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ANALISIS KAUSALITAS OUTPUT, KURS, SUKU BUNGA DAN INFLASI DENGAN INVESTASI ASING DI INDONESIA Maltio Maltio; Melti Roza Adry; Yeniwati Yeniwati
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 4, No 2 (2015): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.10966257.00

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship among output, exchange rate, interest rate (BI rate) and inflation with foreign investment (FDI), in Indonesia. The relationship among that variables is very important, because Indonesia getting start to optimize the growth economic arising out of crisis.This study used a VAR model to see causality output, exchange rate, interest rate (BI rate) and inflation with foreign investment (FDI). The data used is the time series data from 2003: 1-2014: 3 collected through documentation of relevant government agencies. In more detail, the technique used is the Vector Autoregression (VAR) to analyze the causal relationship.The results obtained indicate that foreign direct investment (FDI) has a causal relationship with the output. But there was no causal relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) with the exchange rate, interest rate (BI rate) and inflation only unidirectional relationship in which foreign investment (FDI) effect on the exchange rate and foreign investment affect the BI rate.Keyword : foreign investment, exchange rates, interest rate ad inflation
ANALISIS KAUSALITAS TRIPLE DEFICIT HYPOTHESIS DI INDONESIA Lara Putri Arantika; Yeniwati Yeniwati; Mike Triani
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 7, No 1 (2018): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.11065857.00

Abstract

This study aims to determine and analyze the causal relationship of triple deficit hypotheis between budget deficit, current account deficit, and saving-investment gap in Indonesia by using Vector Autoregression (VAR) method. The type of this research is descriptive reseacrh, where the data used secondary data in the form of time series data from the year 2003:Q1-2016:Q4. The finding of this study indicate that budget deficit and current account deficit have one-way relationship, budget deficit and saving-investment gaphave one-way relationship and current account deficit and saving-investment gap not have causality or one-way relationship.
FAKTOR PENDORONG EKSPOR PRODUK TEKSTIL INDONESIA KE AMERIKA Yeniwati Yeniwati
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 2, No 1 (2013): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (4.734 KB) | DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.347157.00

Abstract

This study aims to analyze effect of export prices and United States income on export textile Indonesia to The United State. Types of data used are secondary data from 1982 until 2011. Analysis of the data used the OLS Method. The results are export prices and United States income significant effect on exports of textiles Indonesia to the United States. It can be seen from positive coefficient value and significant.
Analisis Determinan Efisiensi Perbankan di Indonesia Halim Azhar; Yeniwati Yeniwati
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 9, No 2 (2020): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.11574457.00

Abstract

This study aims to determine the extent of the influence of bank size (total assets), capital adequacy (CAR) and credit risk (NPL) on banking efficiency in Indonesia. Banking efficiency in this study uses the BOPO indicator. This research is classified into descriptive and inductive research. The data used in this study is secondary data in the form of panel data on 27 conventional commercial banks in Indonesia from 2010 to 2019 obtained from the Financial Services Authority (OJK). This study uses a panel regression analysis method. The results of the study using the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) show that: (1) Bank size (total assets) has a negative and insignificant effect on bank efficiency in Indonesia, (2) Capital adequacy (car) has a negative and insignificant effect on bank efficiency. negative and insignificant to bank efficiency in Indonesia, (3) Credit risk (NPL) has a negative and significant effect on bank efficiency in Indonesia. (4) Bank size (total assets), Capital adequacy (car) and credit risk together significant effect on banking efficiency in Indonesia.
PENGARUH KEBIJAKAN INFLATION TARGETING FRAMEWORK (ITF) DALAM MEMODERASI VARIABEL MONETER TERHADAP INFLASI DI INDONESIA Ratih Ratna Sari; Yeniwati Yeniwati
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 1, No 2 (2019): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (832.173 KB) | DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v1i2.6240

Abstract

This study aims to determine the effect of the inflation targeting framework (ITF) policy or the inflation target in moderating monetary variables to inflation in Indonesia. The data used are secondary data in the form of time series from 2005: Q3 to 2018: Q4, with documentation data collection techniques and library studies obtained from relevant institutions and agencies. The variables used are interest rates (X1), the money supply (X2), and exchange rates (X3) as independent variables. Variable inflation targeting framework or inflation target (X4) as a moderating and inflation variable (Y) as the dependent variable. The research method used is Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA). The results of the study show that (1) Partially interest rate and money supply significant positive effect to inflation in Indonesia. (2) Partilally exchange rate and inflation target do not have a signifivant effect to inflation in Indonesia. (3)Partially the inflation target is able to moderate interest rates to inflation in Indonesia. The inflation target is pure moderation. (4) Partially the inflation target is not able to moderate the money supply to inflation, where the inflation target is only a potential moderating variable.  (5) Partially the inflation target is not able to moderate the exchange rate to inflation, where the inflation target is only a potential moderating variable
Analisis Kausalitas Kemiskinan, Pekerja Anak dan Angka Putus Sekolah di Indonesia Sri Selvia; Yeniwati Yeniwati
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 2, No 3 (2020): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v2i3.12673

Abstract

In research  was conducted to determine and analyze the causality relationship between poverty variables, child labor variabels and dropout rates variabels  in 33 province  and how the response of a variable due to the shock of other variables. This type of study is descriptive and associative analysis, with data used are secondary data types, namely panel data in province in Indonesia from 2010 to 2018 with data collection techniques documentation and literature studies obtained from institutions and institutions namely the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and the Ministry of Women's Empowerment and Child Protection (KemenPPPA). Data analysis  used in this study is analysis descriptive and inductive. In the inductive analysis there are several tests that must be performed, namely: (1) Unit root test, (2) Determination of Optimum Lag, (3) Stability Test, (4) Granger Causality Test, (5) Cointegration Test, (6) PVAR Test , (7) IRF test and (8) VD test. The results in this study explain that (1) poverty and child labor do not have a causality relationship only has a one-way relationship while poverty and drop out have a causality relationship. Furthermore, child labor and dropout rates have a causal relationship. The FEVD analysis explains that (4) In the short term child labor and dropout rates do not contribute to influencing the movement of poverty in Indonesia while in the long run child labor shocks and dropout rates affect the variability of poverty in Indonesia. (5) In the short term the variability of child labor is only affected by poverty while in the long run poverty shocks and dropout rates affect the movement of child labor in Indonesia. (6) variability in the number of dropouts in the short and long term is influenced by poverty shocks and dropout rates.
ANALISIS MEKANISME TRANSMISI KEBIJAKAN MONETER TERHADAP INFLASI Mita Ratna Sari; Yeniwati Yeniwati
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 1, No 2 (2019): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1053.695 KB) | DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v1i2.6173

Abstract

This study aims to determine the effect of the BI Rate through the transmission of interest rates on Bank Indonesia Certificates (SBI), interest rates on the Interbank Money Market (PUAB), loan interest rates and deposit rates on inflation. The type of research used is associative descriptive research. The type of data in this study is secondary data and time series in the form of quarterly data from 2001 to 2016. Analysis of the data used is descriptive analysis and inductive analysis. The method used is Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA), in the inductive analysis there are tests, namely: Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA), classic assumption test and t test. These results show that: (1) the BI Rate has a significant effect through the transmission of SBI interest rates to inflation (2) the BI Rate has a significant effect through the transmission of interbank rates to inflation (3) the BI Rate has a significant effect through transmission of lending rates to inflation (4) The BI Rate has no significant effect through the transmission of deposit rates to inflation.
Pengaruh Kualitas Sumber daya Manusia, Korupsi dan Ketimpangan Pendapatan Terhadap Kemiskinan Di Indonesia Muhammad Abram; Yeniwati Yeniwati
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 3, No 3 (2021): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v3i3.12367

Abstract

This study explains the extent of the influence between the Quality of Human Resources, Corruption, Income Inequality on Poverty in Indonesia. This study combines cross section data in 33 provinces with time series from 2011-2019, using the Panel Regression method with a Fixed Effect model selection test. ) 1) Quality of Human Resources has a negative and significant effect on Poverty in Indonesia, 2) Corruption has a positive and insignificant effect on poverty in Indonesia, (3) income inequality has a positive and insignificant effect on poverty in Indonesia.
PENGARUH FLUKTUASI HARGA MINYAK DUNIA TERHADAP VARIABEL MAKRO EKONOMI INDONESIA Resi Yunita; Yeniwati Yeniwati
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 3, No 4 (2021): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v3i4.12382

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of fluctuations in world oil prices on Indonesian macroeconomic variables. The data used in this study is time series data from 1987 to 2019 taken from the World Bank, the Central Statistics Agency and FRED Economic Data. This study is a quantitative study using secondary data and the VAR/VECM analysis model. The results show that fluctuations in world oil prices are only significant in the long term while in the short term fluctuations in world oil prices have insignificant effects on inflation, economic growth and impacts. This shows that world oil prices have a significant influence on Indonesia's macroeconomic variables in the long run.
ANALISIS PRODUKSI, IMPOR DAN KONSUMSI KOMODITI BERAS DI INDONESIA Rahma Yulnita; Yeniwati Yeniwati
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 1, No 2 (2019): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (795.898 KB) | DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v1i2.6287

Abstract

The research conducted aims to determine the effect of: (1) Rice Production Against Rice Imports in Indonesia; (2) Rice Production Against Rice Consumption in Indonesia; (3) Imports of Rice Against Rice Consumption in Indonesia. The type of this research is descriptive and associative research, and the data used is time series data with the research period 1985-2016. Data collection techniques used are documentation techniques, literature studies, publications from the Ministry of Agriculture in the form of Rice Outlook, and publications from Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics. In this study the data analysis used is Descriptive Analysis and Inductive Analysis which consists of: Simple Linear Regression, Classical Assumption Test, and Determination Coefficient (R2). While the analysis in this study uses E-Views 8. The results of this study indicate that (1) Rice production has a significant and positive effect (prob = 0.0010 <α = 0.05) on rice imports in Indonesia with an influence level of 5.821536 (2) Rice production has a significant and negative effect (prob = 0.0063 <α = 0.05) on rice consumption in Indonesia with the level of influence of (-0.089005). (3) Rice imports have a significant and negative effect (prob = 0.0321 <α = 0.05) on rice consumption in Indonesia with an influence level of (-0.016228). Based on the results of the research that has been done, it is suggested to the government: (1) In the future the government is expected to be able to stabilize rice prices in Indonesia, perhaps by determining the price of rice circulating in the market and this will affect the welfare of the people in Indonesia must be done to help the consumption of the poor in Indonesia; (2) It is expected that the government does not import rice anymore because Indonesia is an agricultural country engaged in the agricultural sector; (3) It is expected to be able to adjust the availability of food, namely rice stocks in the country and not so much that the rice stock exceeds the amount of rice stock set by the government.