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Jolianis ME S.Pd
Universitas PGRI SUMATERA BARAT
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Journal : Journal of English Language and Education

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Effect of Interest Rates, Rupiah Exchange Rate, Fuel Prices, Household Consumption, and Government Expenditure on Inflation and Money Supply in Indonesia Elfita, Nelfia; Ansofino, Ansofino; Jolianis, Jolianis
Journal of English Language and Education Vol 10, No 5 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/jele.v10i5.1400

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the relationship between monetary and macroeconomic variables affecting inflation and the money supply in Indonesia from 1993 to 2024. Specifically, it examines the effects of the amount of money in circulation, interest rates, fuel prices, and government spending on inflation, as well as the effects of inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, and household consumption on the money supply. The research employs a quantitative approach using secondary data and applies a two-stage least squares (2SLS) simultaneous equation model with analysis conducted through the EViews program. The results indicate that the amount of money in circulation has a significant positive effect on inflation, while interest rates, fuel prices, and government spending show positive but insignificant effects. Conversely, inflation significantly influences the amount of money in circulation, while interest rates, the exchange rate, and household consumption have no significant effect. Simultaneously, both model equations demonstrate that the tested variables jointly have a significant impact on inflation and the money supply in Indonesia. These findings suggest that monetary expansion remains a key determinant of inflation dynamics in Indonesia, emphasizing the importance of prudent monetary policy and coordinated fiscal management.
Co-Authors Afdilla Alfattory Rheza Syahrul, Alfattory Rheza Aminah Aminah Anak Agung Istri Sri Wiadnyani Ansofino Ansofino Asiska, Servina Asrizal Aziz, Devin Bahri, Aulia Febriyanti Basir, Nesri Susanti Bella Sitilamsyari Citra Ramayani Dalias, Delvitri Dea oktari Deprianto Deprianto Devi, Risna Diana Sumiran Dra. Yenni M.Si Del Rosa Edi Dores Elfita, Nelfia Enda Anggraini Sistria Fefri Indra Arza Fiko Farlis Fitria Wulandari Gimnastiar, Abim GUSMIATI, Rani HARYANI, Ditra Husnan Jamil I Ketut Suada jimi ronald, jimi KHAIRUNNISA, Syintia Khostari, Ermalia Laksono Trisnantoro Leni Leni Lovelly Dwinda Dahen Mirna Tanjung mona amelia, mona Muhammad Ihsan Mutia Fera ND. Yulianti Nila Susrita Ninin Gusmala Nora Susanti Nurningsih, Sari Nuryani, Indah Pratiwi, Sri Mailis Putra, Robi Dwi putri meliza sari PUTRI, Aulia Dwi Riani Putri, Radiyatul Nadiya Rahmadani, Putri Silvia Rahmadi, Ryand Rahmania, Meri Rini Handayani Risdaini Rista Oktiva Sari Rizka, Yusfar Miftahur Rizki Rahmat Ihsan RIZKY NATASSIA Saputri, Tiara Azhari Sari, Putri Sri M.Pd Wahyuni Stevani Stevani Ulia, Bunga Rahmatul Vivina Eprillison Yasmi, Ffi Yenni Del Rosa Yolamalinda Yolamalinda YONA LIZA Yosi Eka Putri Yulna Dewita Hia