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Journal : International Journal of Public Health Science (IJPHS)

Dengue hemorrhagic fever prediction in coastal area using geographically weighted regression Kesetyaningsih, Tri Wulandari; Kusbaryanto, Kusbaryanto; Widayani, Prima
International Journal of Public Health Science (IJPHS) Vol 13, No 2: June 2024
Publisher : Intelektual Pustaka Media Utama

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijphs.v13i2.23304

Abstract

Dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) is still a health problem globally, including in Indonesia. Geographical and climatic conditions in coastal areas are different from other areas, which may impact differences in environmental risk factors for dengue. This study aims to create a prediction model for the incidence of DHF in coastal areas. The research was conducted in Bantul Regency, Indonesia, involving data from 2015-2019. Dengue incidence data were collected from the health office. Climatic data were from climatology station. Data on altitude and shoreline distance were obtained by geographic information system (GIS) processing. Population density and wide settlement area are obtained from the Bureau of Statistics. The geographically weighted regression (GWR) analysis was carried out using GWR4. The results showed that GWR with a weighting of Fixed Bi-Square Kernel obtained an R2 value of 0.7768, better than the global model (R2 0.5254). It indicates that DHF (Y) in Bantul Regency is 77.68% determined by population density (X1), altitude (X2), settlement area (X3), shoreline distance (X4) and rainfall (X5) and the remaining 22.32% are influenced by other variables which are not investigated. Geographically, the predictor variables explain the DHF incidence with a strong category in the central region, and weak in coastal area.
Co-Authors Achmad Fadhilah Achmad Fadilah Ade Febri Sandhini P Agatha Andriantari Agus Joko Pitoyo Akmal Hafiudzan Andung Bayu Sekaranom Arief Wicaksono Arrafi, Muhammad Bagus Wiratmoko Bowo Susilo Dewi Miska Indrawati Dyah Kusuma, Dyah Edi Suharyadi Erika Yuliantari Fadilah, Achmad Fathilda, Intan Khaeruli Febrianti, Ni Kadek Oki Ghosh, Kapil Hamim Zaky Hadibasyir Hari Kusnanto Hidayatullah, Faqih Huwaida Nur Salsabila Indrawati, Dewi Miska Ira Nurmala Hani Irawan, Irfan Zaki Irfan Zaki Irawan Irfan Zaki Irawan Irsan, Laode Muhamad Iswari Nur Hidayati Kapil Ghosh Kusbaryanto Mahendra, Auzaie Ihza Mizan, Rahmat azul Muhammad Arrafi Muhammad Kamal Muhammad Kamal Muhammad Minan Chusni Muhammad Sufwandika Wijaya Muhammad Sufwandika Wijaya Muhammad Sufwandika Wijaya Murti Budi Santosa, Sigit Heru Ni Kadek Oki Febrianti Nur Mohammad Farda Nur Mohammad Farda Nurbandi, Wahyu Nurhadi, Muhammad Nurul Astuti, Nurul Nurweni, Susi Nurwita Mustika Sari Projo Danoedoro Projo Danoedoro Projo Danoedoro R. Suharyadi Ramadhan Pasca Wijaya Rina Febriany Sandy Budi Wibowo Sanjiwana Arjasakusuma Sanjiwana Arjasakusuma, Sanjiwana Santosa, Sigit Herumurti Budi Seandrasto Abi Kharis Wardhani Shandra S Pertiwi Sigit Heru Murti Sitti Rahmah Umniyati Sudaryatno Sudaryatno Sugeng Juwono Mardihusodo Suherningtyas, Ika Afianita Totok Gunawan Totok Wahyu Wibowo Tri Wulandari Kesetyaningsih Ulfa Aulia Syamsuri Vandam Caesariadi Bramdito Wahyu Nurbandi Wiratmoko, Bagus Wirayuda, I Kade Alfian Kusuma Zahrotunisa, Siti