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All Journal Jurnal Manajemen dan Agribisnis Forum Pasca Sarjana Economic Journal of Emerging Markets SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian JOURNAL AGRIBUSINESS Jurnal Penelitian Sosial dan Ekonomi Kehutanan IJAE
Mangara Tambunan
Dosen Program Studi EPN Sekolah Pascasarjana Institut Pertanian Bogor
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Social Sciences

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DAMPAK PERDAGANGAN BEBAS (FTA) ASEAN-CHINA TERHADAP KINERJA EKONOMI INDONESIA, KHUSUSNYA SEKTOR PERTANIAN DAN KEHUTANAN Prabianto Mukti Widodo; Any Ratnawati; Mangara Tambunan; Erwidodo Erwidodo
Jurnal Penelitian Sosial dan Ekonomi Kehutanan Vol 5, No 4 (2008): Jurnal Penelitian Sosial dan Ekonomi Kehutanan
Publisher : Pusat Penelitian dan Pengembangan Sosial, Ekonomi, Kebijakan dan Perubahan Iklim

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20886/jpsek.2008.5.4.265-293

Abstract

Hubungan ASEAN-China memasuki babak baru yang lebih erat dengan ditandatanganinya kerangka kejasama ekonomi secara komprehensif pada bulan November 2002. Melalui kerjasama ekonomi tersebut, kedua ebelah pihak sepakat membentuk kawasan perdagangan bebas (FTA) ASEAN-China dalam waktu dsepuluh tahun mendatang. Perdagangan bebas ASEAN-China sudah barang tentu akan berdampak terhadap perekonomian negara-negara anggota. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menanalisis dampak potensian liberisasi perdagangan (FTA) ASEAN-China terhadap perubahan variabel makroekonomi dan kinerja sektor pertanian dan kehutanan di Indonesia, dan mengevaluasi beberapa alternatif kebijakan nasional guna meningkatkan daya saing ekonomi serta sekaligus mengurangi dampak negatif atas diberlakukannya FTA ASEAN-China tersebut.
PERKEMBANGAN KONSUMSI DAN PENYEDIAAN ENERGI DALAM PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA Elinur '; D S Priyarsono; Mangara Tambunan; Muhammad Firdaus
Indonesian Journal of Agricultural Economics Vol 1, No 02 (2010)
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Riau

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31258/ijae.1.02.%p

Abstract

Indonesia is one country that is extravagant in energy utilization. On the otherhand the energy supply is relatively stagnant and even showed a declining trend,particularly in fuel oil supply. Therefore very interesting to discuss about thedevelopment of energy consumption based on the users and the energy supply by typeof energy. Trend analysis is used to show the pattern in energy supply by type of energyand energy consumption according to the user, combined with a descriptive analysis todescribe the problems and advantages of the fluctuations that occur from the results oftrend analysis are presented.The results show that the energy consumption across all sectors, namelyindustrial sector, household sector, transport sector, agriculture and other sectors, tendsto increase. Meanwhile, the overall energy supply tends to increase, but with a smallerincrease than the increase of consumption. This results in Indonesia is highly dependenton imports, especially imports of fuel oil.In order to solve the energy problem in Indonesia is needed for energyconservation, namely by making energy savings campaign, the establishment of energyconservation laws, and establishment of energy conservation center. Besides, it alsorequired a low interest rate policy and a stable exchange rate to encourage investment inenergy sector for increased crude oil production and counteract the negative impact ofrising world oil prices which led to decrease of energy supply. In the long term need toattempt to shift the use of energy sourced from unrenewable resources to the use ofenergy that are renewable resources, such as utilization of water energy, wind, biomass,biodiesel, biogas and sustainable energy sources other. In other words needed greenenergy strategy.
TINGKAT KETERBUKAAN, KOMPETISI DALAM ARUS PERDAGANGAN INDONESIA DI ASIA*: SUATU PENDEKATAN EKONOMETRIKA Joko S. Usman; Mangara Tambunan; Hermanto Siregar; Anny Ratnawati
Indonesian Journal of Agricultural Economics Vol 2, No 2 (2011)
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Riau

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31258/ijae.2.2.143-156

Abstract

The information presented in the seminar is obtained from the research in respect of tradeopenness, competitiveness and flows of our export and import of industrial productsbetween Indonesia and its trading partners in Asia. Research has concluded that tradeopenness has positive relationship with our economic growth.. Indonesian trade flows hassignificant opportunity to augment its performance, substantiated by our finding on speedof convergence test in our bilateral trade with the partners, suggesting that they aredesirable partners for an Asian FTA Further we find that our international trade flows aHeckscher-Ohlin model more than increasing return or products differentiation or still aninter-industry trade rather than intra industry trade, substantiated with positive coefficientTCI variable and low Grubel Lloyd index. However please note that some of our industrialproducts have already well positioned with high Grubel Lloyd index. Combining the abovefindings, the Indonesian international trade policy should be addressed toward increasing itsintra industry trade through appropriate investments and industrial restructuring.Key words: gravity model, openness, trade flows, inter-intra industry trade Asian FTA
DAMPAK KEBIJAKAN PENGEMBANGAN BAHAN BAKAR NABATI TERHADAP DINAMIKA HARGA KOMODITAS PANGAN DAN ENERGI NASIONAL DENGAN PENDEKATAN MODEL SISTEM DINAMIS Eka Denny M; Nunung Kusnadi; Mangara Tambunan; M Firdaus
Indonesian Journal of Agricultural Economics Vol 2, No 2 (2011)
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Riau

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31258/ijae.2.2.109-122

Abstract

The increasing consumption of fossil fuels and the limitation of its availability are twomajor causes of the fluctuating trends of fossil fuels prices. They are also believed tohave created instability of certain feedstock prices since alternative energy used as thesubstitution of fossil fuels is based on this feedstock as well.This research is aimed onreviewing the correlation between the dynamic movement of the prices of crude palmoil (CPO) which is used in the production of biodiesel and the government policy ondeveloping renewable fuels using dynamics system approach. In particular, this researchwill examine whether policy to try increase CPO export tax to 20 % and to allocate 50%of CPO production for domestic need will influence the effort of fullfilling mandatorytarget for biodiesel to contribute at least 5% of the total national energy consumption by2025 and CPO prices trends.Keyword: dynamics system, CPO, biodiesel, fossil fuel
Co-Authors A, Akhmad Anny Ratnawati Any Ratnawati Arief Darjanto Arief Daryanto ASEP SAEFUDDIN Bonar M. Sinaga Boyke T. H. Situmorang D S Priyarsono D. S. Priyarsono Darsono . Eka Denny M Eko Wahyu Nugrahadi Elinur, Elinur Erliza Noor Erwidodo Erwidodo Harianto . Hermanto Siregar Imam Teguh Saptono Joko S. Usman M Firdaus Marimin , Muhammad Firdaus Nunung Kusnadi Pantjar Simatupang Prabianto Mukti Widodo Rasidin Karo-Karo Sitepu Rina Oktaviani Siti Sundari Sumedi Andoyo Mulyo Tanti Novianti Yeti Lis Purnamadewi Yusman Syaukat