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All Journal International Journal of Social Science and Business Jumat Ekonomi: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat ProBisnis : Jurnal Manajemen Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Eka Prasetya Outline Journal of Economic Studies Abdimas Paspama International Journal for Advanced Research Jurnal Pemberdayaan Kepada Masyarakat
Aryani Sairun
Universitas Battuta
Religion Aerospace Engineering Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Mathematics Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Analysis of the Impact of the Open Unemployment Rate and Household Consumption on Poverty in Sumatra from 2021 to 2025 Tri Febriani Sipayung; Trivena Kezia Silaban; Apriani Hutabarat; Aryani Sairun
International Journal For Advanced Research Vol. 3 No. 1: June 2026
Publisher : Outline Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61730/t5cw5j10

Abstract

Poverty remains a major development challenge in Indonesia, particularly on the island of Sumatra, which has a diverse economic landscape. This study aims to examine the impact of the Open Unemployment Rate (OUR) and Household Consumption on poverty rates across ten provinces in Sumatra during the period 2021–2025. By applying multiple linear regression to panel data, it was found that both independent variables simultaneously and significantly influence poverty (F = 8.850; p = 0.001). Individually, household consumption exhibits a strong negative effect on poverty at a significance level of 0.000, indicating that an increase in household spending correlates with a decrease in the number of people living in poverty. Meanwhile, the open unemployment rate has a positive effect at a 10% significance level (p = 0.055), meaning that a rise in unemployment tends to drive an increase in poverty. The regression model used explains 27.4% of the variation in poverty, whilst the remainder is influenced by other factors outside the model. These findings underscore the importance of policies that promote job creation and strengthen household purchasing power within poverty alleviation strategies in the Sumatra region.
Co-Authors Amril Amril Amril Andini Permata Putri Apriani Hutabarat Aprilda Yanti Dedi Suryanta Surbakti Desi Astuti Dina Hastalona Dinda Larasati Henny Purnama Dewi Megasari Gusandra Saragih Nadia Nur Sahgira Putri Mauliza, Putri Sugito Sugito Sugito Sugito Taufik Azmi Harahap Tri Febriani Sipayung Trivena Kezia Silaban Tulim, Anto