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PENGARUH VARIABEL MONETER DALAM NEGERI DAN LUAR NEGERI TERHADAP NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH M. Fadjri Yansyah; Raja Masbar
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 4, No 1 (2019): Februari 2019
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UNSYIAH

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Abstract The purpose of this study is to see the influence of Indonesian interest rates, American interest rates, Indonesian inflation, American inflation, and BOP position towards rupiah exchange rate. The data used in this study are secondary data such as rupiah exchange rate data, Indonesian and American interest rates, Indonesian and American inflation, and Indonesian BOP during 2003-2017. This study uses the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) model or multiple linear regression to see the effects of Indonesian interest rates, American interest rates, Indonesian inflation, American inflation, and BOP. The results of this research concluded that Indonesian interest rates, American inflation rates, and Indonesian BOP have a negative and significant effect on the exchange rate, where the increases of Indonesian interest rates, American inflation rates, and Indonesian BOP will decrease the nominal of rupiah or appreciation of rupiah towards US dollar. But in this study, Indonesian inflation rates and American interest rates have a positive but unsignificant effect.Keywords: Exchange Rate, Inflation rate, Interest rate, BOP, Monetary Concentration
ANALISIS HUBUNGAN SEKTOR KONSTRUKSI TERHADAP PDRB PADA PROVINSI DI INDONESIA Elsa Amelia; Raja Masbar
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 5, No 3 (2020): AGUSTUS 2020
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UNSYIAH

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24815/jimekp.v5i3.16022

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Abstract This study aims to analyze the relationship of the construction sector to GRDP in provinces in Indonesia. In this study, the variables used are Construction, Labor, Investment and GRDP variables. This research was conducted to examine the impact and relationship on construction, labor, investment on a national scale and per zone (West, Central, East) in a certain period of time against the GRDP in Indonesia. The data for this study uses panel data of 34 provinces in Indonesia in the period 2010-2017 using the fixed effect model (FEM). The results of the fixed model approach show that construction has a positive but not significant effect on GRDP and then Investment has a positive and significant effect on GRDP in Indonesia. It is hoped that this research can become a reference and appeal for the government to implement construction sector policies in an effort to increase GRDP in every province in Indonesia.Keywords: construction, labor, investment and GRDP
DESENTRALISASI FISKAL DAN KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA (STUDI KASUS: INDONESIA BAGIAN TIMUR) Ichsan Maulana; Raja Masbar
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 3, No 1 (2018): Februari 2018
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UNSYIAH

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Penelitian ini dibuat untuk mengetahui sejauh mana pengaruh desentralisasi fiskal melalui Dana Alokasi Umum (DAU) dan Dana Alokasi Khusus (DAK), -dengan menggunakan Produk Domesik Regional Bruto (PDRB) sebagai variable kontrol, terhadap kemiskinan di Indonesia bagian timur; Papua, Papua Barat, Maluku, Maluku Utara dan Nusa Tenggara Timur (NTT). Data yang digunakan adalah data panel (pooled data) 5 provinsi tahun 2008-2013. Model yang digunakan ialah model panel dengan metode analisis fixed effect model. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa PDRB sebagai variabel kontrol berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap kemiskinan. Selanjutnya, instrumen desentralisasi fiskal DAK memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap kemiskinan. Adapun DAU mempunyai pengaruh negatif namun tidak signifikan. Pemerintah diharapkan dapat mengoptimalisasi alokasi DAU untuk belanja modal pada sektor yang dapat menstimulus perekonomian, hingga pada gilirannya dapat membantu dalam menurunkan tingkat kemiskinan.Kata Kunci: Desentralisasi Fiskal, Dana Alokasi Umum, Dana Alokasi Khusus, Kemiskinan, Fixed Effect Model.
Impact of Covid-19 Pandemic on Economic Growth of the Tourism Sector in Indonesia Mursalina Mursalina; Raja Masbar; Suriani Suriani
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol 3, No 1 (2022)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v3i1.261

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Indonesia has made the tourism sector one of its current development priorities. However, the Covid-19 pandemic has harmed various economic sectors, and the tourism sector is the most affected in Indonesia. As a result of policies carried out by various countries including Indonesia, such as lockdown, social distancing, and its kind, economic activity has slowed, tourist arrivals have decreased drastically, and investment has decreased due to the uncertainty caused by the pandemic. This study aims to examine the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on tourist arrivals and investment (domestic and foreign investment) and its impact on the economic growth of the tourism sector in Indonesia. This study uses the path analysis method by using mediating variables, namely tourist arrivals, and investment paths. Panel data regression is used to regress the path analysis equation, with data series 2018q1 – 2021q2 and cross-sections in 22 provinces in Indonesia that have tourist entrances.
Determinants of Socio Economic and Demographic Characteristics of Poverty in Aceh Province Heri Wintara; Raja Masbar; Suriani Suriani
International Journal of Business, Economics, and Social Development Vol 2, No 2 (2021)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijbesd.v2i2.134

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This study analyzes the effect of socio-economic and demographic characteristics on poverty levels in Aceh Province in the short and long run. Socio-economic characteristics are represented by factors of income per capita, open unemployment rate, and cigarette consumption. While the demographic characteristics are represented by the dependency ratio factor. This study uses panel data from 23 districts/cities in Aceh Province for the 2010-2019 period and the analysis model used is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) panel model. The results found in this study are the dependency ratio factor, cigarette consumption, and the open unemployment rate have a significant effect in the long run on the percentage of poor people. Meanwhile, the significant factors in the short run are the dependency ratio and the open unemployment rate.
Analysis of The Effect of Monetary Policy on Government Sharia Securities (SBSN) in Indonesia Juaris Juaris; Raja Masbar; Chenny Seftarita
SRIWIJAYA INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DYNAMIC ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS SIJDEB, Vol. 2 No. 2, June 2018
Publisher : Faculty of Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (360.833 KB) | DOI: 10.29259/sijdeb.v2i2.109-122

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Outstanding Government Sharia Securities (SBSN) in Indonesia from the first published on 2008 continued to experience significant growth. Monetary indicators often associated with capital markets are inflation, exchange rate and interest rate (BI Rate) show a fluctuating pattern, these factors can inhibitSBSN growth.This study aims to analyze the effect of monetary policy(inflation, exchange rate and BI Rate) on Government Sharia Securities (SBSN) and the contribution of Government Sharia Securities (SBSN) tothe state budget(APBN). Using monthly time series data from January 2010 until July 2016 and Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL), the estimation results conclude that there is a co-integration in the models studied. While the estimation result of ARDL shows in the long term, exchange rate significantly has an effect on SBSN. While inflation and BI Rate have no significant effect on SBSN either in the short or long term. This study also shows the positive contribution of SBSN as deficit financing and development project. Therefore, the government must optimize the state sukuk by increasing the issuance of state sukuk in the structure of the state budget and supported by the control of inflation and exchange rate. For investors can take advantage of the state sukuk to invest, this is consistent with the insignificant effect of interest rate so that the investment is safe with sharia principles.
KAUSALITAS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI KEPADATAN PENDUDUK DAN KEMISKINAN DI PROVINSI ACEH Fahmi Aqsal; Raja Masbar
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 8, No 1 (2023): FEBRUARI 2023
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UNSYIAH

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24815/jimekp.v8i1.26038

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AbstrackThis research consists in in Aceh Province of the variables of economic growth, population density, and poverty, the data used is in the form of annual time series data, namely 2000-2021, which comes from the Aceh Central Statistics Agency (BPS). This study uses descriptive and quantitative methods with the data analysis technique Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) which is in line with the problem formulation and research objectives. The results of the research show that in the short term, the variables of economic growth and population density together harm poverty. Then the variables of poverty and population density together harm economic growth in the short term. Meanwhile, the variables of poverty and economic growth individually have opposite effects in the long run. This explains that these three variables are important factors in the economy. It is hoped that the government will be able to create accelerated economic growth to offset the growth in population density so that it can significantly reduce the poverty rate.Keywords: Economic Growth, Population Density, Poverty
Sustainable Development in ASEAN-5: Renewable Energy, Natural Resources Rent and Economic Globalization Geubrina, Yulia; Aliasuddin, Aliasuddin; Abrar, Muhammad; Masbar, Raja; Saputra, Jumadil
International Journal of Business, Economics & Financial Studies Vol. 2 No. 2 (2024): November 2024
Publisher : Indonesia Academia Research Society

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62157/ijbefs.v2i2.44

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Sustainable development has emerged as a critical global concern, particularly in the context of energy consumption and environmental quality. In Southeast Asia, the heavy reliance on fossil fuels, especially oil, poses significant challenges to achieving sustainability goals. This study investigates the impact of renewable energy consumption, natural resource rents, and economic globalization on the Sustainable Development Index (SDI). Using panel data from five ASEAN countries—Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Singapore, and the Philippines—from 2000 to 2020, the analysis applies panel quantile regression to explore the relationships among the variables. The findings reveal that renewable energy consumption and economic globalization contribute positively to the Sustainable Development Index, whereas natural resource rents exhibit a negative impact. A distinctive aspect of this research is its use of the Sustainable Development Index as a metric, offering a novel approach not extensively employed in prior studies. The insights derived from this study can inform the development of policies promoting sustainable development, particularly through adopting renewable energy and managing economic globalization. Additionally, the findings underscore the need to address the adverse effects of natural resource exploitation to enhance regional sustainability outcomes.
Examining the Causal Relationship between Inflation and Unemployment in Indonesia Angga, Binanga; Aliasuddin, Aliasuddin; Abrar, Muhammad; Masbar, Raja; Saputra, Jumadil
International Journal of Business, Economics & Financial Studies Vol. 2 No. 2 (2024): November 2024
Publisher : Indonesia Academia Research Society

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62157/ijbefs.v2i2.45

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Inflation and unemployment are significant challenges faced by both developing and developed countries. This study analyzes the causal relationship between inflation, as measured by the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Deflator, and open unemployment in Indonesia. Using a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) panel model, the analysis is based on panel data from 34 provinces from the first semester of 2015 to the second semester of 2022. The results of statistical tests indicate a unidirectional causality, with inflation Granger-causing unemployment, but not vice versa. This finding is further supported by the Vector Autoregression estimates, where Lag 4 reveals that unemployment is primarily influenced by inflation, while inflation remains unaffected by unemployment. To address the issue of unemployment, policymakers should prioritize controlling inflation and keeping it within manageable limits, as reducing inflation could contribute to improved unemployment rates. Future research should explore the relationship between inflation and unemployment through qualitative interviews with individuals who have experienced both issues to understand their daily impacts better.
The Influence of Conventional Banking and Sharia Banking on Economic Growth in Indonesia Mutia, Ratna; Masbar, Raja; Abd. Majid, M. Shabri; Khalidin, Bismi
Jurnal Ilmiah Peuradeun Vol. 13 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Ilmiah Peuradeun
Publisher : SCAD Independent

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26811/peuradeun.v13i1.1418

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The financial sector is referred to as one of the factors influencing the monetary crisis. This study examined the relationship between the banking development score in the dual banking system model and economic growth in Indonesia. This study used a quantitative method, using the VECM approach and the Granger Causality model. The findings showed that Conventional Banking Credit Growth, Sharia Banking Financing Growth, PMTB, LDR and FDR, and ROA of conventional and Sharia banks had a positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia. The inflation variables, NPF, and NPL had a negative effect on economic growth in Indonesia. This finding provided us with an understanding that the existence of Sharia banking could drive economic growth in Indonesia. In conventional banks, in the long term, there was a long-term relationship between the independent variables and the dependent variables. This study provided new insights into the influence of the banking sector on economic growth in Indonesia, highlighting the importance of synergy between conventional and Islamic banking in creating diverse financial instruments and enhancing access to banking services, especially in areas with limited financial access.