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Analisis Pengaruh Aliran Modal Internasional terhadap Devisa, Nilai Tukar, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan Inflasi I Made Bagus Arimanu Dwipayana; I Made Endra Kartika Yudha
OPTIMAL Jurnal Ekonomi dan Manajemen Vol. 5 No. 3 (2025): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Manajemen
Publisher : Lembaga Pengembangan Kinerja Dosen

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/optimal.v5i3.7367

Abstract

The globalization of financial markets has facilitated increased capital mobility across countries, making international capital flows a critical factor influencing macroeconomic stability in developing economies such as Indonesia. This study aims to analyze the impact of international capital flows—measured by net capital flow—on foreign exchange reserves, exchange rates, economic growth, and inflation in Indonesia. Using a quantitative associative approach, the study employs quarterly data from 2005 to 2022 obtained from credible institutional sources such as Bank Indonesia and the Central Bureau of Statistics. The analytical methods applied include Vector Autoregressive (VAR) and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), supported by stationarity tests, cointegration analysis, Impulse Response Function (IRF), and Variance Decomposition (VD). The empirical results reveal four key findings. First, international capital flows have a significant long-term negative relationship with Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves, highlighting the importance of managing the quality and stability of capital inflows. Second, capital inflows contribute to the long-term appreciation of the rupiah, although this effect is not significant in the short term. Third, foreign capital inflows positively affect Indonesia's economic growth in both the short and long term, provided they are directed toward productive sectors. Lastly, capital inflows exhibit a deflationary effect in the long run, indicating their role in domestic price stabilization, though short-term impacts remain limited. These findings underscore the dual role of international capital flows as both a driver of economic development and a potential source of macroeconomic vulnerability, warranting prudent and adaptive policy responses.
Analisis Pendapatan Driver Gojek Pada Saat Pandemi Covid 19 Di Kota Denpasar Cokorda Bisma Putra; I Made Endra Kartika Yudha
Media Informasi Penelitian Kabupaten Semarang Vol. 5 No. 1 (2023): Juli : Media Informasi Penelitian Kabupaten Semarang
Publisher : Badan Perencanaan Pembangunan, Riset dan Inovasi Daerah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/sinov.v5i1.586

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyze the effects of age, work experience, incentives, working hours, education level, fares, points, and transaction volume on the income of Gojek drivers during the Covid-19 pandemic in Denpasar City. The study was conducted by distributing questionnaires to 95 respondents and using the proportional accidental sampling technique as the sampling method. The data analysis technique used in this study is multiple linear regression analysis. The results of this study indicate that, simultaneously, the variables of age, work experience, incentives, working hours, education level, fares, points, and transaction volume have a significant effect on the income of Gojek drivers during the Covid-19 pandemic in Denpasar City. Age, work experience, working hours, fares, points, and transaction volume have a partial effect on the income of Gojek drivers during the Covid-19 pandemic in Denpasar City. On the other hand, incentives and education level do not have a significant effect on the income of Gojek drivers during the Covid-19 pandemic in Denpasar City.