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All Journal JURNAL MATEMATIKA STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI PYTHAGORAS: Jurnal Program Studi Pendidikan Matematika Communication in Biomathematical Sciences Jambura Journal of Mathematics Jurnal Matematika UNAND Contemporary Mathematics and Applications (ConMathA) Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) Jurnal Diferensial Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath) Jurnal Riset Mahasiswa Matematika Jurnal Multidisiplin Sahombu Indonesian Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics
Rahmi, Emli
Universitas Negeri Gorontalo
Arts Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering Environmental Science Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mathematics Public Health Social Sciences

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The existence of Neimark-Sacker bifurcation on a discrete-time SIS-Epidemic model incorporating logistic growth and allee effect Sidik, Amelia Tri Rahma; Panigoro, Hasan S.; Resmawan, Resmawan; Rahmi, Emli
Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) Volume 3, Issue 2: December 2022
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjbm.v3i2.17515

Abstract

This article investigates the dynamical properties of a discrete time SIS-Epidemic model incorporating logistic growth rate and Allee effect. The forward Euler discretization method is employed to obtain the discrete-time model. All possible fixed points are identified including their local dynamics. Some numerical simulations by varying the step size parameter are explored to show the analytical findings, the existence of Neimark-Sacker bifurcation, and the occurrence of period-10 and 20 orbits
Global stability of a fractional-order logistic growth model with infectious disease Panigoro, Hasan S.; Rahmi, Emli
Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) Volume 1, Issue 2: December 2020
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjbm.v1i2.8135

Abstract

Infectious disease has an influence on the density of a population. In this paper, a fractional-order logistic growth model with infectious disease is formulated. The population grows logistically and divided into two compartments i.e. susceptible and infected populations. We start by investigating the existence, uniqueness, non-negativity, and boundedness of solutions. Furthermore, we show that the model has three equilibrium points namely the population extinction point, the disease-free point, and the endemic point. The population extinction point is always a saddle point while others are conditionally asymptotically stable. For the non-trivial equilibrium points, we successfully show that the local and global asymptotic stability have the similar properties. Especially, when the endemic point exists, it is always globally asymptotically stable. We also show the existence of forward bifurcation in our model. We portray some numerical simulations consist of the phase portraits, time series, and a bifurcation diagram to validate the analytical findings.
Analisis dinamik model SVEIR pada penyebaran penyakit campak Ahaya, Sitty Oriza Sativa Putri; Rahmi, Emli; Nurwan, Nurwan
Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) Volume 1, Issue 2: December 2020
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjbm.v1i2.8482

Abstract

In this article, we analyze the dynamics of measles transmission model with vaccination via an SVEIR epidemic model. The total population is divided into five compartments, namely the Susceptible, Vaccinated, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered populations. Firstly, we determine the equilibrium points and their local asymptotically stability properties presented by the basic reproduction number R0. It is found that the disease free equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable if satisfies R01 and the endemic equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable when R01. We also show the existence of forward bifurcation driven by some parameters that influence the basic reproduction number R0 i.e., the infection rate Î± or proportion of vaccinated individuals θ. Lastly, some numerical simulations are performed to support our analytical results.
Analisis dinamik model predator-prey tipe Gause dengan wabah penyakit pada prey Ibrahim, Rusdianto; Yahya, Lailany; Rahmi, Emli; Resmawan, Resmawan
Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) Volume 2, Issue 1: June 2021
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjbm.v2i1.10363

Abstract

This article studies the dynamics of a Gause-type predator-prey model with infectious disease in the prey. The constructed model is a deterministic model which assumes the prey is divided into two compartments i.e. susceptible prey and infected prey, and both of them are hunted by predator bilinearly. It is investigated that there exist five biological equilibrium points such as all population extinction point, infected prey and predator extinction point, infected prey extinction point, predator extinction point, and co-existence point. We find that all population extinction point always unstable while others are conditionally locally asymptotically stable. Numerical simulations, as well as the phase portraits, are given to support the analytical results.
Computational dynamics of a Lotka-Volterra Model with additive Allee effect based on Atangana-Baleanu fractional derivative Panigoro, Hasan S.; Rahmi, Emli
Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) Volume 2, Issue 2: December 2021
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjbm.v2i2.11886

Abstract

This paper studies an interaction between one prey and one predator following Lotka-Volterra model with additive Allee effect in predator. The Atangana-Baleanu fractional-order derivative is used for the operator. Since the theoretical ways to investigate the model using this operator are limited, the dynamical behaviors are identified numerically. By simulations, the influence of the order of the derivative on the dynamical behaviors is given. The numerical results show that the order of the derivative may impact the convergence rate, the occurrence of Hopf bifurcation, and the evolution of the diameter of the limit-cycle.
Determination of Premium Price for Rice Crop Insurance in Gorontalo Province Based on Rainfall Index with Black Scholes Method Nadiyyah, Ana; Rahmi, Emli; Nasib, Salmun K.; Nuha, Agusyarif Rezka; Yahya, Nisky Imansyah; Nashar, La Ode
Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath) Vol 3 No 2 (2024): Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath)
Publisher : Pattimura University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/pijmathvol3iss2pp51-62

Abstract

With its complex topography, Gorontalo Province experiences significant rainfall variations that impact the agricultural sector, particularly rice crops. These variations can cause substantial losses for farmers. One way to address uncertain probabilities caused by rainfall is through agricultural insurance. This research aims to calculate the value of agricultural insurance premiums based on the rainfall index. The Black- Scholes method is used to calculate the premiums, while the Burn Analysis method is employed to determine the rainfall index. The research results classify the rainfall index values in Gorontalo Province into 7 (seven) percentiles. The lowest is at the 20th percentile, with 17.37 mm and a premium value of IDR 1,574,190, while the highest is at the 80th percentile, with 17.65 mm and a premium value of IDR 2,154,574. This indicates that the higher the rainfall, the greater the premium to be paid.
Modeling of Abstinence Behavior on the Electoral Lists with Awareness Campaigns and Argumentative Schemes Beay, Lazarus Kalvein; Panigoro, Hasan S.; Rahmi, Emli; Savitri, Dian
Communication in Biomathematical Sciences Vol. 7 No. 2 (2024)
Publisher : The Indonesian Bio-Mathematical Society

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.5614/cbms.2024.7.2.4

Abstract

The most reasonable way to promote individual abstinence and increase voter turnout is through campaign interventions and schemes. Our paper introduces a deterministic model that captures the dynamics of citizens exercising their right to vote and the detrimental effect of abstainers on potential voters. The existence, basic reproductive number (R0) and local stability of abstinence behavior equilibrium points are determined by certain necessary conditions. The global stability of the abstaining-free point and abstaining point is achieved through the use of suitable Lyapunov functions. In addition, a sensitivity analysis of R0 was also performed. Moreover, we offer an ideal plan for an awareness program that supports politicians and officials in enhancing the registration rate of citizens on electoral lists with a level of effort. Our investigation reveals that utilizing the combination of an awareness campaign and argumentation schemes as time-dependent interventions drastically reduces abstention rates and greatly increases voter participation. By raising the values of awareness and registration rates, we can observe a decline in the basic reproductive number (R0). Our analytical results are supported by numerical simulations.
The Occurrence of a Neimark-Sacker Bifurcation on a Discrete-Time Predator-Prey Model Involving Fear Effect and Linear Harvesting Kasim, Ranan; Panigoro, Hasan S.; Rahmi, Emli; Nuha, Agusyarif Rezka; Arsal, Armayani
Indonesian Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics Vol. 1 No. 1: February 2025
Publisher : Gammarise Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.64182/indocam.v1i1.5

Abstract

This study investigates the dynamics of a discrete-time predator-prey model incorporating the fear effect and linear harvesting. The model assumes that both prey and predator populations are harvested proportionally to their densities, while the growth rate of the prey population is negatively impacted by predator presence due to fear. The analytical exploration identifies three fixed points: the extinction point, the predator-free equilibrium, and the coexistence equilibrium. Stability analysis and numerical simulations confirm the occurrence of a Neimark-Sacker bifurcation at the interior equilibrium, demonstrating the model's complex dynamical behaviors. The findings provide insights into population sustainability under different harvesting and predation conditions, highlighting how fear and harvesting jointly influence ecosystem stability.
Application of the Monte Carlo Method to Pricing Lookback Fixed Option with Stochastic Volatility Hidayanti, Sri Amalia; Rahmi, Emli; Yahya, Lailany
Indonesian Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics Vol. 1 No. 1: February 2025
Publisher : Gammarise Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.64182/indocam.v1i1.6

Abstract

Options are a derivative product that trades the right to call and put on an asset at a certain price and during an agreed time. Determining the optimal option price is often difficult due to changes in stock prices. One model that can be used to calculate the price of Lookback Fixed options is the Monte Carlo Method with stochastic volatility of the Heston model, with parameter estimation using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), and Euer-Maruyama and calculation of the effect of initial stock price, strike, and maturity time. The estimated stock price is then used to calculate the Lookback Fixed option price using the Monte Carlo method. The research results obtained good results with a fairly small error rate. In addition, the analysis of the effect of strike price, strike, and maturity time shows results consistent with option pricing theory.
Analysis of a Predator-Prey Model incorporating Prey Cannibalism and Intraspecific Competition on Predator Biduli, Meiske; Rahmi, Emli; Nasib, Salmun K.
Indonesian Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics Vol. 1 No. 2: June 2025
Publisher : Gammarise Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.64182/indocam.v1i2.33

Abstract

In this research, we formulated a predator-prey model by considering cannibalism in the prey and intraspecific competition on predator population. We found three types of equilibrium points existed under certain condition, except the extinction of all population equilibrium point. Further, we analyzed the local stability of each equilibrium point via linearization method. We found that the extinction of all population equilibrium point is always unstable and the other points locally asymptotically stable under some conditions. Finally, the numerical simulation carried out to verify the analytical results and to perform the impact of prey cannibalism rate.
Co-Authors Abdussamad, Trizaning Nursahbani Agusyarif Rezka Nuha Ahaya, Sitty Oriza Sativa Putri Aliwu, Randa Resvitasari Armayani Arsal Beay, Lazarus Kalvein Bela Cintiya Samwan Biduli, Meiske DIAN SAVITRI Djihad Wungguli Gani, Friansyah Hasan S. Panigoro Hidayanti, Sri Amalia Ibrahim, Rusdianto Isran K Hasan Karim, Finansiya S. Abd. Kasim, Ranan La Ode Nashar Lailany Yahya Mahmud, Sri Lestari Muhammad, Nur Miftah Nadiyyah, Ana Nashar, Laode NISKY IMANSYAH YAHYA Novianita Achmad Nurhalis Hasan Nurwan Nurwan Nurwan, Nurwan Resmawan Resmawan Reza Mokodompit Salmun K. Nasib Sidik, Amelia Tri Rahma Siti Maisaroh Siti Nurmardia Abdussamad