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NILAI EKSPOR SAWIT DAN KONTRIBUSINYA TERHADAP PENDAPATAN DAERAH PROVINSI RIAU Nizar, Rini; Latifa Siswati; Amalia; Erick Gunawan Bahar
Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian dan Agribisnis Vol. 9 No. 4 (2025)
Publisher : Department of Agricultural Social Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Brawijaya University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21776/

Abstract

Kelapa sawit merupakan komoditas utama yang mendukung perekonomian Indonesia, khususnya sektor pertanian, dengan kontribusi signifikan terhadap PDRB. Riau, sebagai penghasil terbesar minyak sawit di Indonesia, memiliki sektor perkebunan yang berperan penting sebagai tanaman perdagangan. Penting untuk menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi sektor ini, agar dapat membantu evaluasi kebijakan pemerintah dalam pengembangan perkebunan sawit. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi nilai ekspor sawit dan sejauh mana kontribusinya terhadap pendapatan daerah Provinsi Riau. Model regresi yang digunakan untuk menjelaskan nilai ekspor CPO menunjukkan hasil yang sangat baik, dengan R-squared yang tinggi dan Multiple R mendekati 1, menandakan kemampuan model yang kuat dalam memprediksi nilai ekspor CPO. Nilai F hitung yang besar dan P-value kecil menunjukkan signifikansi model secara keseluruhan, meskipun beberapa variabel independen tidak signifikan. Selain itu, kontribusi ekspor CPO terhadap PDRB sektor perkebunan dipengaruhi oleh berbagai faktor seperti fluktuasi harga CPO global, kebijakan internasional, kebakaran hutan, dan pandemi COVID-19. Meskipun mengalami penurunan antara 2015 hingga 2019, sektor CPO pulih signifikan pada 2021 dan 2022 berkat lonjakan harga dan permintaan biodiesel, meskipun tantangan dari isu lingkungan dan kebijakan internasional tetap ada.
Analysis of The Potential of Superior Food Crop Commodities in Siak Regency with Geographic Information System (GIS) Visualization Zargustin, Dedi; Harmaidi, Desma; Siswati, Latifa; Nizar, Rini
Jurnal AGRISEP JURNAL AGRISEP VOL. 25 NO. 01 2026 (MARCH)
Publisher : Badan Penerbitan Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Bengkulu

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31186/jagrisep.25.01.169-188

Abstract

Regional economic development, in rural areas, relies heavily on the identification of key sectors with the highest growth potential. In this context, the agricultural sector, especially food crop production, is the backbone of local economic resilience. The development of superior food crop commodities in Siak Regency is very important to increase agricultural productivity and the welfare of rural communities. To assess this potential, the study integrated several analysis methods, including the Sectoral Contribution Index (SCI), Growth Ratio Model (GRM), Location Quotient (LQ), and Dynamic Location Quotient (DLQ), which were combined in the Composite Index (CI). In addition, GIS is used to visualize the spatial distribution of these analyses. The results showed that Bungaraya Village and Kemuning Muda Village were the main contributors to rice production in Siak Regency, each accounting for 23% of the total rice production in the area. GRM analysis shows that Temusai Village has the highest growth rate of rice production, even though it is influenced by external factors that cause production fluctuations. The results of the LQ and DLQ analysis show that some villages, such as Bungaraya and Kemuning Muda, not only meet local needs but also have the potential to support exports. The use of GIS to visualize the results of this analysis allows mapping of the spatial distribution and identification of areas with potential for further development. These findings are expected to be the basis for policy-making that supports the development of sustainable agriculture and the improvement of community welfare in Siak Regency.
Economic and Policy Factors Affecting Palm Oil Export Value in Riau Province Nizar, Rini; Gunawan Bahar, Erick
JURNAL AGRIBISAINS Vol. 12 No. 1 (2026): Jurnal AgribiSains
Publisher : Universitas Djuanda

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30997/jagi.v12i1.24110

Abstract

The palm oil industry is a strategic sector in Indonesia’s economy that contributes significantly to national income, employment creation, and energy diversification. Riau Province, as one of the largest producers of crude palm oil (CPO), plays an important role in supporting Indonesia’s export performance. However, fluctuations in export value are influenced by various internal and external factors, including international prices, exchange rates, land area, production volume, and government policies. This study aims to analyze the influence of economic factors and regulatory policies on the export value of CPO at both the provincial (Riau) and national levels. The research applies a multiple linear regression model using annual secondary data from 2013 to 2022 obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), the Directorate General of Plantations, and the World Bank. The results show that international prices and land area significantly affect CPO export value, while production and exchange rates have no significant influence. Strategic policies such as the Indonesian Sustainable Palm Oil (ISPO) certification, moratorium on new permits, and fiscal incentives have a positive but statistically insignificant short-term impact. The findings imply that Indonesia’s CPO export growth is mainly driven by global market dynamics and land capacity. Therefore, consistent and integrated sustainable policy support is essential to enhance competitiveness and ensure long-term export stability.
Factors Influencing Consumer Behavior Towards Ornamental Plants Purchase Decisions (Case Study: Roni Flower in Rumbai District, Pekanbaru City) Manik, Desi Irawasih; Nizar, Rini; Amalia
JURNAL AGRIBISAINS Vol. 12 No. 1 (2026): Jurnal AgribiSains
Publisher : Universitas Djuanda

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30997/jagi.v12i1.24234

Abstract

The growing popularity of ornamental plants has increased business opportunities in this sector, including at Roni Flower in Rumbai District, Pekanbaru City. However, business owners still face challenges in understanding the factors that influence consumers’ purchasing decisions for ornamental plants. A better understanding of consumer behavior is essential to develop more effective and targeted marketing strategies. This study aims to analyze the influence of cultural, social, personal, and psychological factors on consumers’ purchasing decisions for ornamental plants at Roni Flower. The research employed a quantitative approach using a survey method involving consumers who had previously purchased ornamental plants. Data were analyzed using Structural Equation Modeling based on Partial Least Squares (SEM-PLS). The results indicate that social and personal factors influence consumers’ purchasing decisions, while cultural and psychological factors do not significantly influence purchasing decisions. These findings suggest that consumers’ decisions to purchase ornamental plants are more strongly shaped by social interactions and personal characteristics, such as lifestyle and individual preferences, rather than by cultural values or internal psychological considerations. Based on these findings, ornamental plant businesses are encouraged to strengthen marketing strategies that leverage social influence, such as utilizing social media, collaborating with plant enthusiast communities, and organizing educational activities related to ornamental plant care. In addition, business owners should align their products with consumers’ preferences and lifestyles to enhance product attractiveness and sustain market demand.