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All Journal JISPO (Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik) ARISTO Ensiklopedia Social Review jurnal ilmiah hospitality Jurnal Papatung : Jurnal Ilmu Administrasi Publik, Pemerintahan dan Politik JDP (Jurnal Dinamika Pemerintahan) JOELS: Journal of Election and Leadership Jurnal Cakrawala Ilmiah JISOS: Jurnal ilmu sosial Jurnal Pendidikan Dasar dan Sosial Humaniora Journal of Innovation Research and Knowledge Indonesian Research Journal on Education Jurnal Nusantara Berbakti Eksekusi: Jurnal Ilmu Hukum dan Administrasi Negara Jurnal Ilmiah Ekotrans & Erudisi (JIEE) Beujroh : Jurnal Pemberdayaan dan Pengabdian pada Masyarakat
Zamhasari, Zamhasari
Program Studi Sarjana Ilmu Pemerintahan, Universitas Abdurrab, Pekanbaru
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Chemistry Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Energy Environmental Science Health Professions Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Journal : JOELS: Journal of Election and Leadership

 1 
The Distortion of Public Perception towards the Quick Count Results in 2019 Elections Zamhasari Zamhasari; Dhea Elsa Novita; Elhanna Rizky Juliani; Sriatin Sriatin
JOELS: Journal of Election and Leadership Vol. 1 No. 1 (2020): JOELS : Journal of Election and Leadership
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31849/joels.v1i1.3425

Abstract

This article discusses public beliefs in results of quick count in 2019 elections. There was a problem of differences in public perception of the quick count results which caused various polemics in the community. The phenomenon occurs when people disagree to accuse fraud and conspiracy by one of the candidates with the pollsters and the media. The theory explained that there are still people who have not been able to distinguish between original news or facts and hoax. Through a media framing analysis approach, this study explains the impact of divisions among the people who perceive very different quick count results. Based on the facts or data, voter distortion in the election against the quick count results is caused by the lack of political education and civic culture for election participants in Indonesia.
Problematika Penyaluran Bantuan Langsung Tunai Dana Desa (BLT DD) Tahun 2020 Suryaningsih Aseh; Tengku Fahrul Gafar; Zamhasari Zamhasari
JOELS: Journal of Election and Leadership Vol. 2 No. 1 (2021): JOELS : Journal of Election and Leadership (In Press)
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31849/joels.v2i1.7661

Abstract

The priority for using the Village Fund in 2020 has changed along with the existence of financial policies for handling the dissemination of COVID-19 in the village. Based on this, the Village Fund (DD) is prioritized used for handling the COVID-19, one of the priorities is for Direct Cash Assistance (BLT). In its implementation, the Direct Cash Assistance of the Village Fund (BLT-DD) policy has caused many polemics. Based on these problems, the purpose of this paper is to explore the factors that influence the implementation performance of BLT DD distribution. The method used in this research is qualitative exploratory. Data collection was conducted by means of observation, interviews, and literature study. The results displayed that the factors affecting the implementation performance were caused by; first, the factor of clarity of policy content, village volunteers found it difficult to collect data on BLT-DD Beneficiary Families (KPM) due to the criteria set fluctuated and the number of KPM was limited based on the percentage of The Village Funds received by the village. The second, the Regulatory Inconsistency Factor. The changing regulations made it difficult for the village government to implement the BLT-DD distribution. Third, technical factors. The process of disbursing the BLT-DD was long enough to prevent The Village Government from delivering BLT-DD on time.
Studi Prediktif Dampak Dukungan Jokowi Sebagai Outgoing President Terhadap Peluang Kemenangan Kandidat Presiden Yang Didukungnya Pada Pilpres 2024: Pola kasus: Obama, Vazquez, Uribe, SBY, Bachelet, Lula, dan Duterte Amri Hakim; Zamhasari
JOELS: Journal of Election and Leadership Vol. 4 No. 1 (2023): JOELS : Journal of Election and Leadership
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31849/joels.v4i1.12446

Abstract

This paper aims to find the impact of outgoing president support to the winning probability of its endorsed candidate in presidential election, and predicts the winning probability of Jokowi’s endorsed candidate in Indonesia 2024 presidential election. By generalizing Obama, Vazquez, Uribe, SBY, Bachelet, Lula, and Duterte’s cases it is found that president candidates who endorsed by outgoing presidents with at least 50% public approval have 71% chance to winning the presidential election and 29% chance to lose, and with the public approval over 85% the probability is increase to 100%. The endorsed candidates who wins the election mostly were the minister of outgoing president whose contribute to the high approval ratings. Meanwhile, in the case of lost candidates the unfirm support from outgoing presiden and the candidate who already had been president with 28% approval ratings found as the causes. Through this generalization it is predicted that if Jokowi able to maintain his public approval rating at least 50%, and endorse one of his success ministers whom also come from the same party then in the 2024 Indonesia’s president election this candidate possibly will be the winner with 71% chance, also if his approval ratings reaching out over 85% the chance will be 100%.
Co-Authors Amir Syamsuadi Amir Syamsuadi Amri Hakim Amri Hakim Deden Masril Dhea Elsa Novita Elhanna Rizky Juliani Gafar, Tengku Fahrul Hartati, Seri Hartati, Seri Kinanti Indah Safitri Krisnawansyah, Yahya Liza Trisnawati M. Fajar Anugerah M. Fajar Anugerah M. Fajar Anugerah Mendra Wijaya Mulya, Rizki Afri Musnal, Mohammad Filbert Octavia, Santi Putri, Rianda Prima Putri, Rianda Prima Rambe, Wahyudi Rianda Prima Putri Santi Octavia Santi Octavia Santi Octavia Sriatin Sriatin Suryaningsih Suryaningsih Suryaningsih Aseh Suryaningsih Suryaningsih Suryaningsih Suryaningsih Suryaningsih Suryaningsih Suryaningsih Suryaningsih Suryaningsih Suryaningsih T fahrul Gafar T. Fahrul Gafar T. Fahrul Gafar T. Fahrul Gafar T. Fahrul Gafar T. Fahrul Gafar T. Fahrul Gafar T. Fahrul Gafar, T. Fahrul Tengku Fahrul Gafar Tengku Fahrul Gafar Wahyudi, Prima Wijaya, Mendra Yahya Krisnawansyah