability properties presented by the basic reproduction number R0. It is found that the disease free equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable if satisfies R01 and the endemic equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable when R01. We also show the existence of forward bifurcation driven by some parameters that influence the basic reproduction number R0 i.e., the infection rate Î± or proportion of vaccinated individuals θ. Lastly, some numerical simulations are performed to support our analytical results.
Analisis dinamik model predator-prey tipe Gause dengan wabah penyakit pada prey Ibrahim, Rusdianto; Yahya, Lailany; Rahmi, Emli; Resmawan, Resmawan
Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) Volume 2, Issue 1: June 2021
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjbm.v2i1.10363

Abstract

This article studies the dynamics of a Gause-type predator-prey model with infectious disease in the prey. The constructed model is a deterministic model which assumes the prey is divided into two compartments i.e. susceptible prey and infected prey, and both of them are hunted by predator bilinearly. It is investigated that there exist five biological equilibrium points such as all population extinction point, infected prey and predator extinction point, infected prey extinction point, predator extinction point, and co-existence point. We find that all population extinction point always unstable while others are conditionally locally asymptotically stable. Numerical simulations, as well as the phase portraits, are given to support the analytical results.
Computational dynamics of a Lotka-Volterra Model with additive Allee effect based on Atangana-Baleanu fractional derivative Panigoro, Hasan S.; Rahmi, Emli
Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) Volume 2, Issue 2: December 2021
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjbm.v2i2.11886

Abstract

This paper studies an interaction between one prey and one predator following Lotka-Volterra model with additive Allee effect in predator. The Atangana-Baleanu fractional-order derivative is used for the operator. Since the theoretical ways to investigate the model using this operator are limited, the dynamical behaviors are identified numerically. By simulations, the influence of the order of the derivative on the dynamical behaviors is given. The numerical results show that the order of the derivative may impact the convergence rate, the occurrence of Hopf bifurcation, and the evolution of the diameter of the limit-cycle.
Determination of Premium Price for Rice Crop Insurance in Gorontalo Province Based on Rainfall Index with Black Scholes Method Nadiyyah, Ana; Rahmi, Emli; Nasib, Salmun K.; Nuha, Agusyarif Rezka; Yahya, Nisky Imansyah; Nashar, La Ode
Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath) Vol 3 No 2 (2024): Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath)
Publisher : Pattimura University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/pijmathvol3iss2pp51-62

Abstract

With its complex topography, Gorontalo Province experiences significant rainfall variations that impact the agricultural sector, particularly rice crops. These variations can cause substantial losses for farmers. One way to address uncertain probabilities caused by rainfall is through agricultural insurance. This research aims to calculate the value of agricultural insurance premiums based on the rainfall index. The Black- Scholes method is used to calculate the premiums, while the Burn Analysis method is employed to determine the rainfall index. The research results classify the rainfall index values in Gorontalo Province into 7 (seven) percentiles. The lowest is at the 20th percentile, with 17.37 mm and a premium value of IDR 1,574,190, while the highest is at the 80th percentile, with 17.65 mm and a premium value of IDR 2,154,574. This indicates that the higher the rainfall, the greater the premium to be paid.
Modeling of Abstinence Behavior on the Electoral Lists with Awareness Campaigns and Argumentative Schemes Beay, Lazarus Kalvein; Panigoro, Hasan S.; Rahmi, Emli; Savitri, Dian
Communication in Biomathematical Sciences Vol. 7 No. 2 (2024)
Publisher : The Indonesian Bio-Mathematical Society

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.5614/cbms.2024.7.2.4

Abstract

The most reasonable way to promote individual abstinence and increase voter turnout is through campaign interventions and schemes. Our paper introduces a deterministic model that captures the dynamics of citizens exercising their right to vote and the detrimental effect of abstainers on potential voters. The existence, basic reproductive number (R0) and local stability of abstinence behavior equilibrium points are determined by certain necessary conditions. The global stability of the abstaining-free point and abstaining point is achieved through the use of suitable Lyapunov functions. In addition, a sensitivity analysis of R0 was also performed. Moreover, we offer an ideal plan for an awareness program that supports politicians and officials in enhancing the registration rate of citizens on electoral lists with a level of effort. Our investigation reveals that utilizing the combination of an awareness campaign and argumentation schemes as time-dependent interventions drastically reduces abstention rates and greatly increases voter participation. By raising the values of awareness and registration rates, we can observe a decline in the basic reproductive number (R0). Our analytical results are supported by numerical simulations.
The Occurrence of a Neimark-Sacker Bifurcation on a Discrete-Time Predator-Prey Model Involving Fear Effect and Linear Harvesting Kasim, Ranan; Panigoro, Hasan S.; Rahmi, Emli; Nuha, Agusyarif Rezka; Arsal, Armayani
Indonesian Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics Vol. 1 No. 1: February 2025
Publisher : Gammarise Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.64182/indocam.v1i1.5

Abstract

This study investigates the dynamics of a discrete-time predator-prey model incorporating the fear effect and linear harvesting. The model assumes that both prey and predator populations are harvested proportionally to their densities, while the growth rate of the prey population is negatively impacted by predator presence due to fear. The analytical exploration identifies three fixed points: the extinction point, the predator-free equilibrium, and the coexistence equilibrium. Stability analysis and numerical simulations confirm the occurrence of a Neimark-Sacker bifurcation at the interior equilibrium, demonstrating the model's complex dynamical behaviors. The findings provide insights into population sustainability under different harvesting and predation conditions, highlighting how fear and harvesting jointly influence ecosystem stability.