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THE INFLUENCE OF POPULATION GROWTH, INFLATION AND HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX ON ECONOMIC GROWTH AND POVERTY Satria, Wisnu; Fachrurrozi, Kamal; Kadri , Mirzatul; Mubarak, Muhammad Syahrul
Jurnal REP (Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan) Vol. 9 No. 2 (2024): October 2024
Publisher : Universitas Tidar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31002/rep.v9i2.1844

This study aims to analyze and find out the influence of population growth inflation and the human development index on economic growth and the number of poor people in East Kalimantan Province. The analysis tool used is path analysis. The data used is secondary data from 2013-2022. The results of the analysis of path 1. Population growth has a positive and insignificant effect on economic growth, inflation has a negative and insignificant effect on economic growth, and the human development index has a positive and significant effect on economic growth in East Kalimantan Province. The results of the analysis of path 2. Population growth negatively and significantly affects the number of poor people, inflation has a positive and insignificant effect, and the human development index negatively and significantly affects the number of poor people, as well as economic growth, has a positive and significant effect on the number of poor people in East Kalimantan Province. Population growth and the human development index have a positive and insignificant effect on the number of poor people through economic growth, while inflation has a negative and insignificant effect on the number of poor people through economic growth in East Kalimantan Province. The effect of total inflation and economic growth is positive and un-negating on the number of poor people, population growth and human development index are negative and insignificant on the number of poor people in East Kalimantan Province.

Asymmetric Impact of Exchange Rate and Industrial Production on Indonesian Agricultural Exports Elfiana; Fachrurrozi, Kamal
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 23 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v23i1.23317

The agricultural sector plays a pivotal role in the economies of agrarian nations. This study investigates the asymmetric impact of both the exchange rate and the industrial production index on Indonesian agricultural exports from January 2010 to August 2023. Employing the Non-Linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model, we captured the nuanced asymmetric effects of these predictors. Our findings reveal that both positive (depreciation) and negative (appreciation) exchange rate asymmetries significantly influence agricultural exports in the long run. The exchange rate multiplier effect suggests that depreciation will lead to increased agricultural exports in the short run, partly due to future exchange rate interventions. Furthermore, a positive industrial production index consistently and significantly impacts agricultural exports in both the short and long run, demonstrating steady growth over time. These findings carry important policy implications. Policymakers should consider these findings when controlling and maintaining the exchange rate at an optimal level. Policymakers should prioritize the development and strengthening of the industrial sector to enhance agricultural export performance.

Criminality, Poverty, and Unemployment in Aceh Province: Evidence from Granger Causality Fachrurrozi, Kamal; Satria, Wisnu; Ichwan , Ichwan; Kadri, Mirzatul
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika Vol 9 No 1 (2025): Jurnal Samuka
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jse.v9i1.11110

Criminality is one of the negative activities that emerge in social circles. The presence of criminality poses a challenge for policymakers because it disrupts public security and impacts economic stability. Forms of criminal activities include robbery, theft, gambling, murder, and corruption. The criminal cases in Aceh Province are quite serious. This study aims to analyze the relationship between criminality, poverty, and unemployment in Aceh Province. The research data was collected from 2010 to 2023. The research analysis method uses the Granger causality approach. The results of the study found that poverty has a one-way influence on criminality, criminality has a one-way influence on unemployment, and there is a two-way relationship between poverty and unemployment. Based on these findings, criminality, poverty, and unemployment need special attention. Policymakers need to provide support such as education, health, and welfare for the poor. In addition, there should also be available job opportunities in the informal sector to reduce unemployment rates.

Analysis of the Effect of the Probability Ratio on Sharia Stock Return (Study on the List of Undelisting Sharia Stocks in the Jakarta Islamic Index December 2014-2018) Sari, Nilam; Fachrurrozi, Kamal; Rizqy, Irhas
Jurnal Ilmiah Peuradeun Vol. 10 No. 2 (2022): Jurnal Ilmiah Peuradeun
Publisher : SCAD Independent

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26811/peuradeun.v10i2.721

This research was conducted to determine the effect of Return On Assets, Return On Equity, and Earning Per Share on Sharia Stock Returns in Indonesia. The data used in this study comes from the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2014-2018 period. The method used was descriptive statistical analysis and Fixed Effect Model (FEM) panel regression analysis. The results of this study indicated that partially the Return On Asset variable had a negative and significant effect on Sharia Stock Return. While the variables Return On Equity and Earning Per Share partially had a positive and significant effect on Sharia Stock Return. Then, simultaneously the variables Return On Asset, Return On Equity, and Earning Per Share had a positive and significant effect on Sharia Stock Return.

THE INFLUENCE OF POPULATION GROWTH, INFLATION AND HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX ON ECONOMIC GROWTH AND POVERTY Satria, Wisnu; Fachrurrozi, Kamal; Kadri , Mirzatul; Mubarak, Muhammad Syahrul
Jurnal REP (Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan) Vol. 9 No. 2 (2024): October 2024
Publisher : Universitas Tidar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31002/rep.v9i2.1844

This study aims to analyze and find out the influence of population growth inflation and the human development index on economic growth and the number of poor people in East Kalimantan Province. The analysis tool used is path analysis. The data used is secondary data from 2013-2022. The results of the analysis of path 1. Population growth has a positive and insignificant effect on economic growth, inflation has a negative and insignificant effect on economic growth, and the human development index has a positive and significant effect on economic growth in East Kalimantan Province. The results of the analysis of path 2. Population growth negatively and significantly affects the number of poor people, inflation has a positive and insignificant effect, and the human development index negatively and significantly affects the number of poor people, as well as economic growth, has a positive and significant effect on the number of poor people in East Kalimantan Province. Population growth and the human development index have a positive and insignificant effect on the number of poor people through economic growth, while inflation has a negative and insignificant effect on the number of poor people through economic growth in East Kalimantan Province. The effect of total inflation and economic growth is positive and un-negating on the number of poor people, population growth and human development index are negative and insignificant on the number of poor people in East Kalimantan Province.

How Financial Ratios and Firm Size Affect Profitability: Evidence from Chemical Industry in Indonesia Kadri, Mirzatul; Muzaiyana, Zahara; Satria, Wisnu; Dawood, Taufiq C.; Fachrurrozi, Kamal; Ichwan, Ichwan
Indatu Journal of Management and Accounting Vol. 3 No. 2 (2025): December 2025
Publisher : Heca Sentra Analitika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.60084/ijma.v3i2.353

This study investigates the impact of financial ratios and firm size on the profitability of companies in the chemical industry listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during the period 2019–2023 . Profitability is measured using Return on Assets (ROA), while the independent variables include Working Capital to Total Assets (WCTA), Current Ratio (CR), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), Total Asset Turnover (TAT), and Firm Size (SZ). A quantitative approach was employed using multiple linear regression analysis. The sample consisted of 25 chemical companies selected through purposive sampling. The findings reveal that CR, TAT, and SZ have a significant positive effect on ROA, while DER has a significant negative effect. WCTA, however, shows no significant impact on profitability. The adjusted R² value of 0.742 indicates that 74.2% of the variation in profitability can be explained by the model. These results highlight the importance of liquidity management, efficient asset utilization, optimal capital structure, and firm scale in driving profitability in the chemical sector. The study provides valuable insights for company management, investors, and policymakers in enhancing financial performance and strategic decision-making within the industry.

PENGARUH GOVERNMENT BOND YIELD DAN TINGKAT INFLASI TERHADAP INVESTASI ASING LANGSUNG DI INDONESIA satria, wisnu; Nasriyal, Nasriyal; Marfali, Said Raushan; Abrar, Muhammad; Fachrurrozi, Kamal; Kadri, Mirzatul; Ichwan, Ichwan
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika Vol 10 No 1 (2026): Jurnal Samuka
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jse.v10i1.14137

Penelitian ini menganalisis pengaruh imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah (government bond yields) dan inflasi terhadap Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) di Indonesia menggunakan data sekunder periode 2003–2024 dengan metode regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap FDI. Artinya, ketika imbal hasil obligasi meningkat, investor asing memandang adanya peningkatan risiko dalam perekonomian, sehingga mereka lebih memilih instrumen keuangan yang dianggap aman dibandingkan melakukan investasi jangka panjang. Akibatnya, arus masuk FDI ke Indonesia cenderung menurun seiring meningkatnya imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah. Sementara itu, inflasi tidak terbukti berpengaruh signifikan terhadap FDI dalam periode penelitian. Hal ini dapat mengindikasikan bahwa fluktuasi inflasi berada dalam rentang yang masih dapat diprediksi atau telah diperhitungkan oleh investor asing, sehingga tidak secara langsung memengaruhi keputusan mereka dalam menanamkan modal. Model regresi yang digunakan telah memenuhi asumsi klasik, seperti normalitas, tidak adanya multikolinearitas, serta tidak terjadi heteroskedastisitas dan autokorelasi. Dengan demikian, hasil penelitian dinilai reliabel. Secara keseluruhan, penelitian ini menegaskan bahwa pergerakan imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah merupakan faktor penting dalam memengaruhi arus masuk FDI ke Indonesia.

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