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Pengelompokan Data Kategorik Dengan Algoritma Robust Clustering Using Links: Studi Kasus: PT. Prudential Life Jalan MT. Haryono Samarinda Dewi, Isma; Syaripuddin, Syaripuddin; Hayati, Memi Nor
EKSPONENSIAL Vol. 11 No. 2 (2020)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (687.398 KB) | DOI: 10.30872/eksponensial.v11i2.655

Abstract

Cluster analysis is a technique of data mining that is used to group data based on the similarity of attributes of data objects. The problem that is often encountered in cluster analysis is the data on a categorical scale. Categorical scale data grouping can be done using the ROCK (RObust Clustering using linKs) algorithm. The ROCK algorithm is included in the of agglomerative hierarchical clustering algorithms in cluster analysis. This algorithm introduces a concept called neighbors and links in grouping data. Categorical data grouping with ROCK algorithm is done in three steps. The first step is counting similarities. The second step is determining the neighbors and the last is calculating the links between the observation objects. The value of the link is affected by θ. The optimum number of clusters in the ROCK algorithm is selected using a minimum ratio value of . The purpose of this study is to group 100 data of insurance customers of PT. Prudential Life Samarinda in 2018. Based on the analysis results, obtained that the optimum group is at θ = 0.1 with a ratio value of is 0.1371. The optimum number of groups formed is 2 clusters. The first group consisted of 42 customers and the second group consisted of 58 customers.
Model Spatial Autoregressive Moving Average (SARMA) pada Data Jumlah Kejadian Demam Berdarah Dengue (DBD) di Provinsi Kalimantan Timur dan Tengah Tahun 2016 Sari, Devi Nur Endah; Hayati, Memi Nor; Wahyuningsih, Sri
EKSPONENSIAL Vol. 11 No. 1 (2020)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (963.921 KB) | DOI: 10.30872/eksponensial.v11i1.645

Abstract

Spatial Autoregressive Moving Average (SARMA) is a spatial regression model that uses the regional approach. The weighting matrix used is an adjacency matrix which is based on the intersection between observed locations. This study was conducted to determine the SARMA model and the factors that influence the number of cases of dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) in the provinces of East Kalimantan and Central Kalimantan in 2016. Based on the results of the Moran's Index test, there is a spatial autocorrelation on the number of dengue events in East Kalimantan Province and Central Kalimantan in 2016. The Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test has a spatial lag on the dependent variable and the error variable, which is a parameter and that is significant to the significance level . Based on the results of SARMA modeling that the factors that influence the number of dengue events in the provinces of East Kalimantan and Central Kalimantan in 2016 are the percentage of population density, the percentage of healthy houses, and the percentage of puskesmas.
Metode Hierarchical Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Application with Noise (HDBSCAN) Pada Wilayah Desa/Kelurahan Tertinggal di Kabupaten Kutai Kartanegara: (Studi Kasus : Data Hasil Pendataan Potensi Desa (PODES) Tahun 2018) Wahyuni, Nanda Anggun; Hayati, Memi Nor; Rizki, Nanda Arista
EKSPONENSIAL Vol. 12 No. 1 (2021)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (778.141 KB) | DOI: 10.30872/eksponensial.v12i1.758

Abstract

The underdeveloped areas are generally the districts which are relatively underdeveloped compared to other regions on a national scale. Determination of underdeveloped villages is often done in order to determine the distribution of government assistance so that assistance can be distributed appropriately. The identification is based on facilities, infrastructure, access, social, population and economy provided in the Village Potential data (PODES). The concept of grouping based on regional or spatial is done to find out certain characteristics in an area. HDBSCAN is a grouping concept with a parameter called Mpts. The purpose of this study is to know the number of clusters formed in the grouping of underdeveloped villages / urban areas in Kutai Kartanegara Regency using the HDBSCAN method. The Mpts parameters that is used in this study is from 2 to 6. Based on the results of the analysis, the clusters formed in the grouping of underdeveloped villages / urban areas in Kutai Kartanegara Regency using the HDBSCAN method, were 3 clusters. Cluster 0 consists of 19 villages / urban areas , cluster 1 consists of 4 villages / urban areas and cluster 2 consists of 61 villages / urban areas. Based on the analysis, villages / urban areas included in cluster 1 could be the main target of the government in providing assistance and development of regional facilities / infrastructure.
Perbandingan Metode Klasifikasi Naive Bayes dan K-Nearest Neighbor pada Data Status Pembayaran Pajak Pertambahan Nilai di Kantor Pelayanan Pajak Pratama Samarinda Ulu Rahmaulidyah, Fatihah Noor; Hayati, Memi Nor; Goejantoro, Rito
EKSPONENSIAL Vol. 12 No. 2 (2021)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (641.425 KB) | DOI: 10.30872/eksponensial.v12i2.809

Abstract

Classification is a systematic grouping of objects into certain groups based on the same characteristics. The classification method used in this research are naive Bayes and K-Nearest Neighbor which has a relatively high degree of accuracy. This research aims to compare the level of classification accuracy on the status data of value-added tax (VAT) payment. The data used is data on corporate taxpayers at Samarinda Ulu Tax Office in 2018 with the status of VAT payment being compliant or non-compliant and used 3 independent variables are income, type of business entity and tax reported status. Measurement of accuracy using APER in the Naive Bayes method is 17.07% and in K-Nearest Neighbor method is 19,51%. The comparison results of accuracy measurements between the two methods show that the naive Bayes method has a higher level of accuracy than the K-Nearest Neighbor method
Klasifikasi Status Pembayaran Kredit Barang Elektronik dan Furniture Menggunakan Support Vector Machine Casuarina, Indah Putri; Hayati, Memi Nor; Prangga, Surya
EKSPONENSIAL Vol. 13 No. 1 (2022)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (558.5 KB) | DOI: 10.30872/eksponensial.v13i1.887

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Classification is the process of finding a model or function that can describe and differentiate data into classes. One application of classification is Support Vector Machine (SVM). SVM is a learning system that uses a hypothetical space in the form of linear functions in a high-dimensional feature space, trained with a learning algorithm based on optimization theory by implementing machine learning derived from statistical learning theory. The concept of classification with SVM is to find the best hyperplane to separate the two data classes and use a support vector approach. This study uses the proportion of the distribution of training data and testing data, namely 50%:50%, 70%:30%, 90%:10% and uses the SVM algorithm Polynomial kernel function with parameters =0.01, r=0.5, d =2, and C=1. This study aims to determine the results of the classification of the credit payment status of electronic goods and furniture and the level of classification accuracy in the SVM method. The data used is the debtor data of PT. KB Finansia Multi Finance Bontang in 2020 as many as 133 data with current and non-current credit payment status and using 7 independent variables, namely age, number of dependents, length of stay, income, years of service, large credit payments, and length of credit borrowing. The results of the SVM classification show an average accuracy value of 72.25% and the best accuracy chosen is the proportion of training data distribution and testing data 90%:10%, which is 84.62%.
Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Jumlah Kasus Tuberkulosis di Indonesia Menggunakan Model Geographically Weighted Poisson Regression Karima, Nabila Al; Suyitno, Suyitno; Hayati, Memi Nor
EKSPONENSIAL Vol. 12 No. 1 (2021)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (711.443 KB) | DOI: 10.30872/eksponensial.v12i1.754

Abstract

Tuberculosis is a contagious disease suffered by humans caused by mycobacterium tuberculosis bacteria. Tuberculosis in Indonesia must be eradicated both preventive and treatment. One effort that can be given to the community to reduce tuberculosis cases is by providing information on the factors that influence tuberculosis cases through Geographically Weighted Poisson Regression (GWPR) modeling. The number of tuberculosis cases in Indonesia is a count data with a small chance of occurrence so that it is suspected to have a Poisson distribution. Cases of tuberculosis are spatial data (spatial heterogeneity). The purpose of this study is to determine the GWPR model of the number of tuberculosis cases in Indonesia and determine the factors that influence tuberculosis cases in Indonesia. The research data are secondary data obtained from the Indonesian Ministry of Health. Parameter estimation method is Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE). Spatial weighting is calculated by using the Adaptive Gaussian weighting function and the optimum bandwidth is determined by using the Cross-Validation (CV) criteria. The research results showed that the exact Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimator could not be obtained analytically and the approximation of ML estimator was obtained by using the Newton-Raphson iterative method. Based on the results of the parameter testing of GWPR model, it was concluded that the factors affecting the number of tuberculosis cases were local and varied in 34 provinces. The factor affecting locally are the number of poor people, the percentage of houses unfit for habitation, the percentage of districts/cities that do not have a PHBS policy and the percentage of TPM not meeting health requirements, meanwhile factors influencing globally are the number of poor people.
Pemodelan Harga Saham PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Menggunakan Model TSR Linier Ramadani, Kartika; Wahyuningsih, Sri; Hayati, Memi Nor
EKSPONENSIAL Vol. 13 No. 1 (2022)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (560.404 KB) | DOI: 10.30872/eksponensial.v13i1.879

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The movement of the stock price of PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk from time to time is relatively erratic, but in 2020 the movement shows an decreasing trend pattern in January-October and an increasing trend pattern in November-December. There needs a stock price modeling for PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk which is useful for investors as a consideration in making decisions to invest. In this study, modeling the stock price of PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk uses a Time Series Regression (TSR) Linear model. The results of this study obtained a model for the proportion of data in sample 90, a model for the proportion of data in sample 80, and a model for the proportion of data in sample 70. It was found that the residual value of the TSR linear model the white noise assumption and normally distributed is not valid, so it can be concluded that TSR Linear model has not been able to understand all information on stock price data of PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk.
Penerapan Model Mixed Geographically Weighted Regression dengan Fungsi Pembobot Adaptive Tricube pada IPM 30 Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Kalimantan Timur, Kalimantan Tengah dan Kalimantan Selatan Tahun 2016 Safitri, Ranita Nur; Suyitno, Suyitno; Hayati, Memi Nor
EKSPONENSIAL Vol. 11 No. 2 (2020)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (792.631 KB) | DOI: 10.30872/eksponensial.v11i2.651

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Mixed Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) model is a Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model which has global (equal value) and local (inequal value) parameters at every different observation location. The goal of this study is to obtain MGWR model of the Human Development Index (HDI) data and find out significant factors influencing the HDI in each district (city) East Kalimantan, Central Kalimantan and South Kalimantan province in 2016. Parameter estimation method is conducted in two stages namely local parameter estimation and global parameter estimation. Local parameter estimation method is Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), with spatial weighting is calculated by adaptive tricube weighting function and optimum bandwidth determination uses the Akaike Information Criteria (AIC). Global parameter estimation method is Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Based on the result of MGWR parameter testing, it was concluded that the school enrollment rates (SMP) and poor people percentage affected the HDI of 30 districts (cities) in East Kalimantan, Central Kalimantan and South Kalimantan. Meanwhile the population density affected the HDI of two districts namely HDI of Samarinda and Bontang.
FLEXIBLY SHAPED SPATIAL SCAN STATISTIC FOR MAPPING INDONESIAN STUNTING INCIDENTS Fauziyah, Meirinda; Asnita, Asnita; Hayati, Memi Nor; Hadistii, Zahrah Dhafiinia
MAp (Mathematics and Applications) Journal Vol 5, No 2 (2023)
Publisher : Universitas Islam Negeri Imam Bonjol Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15548/map.v5i2.7083

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The early stages of toddler growth are vulnerable to the environment around them. The growth of toddlers can be influenced by the nutritional intake they receive. One of the poor nutritional statuses that often occurs in toddlers is stunting. Toddlers who experience stunting are at risk of decreasing intellectual abilities, productivity, and increasing the risk of degenerative diseases in the future. The research variables used are the percentage of the poor population and the prevalence of stunting in Indonesia in 2021 using the Flexibly Shaped Spatial Scan Statistic (FSSS) analysis method. The results of the research show that there are areas in hotspot 1 which are areas potentially prone to stunting prevalence. Provinces that are potentially vulnerable are Aceh, North Sumatra, West Sumatra, Riau, Jambi, Bengkulu.
Pemodelan Laju Kematian Pasien Covid-19 di RSUD Abdul Wahab Sjahranie Samarinda menggunakan Model Regresi Weibull Azizah, Nur; Suyitno; Hayati, Memi Nor
Journal of Mathematics, Computations and Statistics Vol. 6 No. 1 (2023): Volume 06 Nomor 01 (April 2023)
Publisher : Jurusan Matematika FMIPA UNM

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

The Weibull regression model is the development of the Weibull distribution, namely the Weibulldistribution which is affected directly by the covariates. The Weibull regression models discussed in thisstudy are the Weibull survival regression model and the Weibull hazard regression model. The Weibullregression model in this study was applied to data of COVID-19 patients hospitalization time at the AbdulWahab Sjahranie Hospital in Samarinda 2021. The event of this study was the death of the COVID-19patients. The purpose of this study was to determine the Weibull survival regression model and Weibullhazard regression to data of COVID-19 patients hospitalization time, to know the factors that influence the chance of patients survive and the mortality rate of COVID-19 patients, and to interpret of the Weibull survival regression and Weibull hazard regression model. The parameter estimation method was Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE). Hypothesis parameter testing consists of parameter testing simultaneously and partially. Conclusion of this study that the Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimator was obtained using the Newton-Raphson iterative method. Based on hypothesis testing, the factors affecting the chance of survive and the mortality rate of COVID-19 patients at the Abdul Wahab Sjahranie Hospital Samarinda is oxygen saturation.
Co-Authors - Purhadi Abda Abda Alifta Ainurrochmah Anak Agung Gede Sugianthara Andi M. Ade Satriya Anjani Anjani Annabaa Aulia, Muzizah Asnita, Asnita Astuti, Putri Sri Cahyaningsih, Ariyanti Candra Dewi, Ni Luh Ayu Casuarina, Indah Putri Damayanti, Elok Dani, Andrea Tri Rian Darnah Deviyana Nurmin Dewi, Isma Diani, Milda Alfitri Fatma wati Fauzia, Rina Fauziyah, Meirinda Fidia Deny Tisna Amijaya Goenjatoro, Rito Hadisti, Zahrah Dhafina Hadistii, Zahrah Dhafiinia Hidayatullah, Aji Syarif Ibrahim, Rizky Nur Ika Purnamasari Ika Purnamasari Ika Puspita, Ika Julnita Bidangan Karima, Nabila Al Khasanah, Lisa Dwi Nurul Krisna Rendi Awalludin Lestari, Nur Aini Ayu Lupinda, Indah Cahyani M. Fathurahman Mahmuda, Siti Marsandy, Aldwin Falah Hasan Meiliyani Siringoringo Messakh, Gerald Claudio Mochammad Imron Awalludin Nabilla, Maghrisa Ayu Nana Nirwana Nanda Arista Rizki Nida, Khairun Ningsih, Eva Lestari Nohe, Darnah Andi Nur Annisa Fitri Nur Azizah Nurmin, Deviyana Oroh, Chiko Zet Paradilla, Yunda Sasha Pratiwi, Reni Purhadi - Putri Ayu Dwi Lestari, Putri Ayu Dwi Putri, Nurlia Sucianti Rahmah, Putri Aulia Rahmaulidyah, Fatihah Noor Ramadani, Kartika Rito Goejantoro, Rito Safitri, Ranita Nur Sari, Devi Nur Endah Sa’diyah, Lita Vindiyatus Sembiring, Rinawati Sifriyani, Sifriyani Sinaga, Julia Oriana Siringoringo, Meiliyani Soraya, Raihana Suerni, Widya - Surya Prangga Suyitno Suyitno Suyitno Suyitno Suyitno Suyono, Ari Krisna Syamsiar, Syamsiar Syaripuddin Syaripuddin Utami, Riska Putri Wahyuni, Nanda Anggun Yuki Novia Nasution, Yuki Novia Yuniarti, Desi